Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Jazz37%114127
15Grizzlies63%119121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
37.9
27.9
18
99%
3
0
0
1
4
3
0
3
5-7
71%
2-3
4-6
67%
60%
3-3
100%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 26.5
37.3
33.0
26
83%
7
1
2
1
2
3
0
7
6-6
100%
4-4
5-9
100%
56%
4-9
44%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 31.4
35.8
31.1
26
70%
4
4
2
1
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
2-5
40%
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
30.3
18.1
15
94%
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.0
29.5
24.8
7
27%
3
11
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
49%
1-6
17%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
20.8
20.4
6
77%
8
2
1
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 23.0
18.5
22.4
13
82%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.8
17.7
17.2
10
51%
2
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 27.9
12.2
11.5
6
100%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
10.1
1
1-3
48%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.4
3.3
0
1-1
55%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-0
54%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.9
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.7
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.6
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.3
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.0
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'6" 235 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
38.1
34.4
37
63%
4
8
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-3
67%
7-15
6-11
47%
55%
7-13
54%
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.3
34.0
12.6
14
70%
5
8
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
4-9
44%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.2
33.7
23.5
15
59%
14
0
1
0
0
0
8
6
5-6
83%
5-10
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.7
24.9
30.5
8
40%
1
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-4
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.2
23.4
32.8
14
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-11
6-10
64%
57%
0-2
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
21.4
15.5
6
50%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
59%
2-4
50%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
21.1
25.8
14
64%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
4-9
44%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.6
18.8
16.9
7
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
1-5
20%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.8
13.1
23.8
6
77%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
1-1
100%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 21.2
11.7
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-0
56%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.2
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.8
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.1
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.3
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.0
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 18.9
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.