Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 25, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Nets	37%	108	129	146.6	88	81.1
	12	Heat	63%	112	100	113.6	88	96.1

Scoring Opportunities

BKN

+20

-6

102

MIA

+14

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.26 63.2%

MIA

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mikal Bridges #1 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 27	38.1	27	56%	3	7	2	0	2	1	0	3	10-11	91%	4-10	40%	3-9	33%	+13.0
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30	35.7	15	54%	7	9	1	0	2	3	1	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%	+9.8
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	34.3	14	100%	10	4	0	3	0	2	2	8	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-	+11.4
Cameron Johnson #2 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	25.1	23	88%	3	4	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	+14.3
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 30	24.8	12	50%	6	1	0	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%	+5.2

Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 30	26.6	8	50%	3	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	+6.4
Joe Harris #12 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	15.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+3.3
Edmond Sumner #4 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	14.7	12	75%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	+3.7
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 21	13.8	9	90%	8	2	1	1	0	1	6	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+9.2
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 28	5.7	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+0.8
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
David Duke Jr. #6 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 23	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−0.8
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #0 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Nerve Impingement
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	45	30	6	6	6	18	17	28	23-25	92%	26-49	53%	18-40	45%

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19 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mikal Bridges #1 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 27	38.1	27	56%	3	7	2	0	2	1	0	3	10-11	91%	4-10	40%	3-9	33%	+13.0
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30	35.7	15	54%	7	9	1	0	2	3	1	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%	+9.8
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 24	34.3	14	100%	10	4	0	3	0	2	2	8	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-	+11.4
Cameron Johnson #2 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	25.1	23	88%	3	4	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	+14.3
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 30	24.8	12	50%	6	1	0	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%	+5.2

Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 30	26.6	8	50%	3	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	+6.4
Joe Harris #12 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	15.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+3.3
Edmond Sumner #4 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	14.7	12	75%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	+3.7
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 21	13.8	9	90%	8	2	1	1	0	1	6	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+9.2
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 28	5.7	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+0.8
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.2
David Duke Jr. #6 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 23	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	−0.8
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #0 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Nerve Impingement
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	45	30	6	6	6	18	17	28	23-25	92%	26-49	53%	18-40	45%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	34.6	16	57%	7	2	1	1	4	3	4	3	0-0	-	8-14	57%	0-0	-	+4.4
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	33.3	23	68%	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%	+12.7
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	32.7	18	56%	1	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5-7	71%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%	+6.5
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	22.2	5	36%	3	0	1	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	−0.4
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	18.8	5	63%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%	+3.2

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	34.5	23	82%	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	+12.0
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	26.0	4	25%	9	3	1	1	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%	+2.4
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	22.3	3	50%	1	4	0	2	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	+2.3
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	8.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+0.2
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.3
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	3.5	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.5
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Nasal; Fracture
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	55%	32	22	5	4	12	19	8	24	12-14	86%	26-50	52%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.26 63.2%

MIA

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BKN

65%

MIA

58%

Midrange

BKN

47%

MIA

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BKN

27.0

45%

68%

MIA

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

BKN

92%

MIA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	27	56%	13.5 / 24
C. Johnson	23	88%	11.5 / 13
S. Dinwiddie	15	54%	7.5 / 14
N. Claxton	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Finney-Smith	12	50%	6.0 / 12
E. Sumner	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Sharpe	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. O'Neale	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Harris	6	60%	3.0 / 5
Y. Watanabe	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Strus	23	82%	11.5 / 14
J. Butler	18	56%	9.0 / 16
B. Adebayo	16	57%	8.0 / 14
G. Vincent	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Love	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Martin	4	25%	2.0 / 8
K. Lowry	3	50%	1.5 / 3
Ö. Yurtseven	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. Highsmith	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 114.7 25 112.5	BKN 146.6 +33.0 MIA 113.6
Pace	24 98.6 29 96.8	BKN 81.1 MIA 96.1 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 5 15.0	BKN 17.7 MIA 15.0 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 25 53.0%	BKN 59.6% +4.6% MIA 55.0%
TO %	12 13.0% 15 13.1%	BKN 7.4% −6.6% MIA 14.0%
ORB %	29 19.6% 21 22.8%	BKN 41.5% +19.3% MIA 22.2%
FTrt	18 26.0 13 27.0	BKN 28.1 +10.6 MIA 17.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 61.6% 14 60.8%	BKN 68.2% +10.3% MIA 57.9%
STL %	15 7.2% 3 8.2%	BKN 6.8% +1.1% MIA 5.7%
BLK %	30 6.8% 23 7.5%	BKN 12.0% +3.8% MIA 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.5% 22 55.9%	BKN 63.2% +8.3% MIA 54.9%
Rim FG%	13 64.5% 21 63.3%	BKN 64.7% +6.4% MIA 58.3%
Mid FG%	1 47.8% 6 45.5%	BKN 46.9% +0.7% MIA 46.2%
3P %	5 37.8% 27 34.4%	BKN 45.0% +5.0% MIA 40.0%
FT %	7 80.0% 2 83.1%	BKN 92.0% +6.3% MIA 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.2% 29 28.3%	BKN 19.1% MIA 30.0% +10.9%
Mid Att. %	25 31.1% 24 30.9%	BKN 36.0% MIA 32.5% −3.5%
3P Att. %	11 39.7% 9 40.8%	BKN 44.9% +7.4% MIA 37.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	BKN	MIA
Possessions	88	88
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	129	100
Rebounds	45	32
Assists	30	22
Steals	6	5
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	6 (2)	12 (2)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (3)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	24 (2)
Field Goals	44-89	38-80
At-the-Rim FG	11-17	14-24
Midrange FG	15-32	12-26
2-Point FG	26-49	26-50
3-Point FG	18-40	12-30
Free Throws	23-25	12-14
Fast Break Pts	16	5
2nd Chance Pts	29	14
Points in Paint	42	44
Pts off Turnovers	23	7
Bench Points	38	33
Biggest Lead	32	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg