Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	55%	112	108	104.9	103	96.1
	10	Grizzlies	45%	110	104	101.0	103	111.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.0	8	40%	2	1	5	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	35.0	22	65%	12	7	1	1	9	1	3	9	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	33.9	22	58%	1	5	0	1	3	2	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	30.3	10	45%	2	3	3	1	1	3	1	1	0-1	0%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.9	9	64%	13	3	0	0	1	4	1	12	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.7	16	62%	2	6	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.7	5	36%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.1	9	90%	3	0	1	3	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	13.0	7	70%	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	40	27	11	10	17	18	6	34	12-18	67%	27-51	53%	14-37	38%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.0	8	40%	2	1	5	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	35.0	22	65%	12	7	1	1	9	1	3	9	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	33.9	22	58%	1	5	0	1	3	2	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	30.3	10	45%	2	3	3	1	1	3	1	1	0-1	0%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.9	9	64%	13	3	0	0	1	4	1	12	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	21.7	16	62%	2	6	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.7	5	36%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.1	9	90%	3	0	1	3	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	13.0	7	70%	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	40	27	11	10	17	18	6	34	12-18	67%	27-51	53%	14-37	38%

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10 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	34.0	13	59%	8	2	3	2	5	5	2	6	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	31.8	15	38%	3	3	2	0	2	3	1	2	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	1-10	10%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	31.1	11	46%	9	3	0	0	4	0	2	7	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	30.8	20	71%	2	5	5	0	2	3	1	1	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	28.4	21	75%	9	2	0	3	0	5	2	7	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	2-2	100%

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	30.4	2	50%	6	2	1	2	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	21.9	16	53%	4	3	1	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	16.1	6	75%	5	0	0	0	2	1	3	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	15.4	0	0%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	NWT - League Suspension
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	48	22	13	7	20	23	13	35	20-24	83%	27-52	52%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.07 53.5%

MEM

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

14

23

61%

MEM

16

25

64%

Midrange

DEN

13

28

46%

MEM

11

27

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

14

21.0

37

38%

57%

MEM

10

15.0

33

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

12

18

67%

MEM

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Murray	22	58%	11.0 / 19
R. Jackson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Gordon	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Porter	9	64%	4.5 / 7
P. Watson	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	40%	4.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Braun	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	21	75%	10.5 / 14
M. Smart	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Rose	16	53%	8.0 / 15
D. Bane	15	38%	7.5 / 20
X. Tillman	13	59%	6.5 / 11
Z. Williams	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. LaRavia	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Konchar	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 30 106.8	DEN 104.9 +3.9 MEM 101.0
Pace	26 97.4 17 98.6	DEN 96.1 MEM 111.0 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 11 14.8	DEN 15.0 MEM 13.0 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 29 50.9%	DEN 54.5% +5.1% MEM 49.4%
TO %	7 12.1% 27 14.3%	DEN 16.5% −1.5% MEM 18.0%
ORB %	6 25.5% 19 23.8%	DEN 14.6% MEM 27.7% +13.1%
FTrt	24 22.4 18 23.8	DEN 20.5 MEM 28.2 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 13 64.4%	DEN 65.9% +6.4% MEM 59.5%
STL %	20 7.3% 5 8.3%	DEN 10.7% MEM 12.6% +1.9%
BLK %	25 8.7% 1 11.9%	DEN 19.2% +5.5% MEM 13.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 29 52.9%	DEN 53.5% +0.4% MEM 53.1%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 30 57.8%	DEN 60.9% MEM 64.0% +3.1%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 26 40.3%	DEN 46.4% +5.7% MEM 40.7%
3P %	10 37.4% 29 34.6%	DEN 37.8% +7.5% MEM 30.3%
FT %	25 76.2% 23 76.4%	DEN 66.7% MEM 83.3% +16.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 21 32.3%	DEN 26.1% MEM 29.4% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 4 24.9%	DEN 31.8% MEM 31.8% −0.1%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 5 42.8%	DEN 42.0% +3.2% MEM 38.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	DEN	MEM
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	108	104
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	27	22
Steals	11	13
Blocks	10	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	20 (1)
Fouls	18	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (8)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	41-88	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	16-25
Midrange FG	13-28	11-27
2-Point FG	27-51	27-52
3-Point FG	14-37	10-33
Free Throws	12-18	20-24
Fast Break Pts	9	22
2nd Chance Pts	15	8
Points in Paint	46	44
Pts off Turnovers	26	23
Bench Points	37	24
Biggest Lead	12	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg