Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Spurs	7%	107	93	86.1	108	111.4
	1	Celtics	93%	125	137	128.0	107	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-10

105

BOS

-14

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.89 44.3%

BOS

1.34 67.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	30.6	21	53%	7	4	0	0	4	0	0	7	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	2-5	40%	+4.1
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	26.6	9	38%	5	4	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-5	20%	+2.6
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	26.4	11	61%	5	4	3	0	1	2	1	4	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%	+8.4
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'5" 180 · 20	24.1	15	58%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-3	33%	+4.7
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · PF · 6'9" 223 · 27	19.1	2	17%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	+0.2

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.2	13	59%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	+5.2
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	22.1	2	17%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	+1.2
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	20.9	7	35%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%	+1.2
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	18.9	8	57%	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	+5.4
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	9.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+0.7
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	7.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	−0.3
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	6.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-	−0.2
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patella; Non-Displaced Fracture
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Chondromalacia
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	44%	38	22	7	0	10	16	3	35	13-18	72%	28-61	46%	8-36	22%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 25	30.6	21	53%	7	4	0	0	4	0	0	7	3-5	60%	6-13	46%	2-5	40%	+4.1
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	26.6	9	38%	5	4	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-5	20%	+2.6
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	26.4	11	61%	5	4	3	0	1	2	1	4	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%	+8.4
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'5" 180 · 20	24.1	15	58%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-3	33%	+4.7
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · PF · 6'9" 223 · 27	19.1	2	17%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	+0.2

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.2	13	59%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	+5.2
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28	22.1	2	17%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	+1.2
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	20.9	7	35%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%	+1.2
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	18.9	8	57%	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	+5.4
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	9.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+0.7
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	7.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	−0.3
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	6.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-	−0.2
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patella; Non-Displaced Fracture
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Chondromalacia
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Soreness
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	44%	38	22	7	0	10	16	3	35	13-18	72%	28-61	46%	8-36	22%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · PF · 6'6" 223 · 26	36.3	41	66%	13	3	1	0	5	1	1	12	3-5	60%	16-19	84%	2-10	20%	+13.8
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	32.8	19	79%	8	2	1	2	1	0	1	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	+12.0
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	28.1	6	50%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%	+3.9
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	27.5	13	54%	3	4	0	2	3	4	1	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	+5.1
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	22.1	6	50%	9	4	1	3	2	1	1	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%	+7.1

Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	26.0	20	63%	5	9	1	1	0	2	2	3	7-8	88%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%	+14.3
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	18.8	11	79%	8	0	0	1	1	1	2	6	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-	+4.8
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	17.9	3	75%	4	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+2.7
Mike Muscala #57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	11.8	9	113%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%	+6.0
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	7.0	4	100%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+2.4
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	6.6	5	125%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	+2.7
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	5.1	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.4
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; ACL Repair
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Heel; Pain
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Hip; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	67%	61	29	4	11	14	18	9	52	15-21	71%	34-47	72%	18-44	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.89 44.3%

BOS

1.34 67.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

61%

BOS

79%

Midrange

SAS

37%

BOS

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

12.0

22%

33%

BOS

27.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

SAS

72%

BOS

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Collins	21	53%	10.5 / 20
M. Branham	15	58%	7.5 / 13
S. Mamukelashvili	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Jones	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Vassell	9	38%	4.5 / 12
R. Langford	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. McDermott	7	35%	3.5 / 10
B. Wesley	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Bates-Diop	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Graham	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Champagnie	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	41	66%	20.5 / 31
M. Brogdon	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. White	19	79%	9.5 / 12
M. Smart	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Williams	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Muscala	9	113%	4.5 / 4
S. Hauser	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Horford	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Davison	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Kornet	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.8 2 117.3	SAS 86.1 BOS 128.0 +41.9
Pace	2 102.1 20 99.0	SAS 111.4 +7.6 BOS 103.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 13 14.7	SAS 12.9 −0.9 BOS 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.5% 4 56.6%	SAS 41.2% BOS 67.0% +25.8%
TO %	24 14.3% 6 12.7%	SAS 8.7% −4.3% BOS 13.0%
ORB %	7 25.6% 25 22.1%	SAS 5.5% BOS 20.5% +15.0%
FTrt	29 22.9 27 24.3	SAS 18.6 BOS 23.1 +4.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.2% 5 63.2%	SAS 61.1% +5.3% BOS 55.8%
STL %	23 6.8% 27 6.3%	SAS 6.5% +2.8% BOS 3.7%
BLK %	19 8.1% 27 7.2%	SAS 0.0% BOS 18.0% +18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.3% 4 58.8%	SAS 44.3% BOS 67.2% +22.9%
Rim FG%	26 62.1% 8 65.9%	SAS 60.9% BOS 78.8% +17.9%
Mid FG%	23 42.1% 13 43.3%	SAS 36.8% BOS 57.1% +20.3%
3P %	26 34.5% 6 37.7%	SAS 22.2% BOS 40.9% +18.7%
FT %	28 74.3% 4 81.2%	SAS 72.2% +0.8% BOS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 35.2% 24 30.8%	SAS 23.7% BOS 36.3% +12.6%
Mid Att. %	22 30.0% 1 21.2%	SAS 39.2% BOS 15.4% −23.8%
3P Att. %	27 34.8% 2 48.0%	SAS 37.1% BOS 48.4% +11.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Game Totals	SAS	BOS
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	93	137
Rebounds	38	61
Assists	22	29
Steals	7	4
Blocks	0	11
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (4)	9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	52 (6)
Field Goals	36-97	52-91
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	26-33
Midrange FG	14-38	8-14
2-Point FG	28-61	34-47
3-Point FG	8-36	18-44
Free Throws	13-18	15-21
Fast Break Pts	8	29
2nd Chance Pts	4	12
Points in Paint	46	62
Pts off Turnovers	14	22
Bench Points	35	52
Biggest Lead	8	47

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg