Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 27, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Rockets	49%	116	122	109.9	111	100.3
	29	Spurs	51%	117	126	114.5	110	99.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-18

111

SAS

+15

-18

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.09 54.5%

SAS

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	44.5	24	57%	8	12	0	0	3	5	0	8	2-3	67%	8-10	80%	2-10	20%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	40.8	25	60%	14	7	2	1	6	6	6	8	2-6	33%	10-15	67%	1-3	33%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	39.1	17	61%	2	2	1	0	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.8	22	55%	5	4	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	37.2	13	36%	9	0	1	0	2	4	4	5	1-4	25%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	20.6	10	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	13.9	3	75%	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	12.8	4	40%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	10.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	7.5	4	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Stress Reaction
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	55%	43	30	7	4	18	26	11	32	10-20	50%	44-68	65%	8-32	25%

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28 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	44.5	24	57%	8	12	0	0	3	5	0	8	2-3	67%	8-10	80%	2-10	20%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	40.8	25	60%	14	7	2	1	6	6	6	8	2-6	33%	10-15	67%	1-3	33%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	39.1	17	61%	2	2	1	0	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.8	22	55%	5	4	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	37.2	13	36%	9	0	1	0	2	4	4	5	1-4	25%	3-8	38%	2-8	25%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	20.6	10	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	13.9	3	75%	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	12.8	4	40%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	10.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	7.5	4	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Stress Reaction
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	55%	43	30	7	4	18	26	11	32	10-20	50%	44-68	65%	8-32	25%

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29 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	39.6	25	74%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	8-11	73%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	38.9	9	35%	6	8	4	0	4	5	0	6	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	0-7	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.2	20	67%	4	4	0	1	3	5	2	2	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.0	21	48%	12	1	3	3	4	2	5	7	7-8	88%	7-13	54%	0-6	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 20	26.4	14	64%	5	4	2	0	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	33.0	6	38%	6	8	2	0	0	0	3	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	23.2	14	100%	2	1	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.1	8	80%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	14.1	9	64%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	7.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	NWT - League Suspension
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	INACTIVE
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	INACTIVE
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	126	59%	43	32	11	2	18	17	12	31	21-28	75%	33-52	63%	13-42	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.09 54.5%

SAS

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

75%

SAS

79%

Midrange

HOU

50%

SAS

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

12.0

25%

38%

SAS

19.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

HOU

50%

SAS

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	25	60%	12.5 / 21
F. VanVleet	24	57%	12.0 / 21
J. Green	22	55%	11.0 / 20
D. Brooks	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Smith	13	36%	6.5 / 18
J. Green	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Thompson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Marjanovic	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Tate	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Bullock	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	25	74%	12.5 / 17
V. Wembanyama	21	48%	10.5 / 22
K. Johnson	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Sochan	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Osman	14	100%	7.0 / 7
Z. Collins	9	35%	4.5 / 13
M. Branham	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. McDermott	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Jones	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 26 109.4	HOU 109.9 SAS 114.5 +4.6
Pace	13 99.6 3 101.7	HOU 100.3 +0.9 SAS 99.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 25 14.1	HOU 14.4 −0.1 SAS 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 23 53.2%	HOU 56.0% +0.1% SAS 55.9%
TO %	8 12.1% 26 14.3%	HOU 14.2% −0.3% SAS 14.5%
ORB %	10 25.1% 23 22.9%	HOU 26.2% SAS 27.3% +1.1%
FTrt	9 25.7 28 22.0	HOU 20.0 SAS 29.8 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 1 71.2%	HOU 57.7% SAS 69.6% +11.9%
STL %	9 7.8% 23 6.9%	HOU 6.3% SAS 10.0% +3.7%
BLK %	11 9.7% 10 9.7%	HOU 7.7% +4.8% SAS 2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 25 55.1%	HOU 54.5% SAS 58.9% +4.4%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 16 64.1%	HOU 75.0% SAS 78.6% +3.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 24 40.5%	HOU 50.0% +4.2% SAS 45.8%
3P %	23 35.2% 28 34.7%	HOU 25.0% SAS 31.0% +6.0%
FT %	20 77.3% 14 78.2%	HOU 50.0% SAS 75.0% +25.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 13 34.2%	HOU 40.0% +10.2% SAS 29.8%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 9 25.7%	HOU 28.0% SAS 25.5% −2.5%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 12 40.1%	HOU 32.0% SAS 44.7% +12.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	111	110
Possession Minutes	26.6	26.6
Points	122	126
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	30	32
Steals	7	11
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	26	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (7)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (6)	31 (5)
Field Goals	52-100	46-94
At-the-Rim FG	30-40	22-28
Midrange FG	14-28	11-24
2-Point FG	44-68	33-52
3-Point FG	8-32	13-42
Free Throws	10-20	21-28
Fast Break Pts	15	12
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	74	56
Pts off Turnovers	26	19
Bench Points	21	37
Biggest Lead	10	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg