FinalWin Prob.pScore
2631%111
114
1369%118
121
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
111.8102100.1
MIA logo MIA
118.6102105.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.114
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:08.4WizardsRyan Rollins makes three point jump shot114
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.1HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.1WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.1WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.1HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.4HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.4HeatRyan Rollins blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving dunk109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05WizardsJohnny Davis makes two point driving finger roll layup109
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Johnny Davis steals)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09WizardsBilal Coulibaly turnover (offensive foul)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09WizardsBilal Coulibaly offensive foul (Charge) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving dunk107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16WizardsAnthony Gill turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)107
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22WizardsBilal Coulibaly defensive rebound107
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot107
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound107
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50WizardsRyan Rollins misses two point pullup jump shot107
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)107
0.3%
119
99.7%
Q4 - 2:33WizardsEugene Omoruyi makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Bilal Coulibaly assists)107
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 2:36WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound105
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 2:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup105
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 2:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47WizardsRyan Rollins misses two point driving finger roll layup105
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00WizardsBilal Coulibaly defensive rebound105
0.6%
117
99.4%
Q4 - 3:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point fadeaway jump shot105
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 3:19WizardsEugene Omoruyi personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)105
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 3:37WizardsEugene Omoruyi turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)105
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)105
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 3:59WizardsRyan Rollins personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)105
1.5%
115
98.5%
Q4 - 4:00WizardsRyan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
1.5%
115
98.5%
Q4 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)104
1.4%
115
98.6%
Q4 - 4:06WizardsWizards offensive rebound102
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 4:07WizardsAnthony Gill misses two point turnaround jump shot102
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 4:07WizardsAnthony Gill offensive rebound102
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 4:12WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot102
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 4:26HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)102
0.7%
115
99.3%
Q4 - 4:26HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Charge) (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)102
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 4:36WizardsAnthony Gill makes two point floating jump shot (Eugene Omoruyi assists)102
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)100
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 4:53WizardsAnthony Gill personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)100
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:00WizardsAnthony Gill makes two point running finger roll layup (Eugene Omoruyi assists)100
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)98
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 5:21WizardsEugene Omoruyi makes two point driving layup (Ryan Rollins assists)98
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)96
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48WizardsJohnny Davis makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50WizardsRyan Rollins defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53HeatAnthony Gill blocks Thomas Bryant's two point cutting layup93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08WizardsRyan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 293
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08WizardsRyan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 292
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15HeatThomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15HeatThomas Bryant offensive foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes two point driving layup92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)90
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47HeatHeat defensive rebound90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48WizardsDelon Wright misses two point driving layup90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)90
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:03WizardsWizards offensive rebound90
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:03WizardsDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot90
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:20HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 190
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:20WizardsDaniel Gafford shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)90
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:23HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound90
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 7:27WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 7:38WizardsDelon Wright defensive rebound90
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 7:41HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Tyler Herro's two point stepback jump shot90
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 8:08WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)90
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 8:18WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound87
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 8:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot87
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 8:28HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound87
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:31WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot87
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:38HeatThomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)87
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 8:38HeatThomas Bryant offensive foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)87
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 286
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)85
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 8:58HeatThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)85
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 9:26WizardsMike Muscala makes two point floating jump shot (Delon Wright assists)85
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 9:43HeatThomas Bryant makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)83
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound83
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 9:53WizardsMike Muscala misses three point jump shot83
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 10:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving reverse layup (Josh Richardson assists)83
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 10:29WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point running reverse layup (Landry Shamet assists)83
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 10:33WizardsLandry Shamet defensive rebound81
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot81
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 10:58WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (back court violation)81
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 11:05WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound81
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 11:08HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot81
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 11:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 11:17WizardsMike Muscala misses three point jump shot81
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 11:34HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)81
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 11:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound81
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot81
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.9HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)81
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q3 - 0:01.9WizardsBilal Coulibaly defensive rebound81
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.5HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 281
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q3 - 0:03.5HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 281
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q3 - 0:03.5WizardsJordan Poole shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)81
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q3 - 0:03.6HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound81
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q3 - 0:07.4HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot81
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes two point layup (Jordan Poole assists)81
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot79
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q3 - 0:53.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound79
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0WizardsJordan Poole misses two point driving floating jump shot79
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q3 - 1:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)79
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q3 - 1:25WizardsJordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Mike Muscala assists)79
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 1:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 176
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q3 - 1:39WizardsMike Muscala shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)76
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 1:52WizardsMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)76
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q3 - 2:02WizardsMike Muscala defensive rebound73
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q3 - 2:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot73
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 2:24HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound73
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 2:27WizardsJordan Poole misses regular free throw 1 of 173
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)73
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q3 - 2:29HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Poole steals)71
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q3 - 2:36WizardsJordan Poole makes two point driving layup71
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 3:10WizardsBilal Coulibaly makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)69
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 3:15WizardsTyus Jones defensive rebound67
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot67
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 3:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 3:31WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 2 of 267
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 3:31WizardsBilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 267
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 3:31HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)67
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 3:45HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)67
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 4:00WizardsTyus Jones turnover (out of bounds lost ball)67
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 4:15HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 4:18WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)67
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 4:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)67
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 4:43WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)67
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)64
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 5:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 5:14HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound64
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot64
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 5:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound64
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 5:40WizardsMike Muscala misses three point jump shot64
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 264
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 264
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q3 - 5:51WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)64
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 6:04WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (Deni Avdija assists)64
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 6:20WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound62
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot62
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 6:35HeatHeat defensive rebound62
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 6:35WizardsJordan Poole misses two point driving layup62
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank jump shot62
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 7:06WizardsJordan Poole makes two point driving reverse layup62
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)60
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 7:25WizardsTyus Jones misses three point jump shot60
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 7:28HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Poole steals)60
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 7:30WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)60
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup60
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 8:01WizardsMike Muscala turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)60
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 260
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 260
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 8:12WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 8:29WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point cutting dunk (Tyus Jones assists)60
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot58
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 9:10WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)58
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 9:10WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)58
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot58
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 9:34WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point driving finger roll layup (Daniel Gafford assists)58
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 9:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)56
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 10:02WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point driving layup (Jordan Poole assists)56
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 10:32WizardsDaniel Gafford personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 10:32HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 10:33WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 10:48WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound54
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 10:52HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot54
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 11:00WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)54
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 11:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 11:34WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot54
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q3 - 11:43WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive rebound54
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q3 - 11:47WizardsJordan Poole misses two point driving floating jump shot54
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound54
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q2 - 0:02.8WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot54
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q2 - 0:19.4WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound54
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q2 - 0:22.5HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot54
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q2 - 0:34.7WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 254
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q2 - 0:34.7WizardsDeni Avdija misses regular free throw 1 of 253
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q2 - 0:34.7HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)53
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q2 - 0:46.4HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Poole steals)53
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q2 - 0:57.2WizardsJordan Poole personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)53
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q2 - 1:09WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting layup (Deni Avdija assists)53
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q2 - 1:19WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound51
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q2 - 1:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot51
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q2 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 1:30WizardsJordan Poole misses two point stepback jump shot51
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q2 - 1:46HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q2 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q2 - 1:57WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point driving bank jump shot51
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q2 - 2:10WizardsJordan Poole defensive rebound51
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q2 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q2 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 2:24WizardsJordan Poole misses three point pullup jump shot51
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q2 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)51
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q2 - 2:38WizardsDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 151
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q2 - 2:38HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)50
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q2 - 2:49WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound48
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 2:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q2 - 3:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q2 - 3:15WizardsLandry Shamet misses three point jump shot48
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 3:18WizardsTyus Jones defensive rebound48
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q2 - 3:22HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot48
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 3:43HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound48
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q2 - 3:47WizardsLandry Shamet misses three point jump shot48
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)48
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q2 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyus Jones draws the foul)48
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q2 - 4:05WizardsJordan Poole turnover (traveling)48
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q2 - 4:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk48
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q2 - 4:29WizardsTyus Jones turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)48
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q2 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)48
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound48
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q2 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving bank jump shot48
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q2 - 5:01WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Landry Shamet assists)48
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)46
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 5:33WizardsJordan Poole turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)46
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
21.9%
49
78.1%
Q2 - 6:04WizardsTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot46
22.6%
49
77.4%
Q2 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 6:41WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (traveling)46
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 6:41WizardsKyle Kuzma offensive rebound46
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 6:42WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point floating jump shot46
26.5%
47
73.5%
Q2 - 6:52HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 7:03WizardsJordan Poole makes two point driving layup46
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q2 - 7:30WizardsKyle Kuzma personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
25.9%
45
74.1%
Q2 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
25.9%
45
74.1%
Q2 - 7:35WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot44
26.5%
45
73.5%
Q2 - 7:51WizardsDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound44
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q2 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 8:07WizardsDanilo Gallinari makes two point driving finger roll layup44
25.7%
45
74.3%
Q2 - 8:32HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)42
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 8:43WizardsDanilo Gallinari misses technical free throw 1 of 142
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 8:43Josh Richardson technical foul (Flopping)42
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 8:50WizardsDanilo Gallinari misses regular free throw 1 of 142
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 8:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)42
27.6%
43
72.4%
Q2 - 8:54WizardsJohnny Davis defensive rebound40
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot40
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 9:10WizardsJohnny Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)40
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 9:21WizardsDelon Wright defensive rebound38
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 9:25HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot38
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 9:32WizardsDanilo Gallinari makes two point tip layup38
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 9:32WizardsDanilo Gallinari offensive rebound36
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 9:37WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot36
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)36
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 9:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound36
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot36
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 10:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound36
20.5%
40
79.5%
Q2 - 10:04WizardsThomas Bryant blocks Danilo Gallinari's two point driving layup36
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 10:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup36
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 10:36WizardsJohnny Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)36
23.9%
38
76.1%
Q2 - 10:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)34
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 11:06HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound34
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 11:08WizardsDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot34
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 11:23HeatThomas Bryant makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)34
25.6%
36
74.4%
Q2 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 11:34WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 11:38HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q2 - 11:42WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)34
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.34
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q1 - 0:01.3WizardsWizards offensive rebound34
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q1 - 0:01.3WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot34
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q1 - 0:06.2WizardsDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound34
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q1 - 0:09.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot34
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q1 - 0:30.1WizardsDelon Wright turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q1 - 0:36.8HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass)34
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q1 - 0:48.9WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)34
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q1 - 1:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)31
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q1 - 1:14WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Bilal Coulibaly assists)31
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q1 - 1:31HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback dunk28
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q1 - 1:35HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound28
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup28
24.7%
30
75.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 1:54WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point driving floating jump shot28
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q1 - 2:06WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound28
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q1 - 2:09HeatThomas Bryant misses two point turnaround hook shot28
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q1 - 2:26WizardsDanilo Gallinari turnover (traveling)28
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 2:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)28
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q1 - 3:03WizardsJohnny Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)28
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q1 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk26
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 3:24WizardsDelon Wright turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)26
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q1 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)26
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound26
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 3:58WizardsDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot26
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q1 - 4:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)26
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 4:30WizardsDeni Avdija personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)26
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 4:46WizardsJordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)26
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)23
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 5:08WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)23
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q1 - 5:08WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)23
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)23
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q1 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)23
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q1 - 5:36WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point stepback jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)23
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q1 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 221
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 221
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 5:54WizardsDaniel Gafford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 6:01WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point cutting layup (Tyus Jones assists)21
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 219
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 219
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 6:18WizardsJordan Poole shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 6:38WizardsJordan Poole makes three point jump shot19
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 6:49HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)16
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 7:08WizardsTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)16
30.9%
13
69.1%
Q1 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)13
27.9%
13
72.1%
Q1 - 7:40WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)13
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 7:51WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound10
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 7:54HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving dunk10
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 8:08WizardsTyus Jones makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)10
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 28
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 28
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 8:17WizardsTyus Jones shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 8:30WizardsJordan Poole makes two point running finger roll layup8
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:35HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Poole steals)6
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 8:52WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (out of bounds step)6
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:02HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)6
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 9:27WizardsDaniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 26
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:27WizardsDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 26
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)5
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:33WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound5
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot5
25.7%
6
74.3%
Q1 - 9:46WizardsTyus Jones makes two point driving layup5
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 10:26WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)3
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)0
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:01WizardsJordan Poole misses two point driving floating jump shot0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 11:06WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 11:19WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 12:00Daniel Gafford vs. Bam Adebayo (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
25.4%
0
74.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.28 64.0%
MIA
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
26
31
84%
MIA
27
32
84%
Midrange
WAS
7
22
32%
MIA
8
21
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
13
19.5
28
46%
70%
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
Free Throws
WAS
9
17
53%
MIA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma2255%11.0 / 20
J. Poole1968%9.5 / 14
D. Avdija1478%7.0 / 9
J. Davis11110%5.5 / 5
B. Coulibaly990%4.5 / 5
T. Jones770%3.5 / 5
R. Rollins770%3.5 / 5
D. Gallinari660%3.0 / 5
A. Gill675%3.0 / 4
M. Muscala550%2.5 / 5
D. Gafford4100%2.0 / 2
E. Omoruyi4100%2.0 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 3
L. Shamet0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2467%12.0 / 18
J. Butler2071%10.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1856%9.0 / 16
D. Robinson1882%9.0 / 11
T. Bryant1169%5.5 / 8
J. Richardson1083%5.0 / 6
J. Jaquez990%4.5 / 5
H. Highsmith8100%4.0 / 4
K. Lowry338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
82
+7
-20
89
MIA
83
+7
-19
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.28 64.0%
MIA
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.5
113.5
WAS 111.8
MIA 118.6 +6.9
Pace
102.7
96.7
WAS 100.1
MIA 105.4 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
14.8
WAS 14.4
MIA 13.7 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
53.8%
WAS 64.8%
MIA 68.1% +3.3%
TO %
13.1%
12.2%
WAS 18.4% +1.2%
MIA 19.6%
ORB %
20.0%
21.8%
WAS 11.8%
MIA 21.2% +9.4%
FTrt
22.1
25.7
WAS 21.0 +3.5
MIA 17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.9%
64.8%
WAS 71.7%
MIA 72.9% +1.2%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
WAS 6.9%
MIA 8.8% +1.9%
BLK %
8.6%
6.9%
WAS 7.5% +5.6%
MIA 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
56.2%
WAS 64.0%
MIA 67.2% +3.2%
Rim FG%
64.8%
61.2%
WAS 83.9%
MIA 84.4% +0.5%
Mid FG%
39.7%
44.2%
WAS 31.8%
MIA 38.1% +6.3%
3P %
34.8%
37.0%
WAS 46.4%
MIA 48.1% +1.7%
FT %
76.4%
81.8%
WAS 52.9%
MIA 85.7% +32.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
30.4%
WAS 38.3%
MIA 40.0% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
24.5%
30.2%
WAS 27.2%
MIA 26.3% +0.9%
3P Att. %
38.9%
39.4%
WAS 34.6% +0.8%
MIA 33.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes24.523.2
Points114121
Rebounds3037
Assists3335
Steals79
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)19 (2)
Fouls1818
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)30 (2)
Field Goals46-8148-80
At-the-Rim FG26-3127-32
Midrange FG7-228-21
2-Point FG33-5335-53
3-Point FG13-2813-27
Free Throws9-1712-14
Fast Break Pts229
2nd Chance Pts513
Points in Paint6458
Pts off Turnovers2717
Bench Points4848
Biggest Lead625

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#33 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 28
31.1
22
55%
4
3
0
0
5
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
4-9
44%
#13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24
28.4
19
68%
1
6
4
0
2
3
0
1
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
3-4
75%
#5 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 27
24.2
7
70%
2
5
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#8 · SF · 6'9" 240 · 23
23.8
14
78%
4
3
0
0
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25
19.6
4
100%
5
1
0
2
2
5
1
4
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#0 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 19
26.3
9
90%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
17.2
0
0%
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
#20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27
14.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
13.1
11
110%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
#35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
12.4
5
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
9.4
6
60%
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21
7.3
7
70%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
#97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
6.6
4
100%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
6.6
6
75%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 21
#4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23
INACTIVE
#24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Left ankle sprain
#19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
64%
30
33
7
4
20
18
4
26
9-17
53%
33-53
62%
13-28
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.