Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Hawks	33%	118	124	121.6	102	103.3
	12	Timberwolves	67%	123	125	121.4	103	101.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	32.6	16	89%	5	2	0	0	1	5	1	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	+7.3
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	32.1	29	63%	2	8	1	0	6	1	0	2	14-16	88%	3-12	25%	3-4	75%	+9.3
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	31.7	16	67%	4	1	0	0	2	5	2	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-3	67%	+4.7
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	30.8	11	50%	3	2	1	2	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-6	17%	+4.8
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	29.1	11	92%	8	3	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-	+7.7

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	19.0	16	73%	6	2	0	0	3	2	1	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	+6.3
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	18.9	14	64%	7	1	0	3	2	5	1	6	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%	+5.6
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	18.2	4	50%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+2.7
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	15.9	4	40%	2	7	4	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-	+9.3
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	11.8	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+1.2
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Non-covid; Illness
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring and Groin; Mild Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	64%	41	28	6	6	16	25	9	32	22-25	88%	33-59	56%	12-26	46%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	32.6	16	89%	5	2	0	0	1	5	1	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	+7.3
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	32.1	29	63%	2	8	1	0	6	1	0	2	14-16	88%	3-12	25%	3-4	75%	+9.3
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	31.7	16	67%	4	1	0	0	2	5	2	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-3	67%	+4.7
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	30.8	11	50%	3	2	1	2	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-6	17%	+4.8
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	29.1	11	92%	8	3	0	0	0	2	3	5	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-	+7.7

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	19.0	16	73%	6	2	0	0	3	2	1	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	+6.3
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	18.9	14	64%	7	1	0	3	2	5	1	6	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%	+5.6
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	18.2	4	50%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+2.7
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	15.9	4	40%	2	7	4	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-	+9.3
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	11.8	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+1.2
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Donovan Williams #4 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Non-covid; Illness
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring and Groin; Mild Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	64%	41	28	6	6	16	25	9	32	22-25	88%	33-59	56%	12-26	46%

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12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Anderson #5 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 30	35.9	9	56%	3	7	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	+4.8
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	35.7	25	66%	6	4	0	2	0	4	3	3	6-7	86%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%	+12.2
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	33.2	12	50%	12	2	1	1	0	3	5	7	4-8	50%	4-8	50%	0-0	-	+8.8
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	30.1	13	54%	3	6	0	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%	+7.1
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 27	26.1	22	55%	4	3	2	0	3	4	1	3	4-4	100%	6-15	40%	2-3	67%	+7.2

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	28.4	15	75%	2	3	2	0	3	0	0	2	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	+7.4
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	25.6	26	81%	8	0	2	0	2	3	1	7	2-2	100%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%	+12.2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	17.3	3	30%	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%	+0.8
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	7.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%	−0.9
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Sprain
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · N/A; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	42	27	7	3	11	20	11	31	24-29	83%	34-66	52%	11-26	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.28 63.9%

MIN

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

24

33

73%

MIN

21

37

57%

Midrange

ATL

9

26

35%

MIN

13

29

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

12

18.0

26

46%

69%

MIN

11

16.5

26

42%

63%

Free Throws

ATL

22

25

88%

MIN

24

29

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	29	63%	14.5 / 23
J. Collins	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. Hunter	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Bey	16	73%	8.0 / 11
O. Okongwu	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Bogdanović	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Capela	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Griffin	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Holiday	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Mathews	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	26	81%	13.0 / 16
J. McDaniels	25	66%	12.5 / 19
K. Towns	22	55%	11.0 / 20
T. Prince	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Conley	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Gobert	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Anderson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Nowell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.5 23 113.3	ATL 121.6 +0.2 MIN 121.4
Pace	6 101.6 7 101.4	ATL 103.3 +1.6 MIN 101.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 22 14.0	ATL 13.9 −0.2 MIN 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 8 56.0%	ATL 60.0% +5.1% MIN 54.9%
TO %	3 12.0% 27 14.5%	ATL 15.0% MIN 9.5% −5.5%
ORB %	8 25.1% 27 21.5%	ATL 22.5% MIN 25.6% +3.1%
FTrt	26 24.4 12 27.1	ATL 29.4 MIN 31.5 +2.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 12 61.0%	ATL 62.2% +2.2% MIN 60.0%
STL %	20 6.9% 7 7.8%	ATL 5.9% MIN 6.8% +0.9%
BLK %	13 9.0% 22 7.7%	ATL 9.1% +4.0% MIN 5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 8 58.0%	ATL 63.9% +5.5% MIN 58.4%
Rim FG%	15 64.0% 9 65.5%	ATL 72.7% +15.9% MIN 56.8%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 12 43.7%	ATL 34.6% MIN 44.8% +10.2%
3P %	21 35.2% 13 36.5%	ATL 46.2% +3.9% MIN 42.3%
FT %	3 81.8% 24 75.5%	ATL 88.0% +5.2% MIN 82.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 32.6% 5 37.0%	ATL 38.8% MIN 40.2% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	29 34.4% 9 24.9%	ATL 30.6% −0.9% MIN 31.5%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 14 38.1%	ATL 30.6% +2.3% MIN 28.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIN
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	124	125
Rebounds	41	42
Assists	28	27
Steals	6	7
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	25	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	31 (0)
Field Goals	45-85	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	24-33	21-37
Midrange FG	9-26	13-29
2-Point FG	33-59	34-66
3-Point FG	12-26	11-26
Free Throws	22-25	24-29
Fast Break Pts	16	19
2nd Chance Pts	11	15
Points in Paint	50	62
Pts off Turnovers	11	24
Bench Points	41	44
Biggest Lead	11	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg