Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Spurs	5%	109	94	84.7	111	107.0
	2	Bucks	95%	128	130	118.2	110	114.3

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+11

-19

103

MIL

+14

-15

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.91 45.6%

MIL

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 23	29.6	16	44%	4	4	2	1	3	2	0	4	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%	+6.3
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · PF · 6'9" 223 · 27	26.6	14	70%	3	3	2	0	3	0	0	3	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	+6.4
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'5" 180 · 20	24.9	4	29%	4	3	0	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	−2.1
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	23.0	12	60%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	+6.8
Jeremy Sochan #10 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 20	22.6	13	43%	6	3	1	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-5	0%	+5.1

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	27.8	6	23%	5	6	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-3	67%	2-10	20%	0-2	0%	−0.2
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	27.7	12	46%	7	2	0	2	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-4	0%	+4.6
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	27.7	8	44%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%	+2.5
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	18.5	7	88%	6	4	0	1	4	3	1	5	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%	+3.5
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	11.6	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+2.9
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness/Injury Management
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness · Neck; Sprain
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Chondromalacia
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Quad Tendon; Soreness/Injury Management
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Adductor; Soreness/Injury Management
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patella; Non-Displaced Fracture
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hip; Contusion/Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	46%	46	26	7	4	19	21	8	38	13-20	65%	27-54	50%	9-39	23%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 23	29.6	16	44%	4	4	2	1	3	2	0	4	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%	+6.3
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · PF · 6'9" 223 · 27	26.6	14	70%	3	3	2	0	3	0	0	3	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	+6.4
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'5" 180 · 20	24.9	4	29%	4	3	0	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	−2.1
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	23.0	12	60%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	+6.8
Jeremy Sochan #10 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 20	22.6	13	43%	6	3	1	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-5	0%	+5.1

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	27.8	6	23%	5	6	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-3	67%	2-10	20%	0-2	0%	−0.2
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	27.7	12	46%	7	2	0	2	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-4	0%	+4.6
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	27.7	8	44%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%	+2.5
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	18.5	7	88%	6	4	0	1	4	3	1	5	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%	+3.5
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	11.6	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+2.9
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness/Injury Management
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness · Neck; Sprain
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Chondromalacia
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Quad Tendon; Soreness/Injury Management
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Adductor; Soreness/Injury Management
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patella; Non-Displaced Fracture
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hip; Contusion/Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	46%	46	26	7	4	19	21	8	38	13-20	65%	27-54	50%	9-39	23%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	28.9	19	59%	3	10	1	0	6	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	1-6	17%	+6.8
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	24.9	11	69%	2	0	0	2	2	5	0	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	+3.8
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	23.8	31	65%	14	2	0	1	2	2	3	11	2-5	40%	13-19	68%	1-4	25%	+11.4
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	22.6	7	50%	2	8	1	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%	+5.0
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	19.1	8	80%	3	0	4	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	+10.0

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	27.4	5	36%	10	1	1	0	0	2	3	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	+5.0
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	25.4	19	53%	10	0	1	0	0	0	0	10	2-8	25%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%	+8.4
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.2	14	100%	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	+9.4
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	21.4	4	25%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%	−1.2
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	12.0	3	75%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+3.4
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	6.2	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	+3.6
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 25	6.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	−0.5
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP
Goran Dragic #31 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Soreness
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	60%	54	24	10	6	15	14	10	44	13-24	54%	36-55	65%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.91 45.6%

MIL

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

61%

MIL

64%

Midrange

SAS

42%

MIL

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

23%

35%

MIL

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

SAS

65%

MIL

54%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	16	44%	8.0 / 18
K. Bates-Diop	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Sochan	13	43%	6.5 / 15
Z. Collins	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Mamukelashvili	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Champagnie	8	44%	4.0 / 9
G. Dieng	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Wesley	6	23%	3.0 / 13
M. Branham	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Barlow	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	31	65%	15.5 / 24
K. Middleton	19	59%	9.5 / 16
B. Portis	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Ingles	14	100%	7.0 / 7
B. Lopez	11	69%	5.5 / 8
G. Allen	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Holiday	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Beauchamp	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Connaughton	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Carter	4	25%	2.0 / 8
W. Matthews	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Wigginton	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.8 13 114.6	SAS 84.7 MIL 118.2 +33.5
Pace	2 102.1 9 101.2	SAS 107.0 MIL 114.3 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 18 14.3	SAS 13.5 MIL 12.6 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.5% 10 55.5%	SAS 43.5% MIL 59.7% +16.2%
TO %	24 14.3% 18 13.6%	SAS 15.7% MIL 12.1% −3.6%
ORB %	7 25.6% 9 25.0%	SAS 15.4% MIL 20.8% +5.4%
FTrt	29 22.9 25 24.8	SAS 21.5 MIL 24.5 +3.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.2% 15 60.4%	SAS 72.2% +25.1% MIL 47.1%
STL %	23 6.8% 29 6.2%	SAS 6.3% MIL 9.1% +2.8%
BLK %	19 8.1% 26 7.3%	SAS 7.3% MIL 11.1% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.3% 16 56.9%	SAS 45.6% MIL 59.6% +14.0%
Rim FG%	26 62.1% 7 66.1%	SAS 60.9% MIL 64.3% +3.4%
Mid FG%	23 42.1% 17 43.0%	SAS 41.9% MIL 66.7% +24.8%
3P %	26 34.5% 10 36.8%	SAS 23.1% MIL 34.9% +11.8%
FT %	28 74.3% 29 74.3%	SAS 65.0% +10.8% MIL 54.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 35.2% 25 30.5%	SAS 24.7% MIL 28.6% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	22 30.0% 8 24.8%	SAS 33.3% MIL 27.6% −5.8%
3P Att. %	27 34.8% 4 44.6%	SAS 41.9% MIL 43.9% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIL
Possessions	111	110
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	94	130
Rebounds	46	54
Assists	26	24
Steals	7	10
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	21	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	44 (7)
Field Goals	36-93	51-98
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	18-28
Midrange FG	13-31	18-27
2-Point FG	27-54	36-55
3-Point FG	9-39	15-43
Free Throws	13-20	13-24
Fast Break Pts	7	26
2nd Chance Pts	16	16
Points in Paint	44	54
Pts off Turnovers	6	23
Bench Points	35	54
Biggest Lead	0	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg