Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 17, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Kings	72%	123	129	121.7	106	112.0
	30	Spurs	28%	114	120	112.1	107	102.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-13

SAS

+10

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.32 65.8%

SAS

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	40.7	43	72%	8	7	1	1	1	2	0	8	10-13	77%	9-13	69%	5-11	45%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	38.5	6	30%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	35.3	27	79%	14	7	0	1	4	5	2	12	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	2-3	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	25.6	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.4	9	50%	1	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.5	20	91%	4	8	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-9	67%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	16.9	5	63%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.8	6	75%	3	0	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	9.6	2	100%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	7.5	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	66%	42	31	10	3	13	22	4	38	19-24	79%	28-43	65%	18-42	43%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	40.7	43	72%	8	7	1	1	1	2	0	8	10-13	77%	9-13	69%	5-11	45%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	38.5	6	30%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	35.3	27	79%	14	7	0	1	4	5	2	12	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	2-3	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	25.6	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.4	9	50%	1	2	3	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.5	20	91%	4	8	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-9	67%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	16.9	5	63%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.8	6	75%	3	0	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	9.6	2	100%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	7.5	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	66%	42	31	10	3	13	22	4	38	19-24	79%	28-43	65%	18-42	43%

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30 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 20	36.8	8	33%	8	6	1	0	2	4	1	7	1-2	50%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.9	21	66%	9	7	1	1	3	1	0	9	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	5-9	56%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	33.9	28	93%	8	5	3	1	3	5	2	6	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	3-5	60%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	30.5	27	52%	9	0	2	0	4	3	1	8	1-1	100%	10-18	56%	2-8	25%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 22	25.3	9	64%	2	3	0	1	2	3	1	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	27.9	10	45%	0	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.3	6	60%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.1	3	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	12.2	6	75%	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	2.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	42	33	7	2	15	21	6	36	19-23	83%	28-56	50%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.32 65.8%

SAS

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

SAS

67%

Midrange

SAC

67%

SAS

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

27.0

43%

64%

SAS

22.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

SAC

79%

SAS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	43	72%	21.5 / 30
D. Sabonis	27	79%	13.5 / 17
M. Monk	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. Huerter	9	50%	4.5 / 9
H. Barnes	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Murray	6	30%	3.0 / 10
C. Duarte	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Vezenkov	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. McGee	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Ellis	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Collins	28	93%	14.0 / 15
V. Wembanyama	27	52%	13.5 / 26
K. Johnson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Branham	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Sochan	8	33%	4.0 / 12
D. McDermott	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Osman	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Bassey	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 26 109.4	SAC 121.7 +9.5 SAS 112.1
Pace	14 99.4 3 101.7	SAC 112.0 +9.2 SAS 102.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 25 14.1	SAC 12.9 −1.1 SAS 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 23 53.2%	SAC 64.7% +9.8% SAS 54.9%
TO %	12 12.5% 26 14.3%	SAC 12.8% SAS 12.8%
ORB %	14 24.5% 23 22.9%	SAC 10.0% SAS 13.6% +3.6%
FTrt	22 22.9 28 22.0	SAC 28.2 +3.2 SAS 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 1 71.2%	SAC 67.4% SAS 76.7% +9.3%
STL %	14 7.6% 23 6.9%	SAC 9.4% +2.9% SAS 6.5%
BLK %	27 8.6% 10 9.7%	SAC 5.4% +0.7% SAS 4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 25 55.1%	SAC 65.8% +7.5% SAS 58.3%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 16 64.1%	SAC 64.3% SAS 66.7% +2.4%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 24 40.5%	SAC 66.7% +32.2% SAS 34.5%
3P %	16 36.6% 28 34.7%	SAC 42.9% +1.2% SAS 41.7%
FT %	30 74.5% 14 78.2%	SAC 79.2% SAS 82.6% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 13 34.2%	SAC 32.9% +3.6% SAS 29.3%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 9 25.7%	SAC 17.6% −13.9% SAS 31.5%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 12 40.1%	SAC 49.4% +10.3% SAS 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.0
Points	129	120
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	31	33
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (0)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	36 (4)
Field Goals	46-85	43-92
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	18-27
Midrange FG	10-15	10-29
2-Point FG	28-43	28-56
3-Point FG	18-42	15-36
Free Throws	19-24	19-23
Fast Break Pts	16	7
2nd Chance Pts	7	15
Points in Paint	48	48
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	37	27
Biggest Lead	16	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg