Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Wizards	25%	107	104	104.0	100	99.2
	7	Raptors	75%	115	114	115.2	99	99.8

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+15

-16

TOR

+20

-11

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.05 52.5%

TOR

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	39.9	19	59%	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-11	45%	+3.1
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	34.4	15	50%	9	7	1	0	3	2	3	6	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%	+7.7
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	33.9	26	72%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%	+11.0
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	33.9	5	28%	7	8	2	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%	+6.4
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	28.9	10	42%	8	3	0	1	1	2	5	3	4-6	67%	3-9	33%	0-0	-	+4.8

Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	29.9	15	75%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	+8.3
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	20.4	9	50%	4	2	0	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	+2.5
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	8.2	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+0.9
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	8.2	3	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+0.1
Xavier Cooks #12 · PF · 6'8" 183 · 28	2.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.7
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #34 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Groin; Left groin soreness
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Right ankle sprain
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Left knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	45	25	6	6	16	12	12	33	12-20	60%	22-50	44%	16-36	44%

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21 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	39.9	19	59%	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-11	45%	+3.1
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	34.4	15	50%	9	7	1	0	3	2	3	6	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%	+7.7
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	33.9	26	72%	6	2	2	0	3	2	1	5	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%	+11.0
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	33.9	5	28%	7	8	2	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%	+6.4
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	28.9	10	42%	8	3	0	1	1	2	5	3	4-6	67%	3-9	33%	0-0	-	+4.8

Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	29.9	15	75%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	+8.3
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	20.4	9	50%	4	2	0	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	+2.5
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	8.2	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+0.9
Kendrick Nunn #20 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	8.2	3	50%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+0.1
Xavier Cooks #12 · PF · 6'8" 183 · 28	2.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.7
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #34 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Groin; Left groin soreness
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Ankle; Right ankle sprain
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Left knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	45	25	6	6	16	12	12	33	12-20	60%	22-50	44%	16-36	44%

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7 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	37.0	29	63%	8	1	1	3	1	4	2	6	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	4-10	40%	+14.2
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	35.6	28	64%	4	7	3	1	1	1	0	4	3-3	100%	5-12	42%	5-9	56%	+16.8
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 29	33.6	19	50%	11	2	1	0	3	3	2	9	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	1-3	33%	+5.5
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	32.0	13	43%	5	6	3	1	1	4	2	3	3-3	100%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%	+9.1
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	26.1	12	67%	12	1	1	0	3	2	6	6	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-	+5.7

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	22.2	6	60%	7	0	0	0	1	3	3	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	+2.5
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	19.2	3	75%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	+3.6
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	15.3	0	0%	1	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-	+3.8
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	7.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%	−1.0
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	5.7	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+0.1
Will Barton #1 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	3.8	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+2.8
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.3
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Elbow; Stiffness
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Surgery - second toe dislocation
Joe Wieskamp #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring; Strain
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	53	22	13	2	11	19	18	35	13-16	81%	34-67	51%	11-31	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.05 52.5%

TOR

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

46%

TOR

62%

Midrange

WAS

42%

TOR

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

24.0

44%

67%

TOR

16.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

WAS

60%

TOR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porziņģis	26	72%	13.0 / 18
C. Kispert	19	59%	9.5 / 16
D. Avdija	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Davis	15	75%	7.5 / 10
D. Gafford	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Goodwin	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Wright	5	28%	2.5 / 9
K. Nunn	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Gill	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	29	63%	14.5 / 23
F. VanVleet	28	64%	14.0 / 22
P. Siakam	19	50%	9.5 / 19
S. Barnes	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Poeltl	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Boucher	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Dowtin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Achiuwa	2	33%	1.0 / 3
W. Barton	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Flynn	0	-	0.0 / 3
R. Harper	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.8 14 114.6	WAS 104.0 TOR 115.2 +11.2
Pace	19 99.1 25 97.9	WAS 99.2 TOR 99.8 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 9 14.7	WAS 14.5 TOR 14.4 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 28 51.7%	WAS 53.5% +2.0% TOR 51.5%
TO %	17 13.4% 1 11.4%	WAS 16.0% TOR 11.0% −5.0%
ORB %	23 22.6% 3 27.8%	WAS 25.5% TOR 35.3% +9.8%
FTrt	21 25.8 22 25.7	WAS 23.3 +7.0 TOR 16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 26 57.1%	WAS 65.8% +16.9% TOR 48.9%
STL %	22 6.9% 1 9.6%	WAS 6.0% TOR 13.1% +7.1%
BLK %	18 8.4% 8 9.3%	WAS 9.0% +5.0% TOR 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 27 54.3%	WAS 52.5% TOR 52.8% +0.3%
Rim FG%	1 68.7% 16 63.9%	WAS 46.2% TOR 61.5% +15.3%
Mid FG%	18 43.0% 26 40.8%	WAS 41.7% TOR 43.9% +2.2%
3P %	18 35.6% 28 33.5%	WAS 44.4% +8.9% TOR 35.5%
FT %	15 78.5% 17 78.4%	WAS 60.0% TOR 81.3% +21.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 31.9% 18 32.9%	WAS 30.2% +3.7% TOR 26.5%
Mid Att. %	26 31.6% 27 32.0%	WAS 27.9% −13.9% TOR 41.8%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 25 35.1%	WAS 41.9% +10.2% TOR 31.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	104	114
Rebounds	45	53
Assists	25	22
Steals	6	13
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	11 (2)
Fouls	12	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	38-86	45-98
At-the-Rim FG	12-26	16-26
Midrange FG	10-24	18-41
2-Point FG	22-50	34-67
3-Point FG	16-36	11-31
Free Throws	12-20	13-16
Fast Break Pts	22	28
2nd Chance Pts	11	27
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	11	25
Bench Points	29	13
Biggest Lead	0	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg