Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Lakers	51%	119	127	111.4	114	111.0
	14	Kings	49%	118	132	116.8	113	96.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	41.7	30	58%	16	2	2	3	0	5	6	10	7-8	88%	10-20	50%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30	41.4	20	56%	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	5-13	38%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	40.6	17	53%	3	9	0	0	0	4	0	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	39.1	27	61%	15	8	0	0	8	2	0	15	2-6	33%	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	27.5	5	19%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-8	13%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	31.6	2	33%	0	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	17.3	11	69%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	13.8	11	138%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	7.2	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot Soreness
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	54%	53	27	4	4	12	22	8	45	26-34	76%	28-53	53%	15-45	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	41.7	30	58%	16	2	2	3	0	5	6	10	7-8	88%	10-20	50%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30	41.4	20	56%	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	5-13	38%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	40.6	17	53%	3	9	0	0	0	4	0	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	39.1	27	61%	15	8	0	0	8	2	0	15	2-6	33%	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	27.5	5	19%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-8	13%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	31.6	2	33%	0	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	17.3	11	69%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	13.8	11	138%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	7.2	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot Soreness
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	54%	53	27	4	4	12	22	8	45	26-34	76%	28-53	53%	15-45	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	38.6	8	44%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	36.6	12	46%	7	4	0	2	0	3	0	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	34.3	37	69%	4	8	1	1	3	5	1	3	6-8	75%	11-16	69%	3-8	38%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	34.0	12	67%	15	5	1	0	3	6	1	14	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	33.2	17	57%	8	5	2	1	1	4	3	5	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	3-9	33%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	24.7	22	58%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	4-5	80%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	18.4	11	55%	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	15.5	5	63%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	15.5	4	100%	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.1	4	50%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	INACTIVE
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	132	58%	47	30	6	7	10	28	6	41	17-24	71%	32-56	57%	17-48	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.09 54.3%

SAC

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

19

29

66%

SAC

22

33

67%

Midrange

LAL

9

24

38%

SAC

10

23

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

15

22.5

45

33%

50%

SAC

17

25.5

48

35%

53%

Free Throws

LAL

26

34

76%

SAC

17

24

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	30	58%	15.0 / 26
L. James	27	61%	13.5 / 22
T. Prince	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Russell	17	53%	8.5 / 16
R. Hachimura	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Wood	11	138%	5.5 / 4
A. Reaves	5	19%	2.5 / 13
J. Hayes	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Vincent	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Reddish	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	37	69%	18.5 / 27
M. Monk	22	58%	11.0 / 19
K. Murray	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Huerter	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Sabonis	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Vezenkov	11	55%	5.5 / 10
H. Barnes	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Mitchell	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. McGee	4	100%	2.0 / 2
C. Duarte	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.4 13 116.3	LAL 111.4 SAC 116.8 +5.4
Pace	4 101.4 14 99.4	LAL 111.0 +14.1 SAC 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.2 26 14.1	LAL 13.0 −1.9 SAC 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.6% 14 55.6%	LAL 51.5% SAC 55.3% +3.8%
TO %	18 13.1% 12 12.5%	LAL 9.6% SAC 8.0% −1.6%
ORB %	30 19.9% 14 24.5%	LAL 16.3% +4.5% SAC 11.8%
FTrt	2 27.6 22 22.9	LAL 34.7 +11.6 SAC 23.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 65.4% 7 65.4%	LAL 62.8% +1.6% SAC 61.2%
STL %	21 7.2% 14 7.6%	LAL 3.5% SAC 5.3% +1.8%
BLK %	19 9.1% 27 8.6%	LAL 7.1% SAC 13.2% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.8% 14 57.0%	LAL 54.3% SAC 57.9% +3.6%
Rim FG%	1 68.9% 6 66.0%	LAL 65.5% SAC 66.7% +1.2%
Mid FG%	25 40.4% 9 44.9%	LAL 37.5% SAC 43.5% +6.0%
3P %	8 37.7% 16 36.6%	LAL 33.3% SAC 35.4% +2.1%
FT %	15 78.2% 30 74.5%	LAL 76.5% +5.7% SAC 70.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 27 30.0%	LAL 29.6% SAC 31.7% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 14 26.8%	LAL 24.5% SAC 22.1% −2.4%
3P Att. %	28 35.8% 3 43.2%	LAL 45.9% SAC 46.2% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	SAC
Possessions	114	113
Possession Minutes	24.7	28.0
Points	127	132
Rebounds	53	47
Assists	27	30
Steals	4	6
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	22	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (7)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (4)	41 (2)
Field Goals	43-98	49-104
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	22-33
Midrange FG	9-24	10-23
2-Point FG	28-53	32-56
3-Point FG	15-45	17-48
Free Throws	26-34	17-24
Fast Break Pts	22	7
2nd Chance Pts	16	20
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	15	10
Bench Points	28	46
Biggest Lead	10	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg