Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Wizards	21%	116	128	123.1	104	102.6
	4	Bucks	79%	128	131	124.8	105	106.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	33.8	26	59%	5	7	0	0	2	5	1	4	7-9	78%	8-14	57%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	31.1	22	50%	4	4	0	2	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	3-8	38%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	30.6	22	73%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	7	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	1-4	25%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	29.1	8	50%	9	4	1	2	1	5	5	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	28.4	2	17%	5	5	0	0	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	32.6	20	83%	5	1	0	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	24.0	15	68%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	17.9	7	58%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	12.4	6	60%	5	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Right knee sprain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	46	29	3	4	8	24	12	34	17-21	81%	33-63	52%	15-37	41%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	33.8	26	59%	5	7	0	0	2	5	1	4	7-9	78%	8-14	57%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	31.1	22	50%	4	4	0	2	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	6-14	43%	3-8	38%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	30.6	22	73%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	7	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	1-4	25%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	29.1	8	50%	9	4	1	2	1	5	5	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	28.4	2	17%	5	5	0	0	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	32.6	20	83%	5	1	0	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-10	60%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	24.0	15	68%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	17.9	7	58%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	12.4	6	60%	5	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Right knee sprain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	58%	46	29	3	4	8	24	12	34	17-21	81%	33-63	52%	15-37	41%

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4 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	37.2	31	65%	9	3	3	1	3	2	3	6	9-12	75%	11-19	58%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	36.9	31	74%	6	10	0	0	1	1	1	5	7-8	88%	9-13	69%	2-5	40%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	32.1	39	98%	6	1	2	3	1	2	0	6	7-7	100%	10-10	100%	4-7	57%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	27.0	9	56%	11	1	0	1	2	3	4	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	12.8	7	44%	1	5	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	26.7	2	17%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	24.7	2	20%	6	1	0	1	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	16.8	4	50%	3	3	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	13.3	3	25%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	8.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	3.7	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 26	INACTIVE
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	INACTIVE
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	61%	50	28	6	6	9	22	10	40	26-33	79%	39-61	64%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.16 58.2%

MIL

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

19

32

59%

MIL

33

41

80%

Midrange

WAS

14

31

45%

MIL

6

20

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15

22.5

37

41%

61%

MIL

9

13.5

31

29%

44%

Free Throws

WAS

17

21

81%

MIL

26

33

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	26	59%	13.0 / 22
K. Kuzma	22	50%	11.0 / 22
T. Jones	22	73%	11.0 / 15
C. Kispert	20	83%	10.0 / 12
L. Shamet	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Gafford	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Gallinari	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Davis	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Avdija	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Lopez	39	98%	19.5 / 20
G. Antetokounmpo	31	65%	15.5 / 24
D. Lillard	31	74%	15.5 / 21
M. Beasley	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Middleton	7	44%	3.5 / 8
C. Payne	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Beauchamp	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
P. Connaughton	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. Portis	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 6 117.6	WAS 123.1 MIL 124.8 +1.7
Pace	1 103.0 8 100.6	WAS 102.6 MIL 106.4 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 19 14.4	WAS 14.0 MIL 13.5 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 4 56.8%	WAS 55.5% MIL 57.1% +1.6%
TO %	19 13.1% 10 12.2%	WAS 7.6% −0.2% MIL 7.8%
ORB %	29 20.0% 25 21.8%	WAS 23.1% +0.4% MIL 22.7%
FTrt	27 22.1 4 27.0	WAS 21.0 MIL 35.9 +14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 20 61.5%	WAS 60.4% +2.1% MIL 58.3%
STL %	19 7.3% 28 6.7%	WAS 2.9% MIL 5.7% +2.8%
BLK %	16 9.4% 28 8.5%	WAS 6.6% MIL 9.5% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 6 58.8%	WAS 58.2% MIL 60.6% +2.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 4 67.9%	WAS 59.4% MIL 80.5% +21.1%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 11 44.5%	WAS 45.2% +15.2% MIL 30.0%
3P %	25 34.8% 11 37.3%	WAS 40.5% +11.5% MIL 29.0%
FT %	24 76.4% 19 77.4%	WAS 81.0% +2.2% MIL 78.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 24 31.5%	WAS 32.0% MIL 44.6% +12.6%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 7 25.4%	WAS 31.0% MIL 21.7% −9.3%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 4 43.0%	WAS 37.0% +3.3% MIL 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	128	131
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	29	28
Steals	3	6
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	40 (1)
Field Goals	48-100	48-92
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	33-41
Midrange FG	14-31	6-20
2-Point FG	33-63	39-61
3-Point FG	15-37	9-31
Free Throws	17-21	26-33
Fast Break Pts	13	7
2nd Chance Pts	12	9
Points in Paint	58	72
Pts off Turnovers	8	4
Bench Points	48	14
Biggest Lead	6	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg