Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 3, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Mavericks	37%	113	114	115.2	99	104.0
	2	Nuggets	63%	118	125	127.6	98	93.5

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+11

-15

DEN

+23

-17

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.20 60.0%

DEN

1.20 60.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	38.3	34	65%	10	8	0	1	9	2	3	7	6-7	86%	5-13	38%	6-11	55%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	34.9	22	69%	1	7	4	2	3	1	0	1	3-4	75%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	32.9	13	59%	5	2	1	2	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	24.8	4	67%	4	0	1	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	16.9	7	70%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	27.2	13	81%	5	2	2	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	26.8	9	56%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	16.5	6	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	14.2	6	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	5.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dexter Dennis #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-COVID Illness
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	34	27	12	6	15	19	10	24	15-17	88%	24-44	55%	17-42	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	38.3	34	65%	10	8	0	1	9	2	3	7	6-7	86%	5-13	38%	6-11	55%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	34.9	22	69%	1	7	4	2	3	1	0	1	3-4	75%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	32.9	13	59%	5	2	1	2	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	24.8	4	67%	4	0	1	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	16.9	7	70%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	27.2	13	81%	5	2	2	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	26.8	9	56%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	16.5	6	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	14.2	6	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	5.3	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dexter Dennis #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-COVID Illness
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Dislocation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	60%	34	27	12	6	15	19	10	24	15-17	88%	24-44	55%	17-42	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	39.3	18	50%	2	13	1	0	2	4	0	2	6-6	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.9	8	57%	5	1	2	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	35.6	33	92%	14	9	1	1	4	3	7	7	3-5	60%	12-14	86%	2-2	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	35.2	18	53%	8	6	2	1	4	2	2	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	2-6	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	34.5	24	67%	9	1	0	2	1	2	5	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	4-8	50%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	19.9	8	36%	1	2	4	0	3	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	14.6	9	90%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	12.5	3	30%	3	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.6	4	100%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	51	33	11	6	17	17	19	32	14-19	74%	36-63	57%	13-30	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.20 60.0%

DEN

1.20 60.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

61%

DEN

81%

Midrange

DAL

48%

DEN

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

25.5

40%

61%

DEN

19.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

DAL

88%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	34	65%	17.0 / 26
K. Irving	22	69%	11.0 / 16
G. Williams	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Green	13	81%	6.5 / 8
T. Hardaway	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Powell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Hardy	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Lively	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Curry	0	-	0.0 / 1
O. Prosper	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	92%	16.5 / 18
M. Porter	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Murray	18	50%	9.0 / 18
A. Gordon	18	53%	9.0 / 17
C. Braun	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Jackson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
Z. Nnaji	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Watson	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 5 117.9	DAL 115.2 DEN 127.6 +12.4
Pace	7 100.6 26 97.4	DAL 104.0 +10.5 DEN 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 4 15.0	DAL 13.8 −1.6 DEN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 8 56.2%	DAL 57.6% DEN 59.7% +2.1%
TO %	5 12.0% 7 12.1%	DAL 13.8% −2.7% DEN 16.5%
ORB %	24 22.2% 6 25.5%	DAL 23.8% DEN 44.2% +20.4%
FTrt	13 25.1 24 22.4	DAL 19.8 DEN 20.4 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 5 66.9%	DAL 65.9% DEN 67.3% +1.4%
STL %	27 6.8% 20 7.3%	DAL 12.1% +0.9% DEN 11.2%
BLK %	26 8.7% 25 8.7%	DAL 9.5% DEN 13.6% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 11 57.5%	DAL 60.0% DEN 60.1% +0.1%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 17 63.6%	DAL 60.9% DEN 80.6% +19.7%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 3 47.0%	DAL 47.6% +13.2% DEN 34.4%
3P %	13 36.9% 10 37.4%	DAL 40.5% DEN 43.3% +2.8%
FT %	27 75.8% 25 76.2%	DAL 88.2% +14.5% DEN 73.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 4 36.0%	DAL 26.7% DEN 33.3% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 25 28.8%	DAL 24.4% −10.0% DEN 34.4%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 30 35.2%	DAL 48.8% +16.6% DEN 32.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	114	125
Rebounds	34	51
Assists	27	33
Steals	12	11
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (3)
Fouls	19	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	41-86	49-93
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	25-31
Midrange FG	10-21	11-32
2-Point FG	24-44	36-63
3-Point FG	17-42	13-30
Free Throws	15-17	14-19
Fast Break Pts	9	21
2nd Chance Pts	8	20
Points in Paint	40	68
Pts off Turnovers	25	21
Bench Points	34	24
Biggest Lead	4	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg