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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 27, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Rockets49%115122
29Spurs51%116126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 29.7
45
32
24
8
12
0
2
0
3
0
8
2-3
67%
8-10
3-6
80%
45%
2-10
20%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 21.3
41
29
25
14
7
2
1
1
6
6
8
2-6
33%
10-15
5-9
67%
56%
1-3
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
39
26
17
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 21.7
38
30
22
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.5
37
27
13
9
0
1
1
0
2
4
5
1-4
25%
3-8
3-7
38%
51%
2-8
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.2
21
11
10
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 28.0
14
15
3
0
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
13
22
4
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Reggie Bullock Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 32.6
11
19
0
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 35.2
7
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
61%
0-0
-
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 19.3
11
0
1-2
50%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 27.1
7
0
1-1
45%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.7
7
0
1-2
52%
Jermaine Samuels Jr.
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
6
0
0-1
50%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.5
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 23.2
40
31
25
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-11
73%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
3-7
43%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 25.9
39
22
9
6
8
4
1
0
4
0
6
1-3
33%
4-5
3-6
80%
57%
0-7
0%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 24.0
35
31
20
4
4
0
1
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
5-7
6-11
71%
53%
3-7
43%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 19.8
31
23
21
12
1
2
1
3
4
5
7
7-8
88%
7-13
3-5
54%
57%
0-6
0%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 20.4
26
26
14
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
33
25
6
6
8
3
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
23
16
14
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
4-6
67%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 31.8
16
8
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
2-4
50%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 20.5
14
20
9
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
7
10
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
16
1
1-1
43%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.4
6
0
1-1
53%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.3
6
0
1-1
52%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
6
0
1-1
41%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
6
0
1-1
52%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 19.6
Charles Bediako
C · 7'0" 225 · 21.6
Sir'Jabari Rice
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.