Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 24, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Bucks	85%	120	144	133.3	108	105.3
	25	Jazz	15%	108	116	107.4	108	110.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+13

-12

109

UTA

+23

-11

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.32 66.1%

UTA

0.97 48.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30	29.3	22	92%	5	2	0	2	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	+12.8
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	26.4	17	57%	14	2	0	7	1	3	3	11	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-3	33%	+11.4
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	24.9	18	100%	3	9	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	+13.1
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	24.8	24	80%	6	11	2	0	4	3	1	5	3-6	50%	9-11	82%	1-2	50%	+14.3
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	21.9	25	78%	4	1	2	0	1	1	2	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	+13.9

Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	23.3	2	33%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+1.6
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	22.3	5	25%	8	2	0	0	0	4	1	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%	+1.8
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	21.6	6	60%	1	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+5.7
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	15.5	13	81%	2	4	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	+8.4
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	11.9	4	67%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+1.8
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	9.9	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	+1.8
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 25	8.1	4	40%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	+0.4
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Injury Management
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
Goran Dragic #31 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	66%	50	42	6	11	12	20	9	41	12-16	75%	33-49	67%	22-50	44%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30	29.3	22	92%	5	2	0	2	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	+12.8
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	26.4	17	57%	14	2	0	7	1	3	3	11	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-3	33%	+11.4
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	24.9	18	100%	3	9	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	+13.1
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	24.8	24	80%	6	11	2	0	4	3	1	5	3-6	50%	9-11	82%	1-2	50%	+14.3
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	21.9	25	78%	4	1	2	0	1	1	2	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	+13.9

Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	23.3	2	33%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	+1.6
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	22.3	5	25%	8	2	0	0	0	4	1	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%	+1.8
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	21.6	6	60%	1	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+5.7
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	15.5	13	81%	2	4	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	+8.4
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	11.9	4	67%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+1.8
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	9.9	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	+1.8
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 25	8.1	4	40%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	+0.4
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Injury Management
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
Meyers Leonard #3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Calf; Soreness
Goran Dragic #31 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	66%	50	42	6	11	12	20	9	41	12-16	75%	33-49	67%	22-50	44%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · PG · 6'4" 235 · 22	26.3	13	33%	5	8	1	0	4	1	5	0	3-7	43%	5-14	36%	0-3	0%	+2.8
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	25.4	6	30%	2	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%	+2.0
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	25.4	26	72%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-7	57%	+9.1
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	21.8	16	73%	7	3	2	0	2	1	1	6	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%	+9.3
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	16.7	7	50%	8	2	0	2	0	4	3	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-	+5.5

Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 29	27.2	2	13%	2	6	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%	+0.2
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24	21.4	9	50%	9	0	1	2	0	0	2	7	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-0	-	+6.2
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	19.6	10	38%	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-10	20%	+4.1
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 30	17.2	8	67%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+4.5
Damian Jones #15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	17.1	5	36%	6	0	1	0	1	0	6	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	+3.1
Jarrell Brantley #55 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 27	12.0	7	70%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	+4.1
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	9.9	7	70%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	+2.9
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hamstring; Strain
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hand; Contusion
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hand; Fourth finger sprain
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Low Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	48%	51	28	6	5	11	15	20	31	25-34	74%	29-64	45%	11-40	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.32 66.1%

UTA

0.97 48.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

76%

UTA

48%

Midrange

MIL

55%

UTA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

33.0

44%

66%

UTA

16.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

MIL

75%

UTA

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Allen	25	78%	12.5 / 16
G. Antetokounmpo	24	80%	12.0 / 15
P. Connaughton	22	92%	11.0 / 12
J. Holiday	18	100%	9.0 / 9
B. Lopez	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Carter	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Ingles	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Portis	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Antetokounmpo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Beauchamp	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Wigginton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Matthews	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Fontecchio	26	72%	13.0 / 18
K. Olynyk	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Horton-Tucker	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. Juzang	10	38%	5.0 / 13
U. Azubuike	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Toscano-Anderson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Kessler	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Brantley	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Potter	7	70%	3.5 / 5
O. Agbaji	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Jones	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Dunn	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.6 9 115.3	MIL 133.3 +25.9 UTA 107.4
Pace	9 101.2 12 100.9	MIL 105.3 UTA 110.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 16 14.4	MIL 13.7 UTA 13.0 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.5% 15 54.7%	MIL 66.7% +22.9% UTA 43.8%
TO %	18 13.6% 28 14.7%	MIL 10.9% UTA 8.5% −2.4%
ORB %	9 25.0% 4 26.8%	MIL 22.5% UTA 32.8% +10.3%
FTrt	25 24.8 14 26.5	MIL 16.2 UTA 32.7 +16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.4% 11 61.1%	MIL 76.4% +6.4% UTA 70.0%
STL %	29 6.2% 30 6.0%	MIL 5.6% UTA 5.6%
BLK %	26 7.3% 17 8.5%	MIL 17.2% +7.0% UTA 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.9% 13 57.3%	MIL 66.1% +17.8% UTA 48.3%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 12 64.9%	MIL 75.9% +27.5% UTA 48.4%
Mid FG%	17 43.0% 8 44.7%	MIL 55.0% +12.6% UTA 42.4%
3P %	10 36.8% 20 35.3%	MIL 44.0% +16.5% UTA 27.5%
FT %	29 74.3% 14 78.6%	MIL 75.0% +1.5% UTA 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 30.5% 20 32.5%	MIL 29.3% UTA 29.8% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	8 24.8% 10 25.4%	MIL 20.2% −11.5% UTA 31.7%
3P Att. %	4 44.6% 6 42.1%	MIL 50.5% +12.0% UTA 38.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	UTA
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	144	116
Rebounds	50	51
Assists	42	28
Steals	6	6
Blocks	11	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	20	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	20 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (5)	31 (3)
Field Goals	55-99	40-104
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	15-31
Midrange FG	11-20	14-33
2-Point FG	33-49	29-64
3-Point FG	22-50	11-40
Free Throws	12-16	25-34
Fast Break Pts	22	13
2nd Chance Pts	12	24
Points in Paint	58	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	38	48
Biggest Lead	36	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg