Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Blazers	28%	110	111	112.1	99	107.9
	11	Clippers	72%	118	123	124.2	99	91.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+19

-17

101

LAC

+18

-17

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.0%

LAC

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	35.8	11	50%	3	4	0	0	4	2	1	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	29.9	13	50%	3	1	0	1	3	1	2	1	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	27.4	18	56%	2	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	23.1	4	50%	12	1	3	1	3	5	3	9	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	20.1	8	57%	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	28.5	14	50%	6	3	1	0	0	4	4	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	23.2	10	71%	7	0	3	1	2	4	2	5	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	22.6	20	63%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	3-5	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	15.8	7	58%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	6.3	6	75%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	INACTIVE
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	40	20	10	4	17	20	15	25	13-17	76%	34-61	56%	10-32	31%

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27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	35.8	11	50%	3	4	0	0	4	2	1	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	29.9	13	50%	3	1	0	1	3	1	2	1	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	27.4	18	56%	2	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	23.1	4	50%	12	1	3	1	3	5	3	9	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	20.1	8	57%	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	28.5	14	50%	6	3	1	0	0	4	4	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	23.2	10	71%	7	0	3	1	2	4	2	5	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	22.6	20	63%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	3-5	60%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	15.8	7	58%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	6.3	6	75%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	INACTIVE
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	55%	40	20	10	4	17	20	15	25	13-17	76%	34-61	56%	10-32	31%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 33	31.6	27	79%	3	6	3	0	4	2	0	3	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	4-7	57%
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	28.8	11	69%	5	13	0	0	3	3	2	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 32	28.7	23	68%	5	6	1	1	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-12	33%	5-5	100%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	25.6	20	83%	12	0	0	4	2	3	5	7	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	23.2	5	50%	4	2	3	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	22.9	8	57%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	21.8	17	71%	0	3	0	0	2	4	0	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	17.5	6	50%	8	2	0	0	0	0	3	5	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	13.6	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	9.1	0	0%	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	4.0	2	33%	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	3.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	3.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	INACTIVE
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left quadriceps; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	62%	45	36	11	7	17	20	14	31	13-16	81%	31-56	55%	16-34	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.0%

LAC

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

67%

LAC

71%

Midrange

POR

45%

LAC

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

31%

47%

LAC

24.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

POR

76%

LAC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon	20	63%	10.0 / 16
A. Simons	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Sharpe	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Grant	13	50%	6.5 / 13
S. Henderson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
R. Williams	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Thybulle	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Camara	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Walker	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Ayton	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	27	79%	13.5 / 17
K. Leonard	23	68%	11.5 / 17
I. Zubac	20	83%	10.0 / 12
B. Hyland	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. Westbrook	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Powell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Plumlee	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Covington	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Diabaté	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Coffey	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Miller	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 4
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 4 118.0	POR 112.1 LAC 124.2 +12.1
Pace	21 97.9 20 97.9	POR 107.9 +16.4 LAC 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 7 14.9	POR 13.3 −2.4 LAC 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 9 56.1%	POR 52.7% LAC 61.1% +8.4%
TO %	29 14.6% 11 12.5%	POR 15.2% −0.4% LAC 15.6%
ORB %	3 27.5% 16 24.4%	POR 32.6% LAC 35.9% +3.3%
FTrt	23 22.8 10 25.6	POR 18.3 +0.5 LAC 17.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 24 60.4%	POR 45.5% LAC 76.6% +31.1%
STL %	12 7.7% 7 8.0%	POR 10.1% LAC 11.1% +1.0%
BLK %	20 9.0% 24 8.8%	POR 7.1% LAC 11.5% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 7 58.4%	POR 55.0% LAC 61.5% +6.5%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 14 64.7%	POR 66.7% LAC 70.6% +3.9%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 5 45.6%	POR 45.2% +13.4% LAC 31.8%
3P %	30 34.5% 6 38.1%	POR 31.3% LAC 47.1% +15.8%
FT %	9 79.1% 3 82.5%	POR 76.5% LAC 81.3% +4.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 22 32.1%	POR 32.3% LAC 37.8% +5.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 27 29.6%	POR 33.3% LAC 24.4% −8.9%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 19 38.3%	POR 34.4% LAC 37.8% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	LAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	111	123
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	20	36
Steals	10	11
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	20	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	31 (2)
Field Goals	44-93	47-90
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	24-34
Midrange FG	14-31	7-22
2-Point FG	34-61	31-56
3-Point FG	10-32	16-34
Free Throws	13-17	13-16
Fast Break Pts	14	15
2nd Chance Pts	22	19
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	21	24
Bench Points	57	37
Biggest Lead	0	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg