Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Thunder	86%	121	118	116.8	101	103.7
	26	Blazers	14%	108	112	110.9	101	98.5

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+17

-11

107

POR

+12

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.6%

POR

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	37.1	23	77%	5	4	2	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	2-2	100%	+12.6
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	35.2	31	65%	2	3	4	0	3	1	2	0	13-15	87%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%	+14.2
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	35.1	17	71%	11	6	1	2	2	0	1	10	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%	+11.7
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	28.9	6	20%	6	1	2	0	2	4	3	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-6	0%	+0.4
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	26.9	7	39%	6	2	0	0	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%	+2.4

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	28.4	20	71%	7	5	2	0	0	2	2	5	5-5	100%	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	+15.3
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	14.7	5	42%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+2.6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	13.2	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%	+2.9
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	12.8	4	40%	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	+1.1
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	7.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	−1.7
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	55%	42	23	13	2	11	19	13	29	24-28	86%	29-59	49%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 22	37.1	23	77%	5	4	2	0	1	1	1	4	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	2-2	100%	+12.6
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	35.2	31	65%	2	3	4	0	3	1	2	0	13-15	87%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%	+14.2
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	35.1	17	71%	11	6	1	2	2	0	1	10	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%	+11.7
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	28.9	6	20%	6	1	2	0	2	4	3	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-6	0%	+0.4
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 21	26.9	7	39%	6	2	0	0	1	3	2	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%	+2.4

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	28.4	20	71%	7	5	2	0	0	2	2	5	5-5	100%	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	+15.3
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	14.7	5	42%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+2.6
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	13.2	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%	+2.9
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	12.8	4	40%	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	+1.1
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	7.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	−1.7
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness · Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Jared Butler #14 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Surgery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Wrist; Scapholunate Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	55%	42	23	13	2	11	19	13	29	24-28	86%	29-59	49%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	35.3	29	81%	5	3	0	0	5	3	0	5	8-11	73%	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	+9.5
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 26	32.9	8	50%	4	1	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	+4.8
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	32.7	7	50%	10	4	1	6	3	2	2	8	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-	+7.4
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 29	26.9	3	25%	2	5	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	+1.9
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	10.6	6	75%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	+0.3

Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.4	28	64%	6	0	0	0	2	5	2	4	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	3-6	50%	+7.9
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	21.1	14	58%	1	5	0	0	3	1	1	0	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%	+4.6
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	19.1	4	40%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-	+0.5
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	15.4	11	61%	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	+5.0
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	14.6	2	33%	2	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	+2.9
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'0" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Quad; Contusion
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Calf; Tightness
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee; Soreness
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle; Sprain
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	37	18	5	7	18	22	8	29	20-27	74%	25-50	50%	14-32	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	POR
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.6%

POR

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

50%

POR

57%

Midrange

OKC

47%

POR

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

18.0

34%

51%

POR

21.0

44%

66%

Free Throws

OKC

86%

POR

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	65%	15.5 / 24
J. Williams	23	77%	11.5 / 15
I. Joe	20	71%	10.0 / 14
J. Giddey	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Williams	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Dort	6	20%	3.0 / 15
T. Mann	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Dieng	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Wiggins	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Sharpe	29	81%	14.5 / 18
N. Little	28	64%	14.0 / 22
K. Johnson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Knox II	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Thybulle	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Eubanks	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Watford	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Reddish	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Arcidiacono	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Walker	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.3 18 114.1	OKC 116.8 +5.9 POR 110.9
Pace	3 101.9 17 99.2	OKC 103.7 +5.2 POR 98.5
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 11 14.7	OKC 13.9 −0.7 POR 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.1% 14 54.9%	OKC 50.0% POR 56.1% +6.1%
TO %	4 12.1% 20 13.7%	OKC 9.4% −6.7% POR 16.1%
ORB %	13 24.7% 24 22.4%	OKC 31.0% +9.4% POR 21.6%
FTrt	23 25.6 6 28.9	OKC 29.8 POR 32.9 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.7% 18 59.7%	OKC 56.1% +9.9% POR 46.2%
STL %	5 8.0% 24 6.8%	OKC 12.9% +7.9% POR 5.0%
BLK %	4 9.9% 14 8.7%	OKC 4.0% POR 11.9% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.7% 9 57.6%	OKC 54.6% POR 58.3% +3.7%
Rim FG%	30 59.9% 24 63.1%	OKC 50.0% POR 56.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%	16 43.0% 25 42.0%	OKC 46.7% +6.7% POR 40.0%
3P %	17 35.6% 14 36.5%	OKC 34.3% POR 43.8% +9.5%
FT %	6 80.9% 8 79.6%	OKC 85.7% +11.6% POR 74.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 37.3% 7 36.4%	OKC 46.8% +10.2% POR 36.6%
Mid Att. %	11 25.8% 2 22.3%	OKC 16.0% −8.4% POR 24.4%
3P Att. %	18 36.9% 7 41.3%	OKC 37.2% POR 39.0% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Game Totals	OKC	POR
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	118	112
Rebounds	42	37
Assists	23	18
Steals	13	5
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	29 (8)
Field Goals	41-94	39-82
At-the-Rim FG	22-44	17-30
Midrange FG	7-15	8-20
2-Point FG	29-59	25-50
3-Point FG	12-35	14-32
Free Throws	24-28	20-27
Fast Break Pts	26	18
2nd Chance Pts	21	11
Points in Paint	56	42
Pts off Turnovers	29	11
Bench Points	34	59
Biggest Lead	8	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg