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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 24, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers37%111107
3Nuggets63%116119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.7
36
29
11
4
7
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
2-5
40%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.6
34
32
17
8
4
0
1
2
2
1
7
4-4
100%
5-15
7-12
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.4
31
29
14
8
4
2
1
0
2
4
4
5-7
71%
3-9
3-5
33%
56%
1-2
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
30
13
18
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
4-6
67%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.8
29
31
21
8
5
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-1
0%
9-12
5-9
75%
56%
1-4
25%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
22
23
6
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-4
0%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.1
18
15
7
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.1
15
23
7
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
4-6
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
15
21
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
0-3
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.4
7
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.7
1
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Colin Castleton
C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.6
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
Alex Fudge
F · 6'9" 200 · 20.5
D'Moi Hodge
G · 6'4" 188 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
36
34
29
13
11
1
1
1
2
3
10
2-4
50%
9-17
8-13
53%
62%
3-5
60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
36
26
20
2
1
3
1
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
1-3
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
35
30
15
7
5
2
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
58%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.7
34
33
21
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
3-5
60%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.3
30
28
12
12
2
2
1
0
0
2
10
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
2-9
22%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.5
24
12
8
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
19
18
5
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.8
12
15
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-2
50%
62%
0-1
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.1
11
10
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-3
33%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.0
1
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.5
11
0
1-2
51%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.6
7
0
0-1
47%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.3
1
0
0-0
67%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.5
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.