Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Heat	27%	105	90	91.8	98	98.8
	5	Timberwolves	73%	114	106	107.1	99	100.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	39.6	22	46%	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	4-10	40%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	32.9	19	50%	3	2	0	0	4	4	1	2	5-10	50%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	32.4	3	25%	4	7	1	0	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	21.1	8	67%	11	4	1	0	0	2	0	11	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	18.2	7	88%	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	28.8	8	33%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-10	20%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	25.4	8	50%	5	0	2	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	22.4	5	63%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	11.6	5	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	2.0	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	INACTIVE
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	42	24	6	1	14	12	9	33	8-14	57%	23-49	47%	12-38	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	39.6	22	46%	5	4	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	4-10	40%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	32.9	19	50%	3	2	0	0	4	4	1	2	5-10	50%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	32.4	3	25%	4	7	1	0	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	21.1	8	67%	11	4	1	0	0	2	0	11	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	18.2	7	88%	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	28.8	8	33%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-10	20%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	25.4	8	50%	5	0	2	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	22.4	5	63%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	11.6	5	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	3	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	2.0	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	INACTIVE
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	42	24	6	1	14	12	9	33	8-14	57%	23-49	47%	12-38	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	33.4	19	59%	2	7	0	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	3-5	60%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	31.0	12	46%	10	2	1	0	1	3	0	10	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	30.8	14	78%	14	1	1	0	2	1	4	10	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	28.9	14	70%	4	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	22.8	5	31%	3	3	1	2	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	28.4	25	89%	8	1	2	0	0	3	1	7	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	4-7	57%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	22.9	12	86%	2	4	2	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	17.4	2	25%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	14.5	0	0%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	6.0	3	50%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf Strain
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	47	30	9	3	14	17	7	40	6-8	75%	32-52	62%	12-34	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.94 46.9%

MIN

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

21

67%

MIN

18

26

69%

Midrange

MIA

9

28

32%

MIN

14

26

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

12

18.0

38

32%

47%

MIN

12

18.0

34

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIA

8

14

57%

MIN

6

8

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	22	46%	11.0 / 24
B. Adebayo	19	50%	9.5 / 19
N. Jović	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Robinson	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Cain	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Jaquez	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Smith	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Bryant	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Swider	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Lowry	3	25%	1.5 / 6
O. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 2
R. Hampton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	25	89%	12.5 / 14
A. Edwards	19	59%	9.5 / 16
R. Gobert	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Conley	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Towns	12	46%	6.0 / 13
K. Anderson	12	86%	6.0 / 7
N. Alexander-Walker	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. McLaughlin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Milton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Brown Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 2
L. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Minott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 17 114.7	MIA 91.8 MIN 107.1 +15.2
Pace	29 97.0 22 97.9	MIA 98.8 MIN 100.7 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 3 15.0	MIA 14.6 MIN 14.3 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 10 55.9%	MIA 47.1% MIN 58.1% +11.0%
TO %	9 12.2% 22 13.6%	MIA 13.9% −1.3% MIN 15.2%
ORB %	26 21.8% 22 23.1%	MIA 18.4% +0.9% MIN 17.5%
FTrt	8 25.7 5 27.0	MIA 16.1 +6.8 MIN 9.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 12 64.6%	MIA 68.6% +0.4% MIN 68.2%
STL %	11 7.7% 6 8.0%	MIA 6.1% MIN 9.1% +3.0%
BLK %	30 7.7% 4 11.0%	MIA 1.9% MIN 6.1% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 10 57.7%	MIA 46.9% MIN 56.4% +9.5%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 15 64.3%	MIA 66.7% MIN 69.2% +2.5%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 16 42.6%	MIA 32.1% MIN 53.8% +21.7%
3P %	12 37.0% 3 38.7%	MIA 31.6% MIN 35.3% +3.7%
FT %	5 81.8% 18 77.7%	MIA 57.1% MIN 75.0% +17.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 14 34.1%	MIA 24.1% MIN 30.2% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 16 27.5%	MIA 32.2% MIN 30.2% −2.0%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 17 38.4%	MIA 43.7% +4.1% MIN 39.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	MIN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.8	23.6
Points	90	106
Rebounds	42	47
Assists	24	30
Steals	6	9
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	12	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	40 (1)
Field Goals	35-87	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	18-26
Midrange FG	9-28	14-26
2-Point FG	23-49	32-52
3-Point FG	12-38	12-34
Free Throws	8-14	6-8
Fast Break Pts	22	12
2nd Chance Pts	9	11
Points in Paint	38	58
Pts off Turnovers	15	22
Bench Points	31	42
Biggest Lead	8	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg