Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	65%	114	110	111.1	99	101.5
	21	Pelicans	35%	109	115	113.9	101	99.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	39.1	14	47%	8	2	1	0	0	4	1	7	0-3	0%	7-10	70%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.2	26	62%	16	18	1	1	4	2	2	14	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	1-8	13%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.9	8	57%	1	8	1	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.3	14	58%	2	3	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	32.9	18	64%	11	0	0	0	0	3	3	8	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	29.7	25	66%	9	3	0	0	0	1	2	7	0-1	0%	8-14	57%	3-5	60%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.4	3	38%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	8.5	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	51	37	4	5	13	20	11	40	6-12	50%	37-56	66%	10-40	25%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	39.1	14	47%	8	2	1	0	0	4	1	7	0-3	0%	7-10	70%	0-4	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.2	26	62%	16	18	1	1	4	2	2	14	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	1-8	13%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.9	8	57%	1	8	1	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.3	14	58%	2	3	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	32.9	18	64%	11	0	0	0	0	3	3	8	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	29.7	25	66%	9	3	0	0	0	1	2	7	0-1	0%	8-14	57%	3-5	60%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	11.4	3	38%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	8.5	2	25%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	51	37	4	5	13	20	11	40	6-12	50%	37-56	66%	10-40	25%

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21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	38.2	21	55%	3	8	1	0	2	3	1	2	1-1	100%	7-15	47%	2-4	50%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	36.9	8	44%	5	4	3	1	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	34.4	22	58%	8	3	0	1	0	4	2	6	1-3	33%	9-15	60%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	33.1	10	71%	8	7	3	0	0	1	1	7	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	32.5	26	59%	4	6	0	2	4	3	0	4	5-11	45%	9-16	56%	1-1	100%

Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	25.9	7	50%	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	18.7	9	64%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	18.4	12	100%	5	1	1	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	1.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	INACTIVE
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscectomy
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lung; Small Pneumothorax
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	39	33	8	3	9	13	4	35	11-21	52%	34-65	52%	12-23	52%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.6%

NOP

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

27

34

79%

NOP

24

37

65%

Midrange

DEN

10

22

45%

NOP

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10

15.0

40

25%

38%

NOP

12

18.0

23

52%

78%

Free Throws

DEN

6

12

50%

NOP

11

21

52%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	26	62%	13.0 / 21
C. Braun	25	66%	12.5 / 19
M. Porter	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Gordon	14	47%	7.0 / 15
R. Jackson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Watson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Strawther	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	26	59%	13.0 / 22
J. Valančiūnas	22	58%	11.0 / 19
B. Ingram	21	55%	10.5 / 19
N. Marshall	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. Daniels	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Ryan	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Jones	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Hawkins	7	50%	3.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 11 116.6	DEN 111.1 NOP 113.9 +2.8
Pace	26 97.4 16 98.6	DEN 101.5 +1.8 NOP 99.7
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 18 14.4	DEN 14.2 −0.3 NOP 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 11 55.8%	DEN 54.2% NOP 59.1% +4.9%
TO %	7 12.1% 15 12.6%	DEN 11.4% NOP 10.2% −1.2%
ORB %	6 25.5% 15 24.4%	DEN 23.9% +14.8% NOP 9.1%
FTrt	24 22.4 7 26.1	DEN 12.5 NOP 23.9 +11.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 15 63.4%	DEN 78.7% +7.0% NOP 71.7%
STL %	20 7.3% 2 8.4%	DEN 4.0% NOP 7.9% +3.9%
BLK %	25 8.7% 8 9.9%	DEN 7.7% +2.3% NOP 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 9 57.7%	DEN 55.6% NOP 56.4% +0.8%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 19 63.2%	DEN 79.4% +14.5% NOP 64.9%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 12 44.3%	DEN 45.5% +9.8% NOP 35.7%
3P %	10 37.4% 4 38.3%	DEN 25.0% NOP 52.2% +27.2%
FT %	25 76.2% 21 77.1%	DEN 50.0% NOP 52.4% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 10 34.7%	DEN 35.4% NOP 42.0% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 22 28.0%	DEN 22.9% −8.9% NOP 31.8%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 22 37.3%	DEN 41.7% +15.5% NOP 26.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NOP
Possessions	99	101
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.3
Points	110	115
Rebounds	51	39
Assists	37	33
Steals	4	8
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	9 (2)
Fouls	20	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	35 (5)
Field Goals	47-96	46-88
At-the-Rim FG	27-34	24-37
Midrange FG	10-22	10-28
2-Point FG	37-56	34-65
3-Point FG	10-40	12-23
Free Throws	6-12	11-21
Fast Break Pts	11	15
2nd Chance Pts	15	8
Points in Paint	66	60
Pts off Turnovers	10	13
Bench Points	30	28
Biggest Lead	0	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg