Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	40%	111	125	123.8	101	97.5
	15	Grizzlies	60%	115	110	107.8	102	105.8

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-15

MEM

+12

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.30 65.1%

MEM

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	40.0	35	65%	12	12	1	1	6	4	0	12	7-10	70%	5-10	50%	6-12	50%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	34.3	12	60%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	31.2	15	83%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	26.7	22	92%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	4-6	67%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	13.6	2	50%	6	0	0	1	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	29.2	21	70%	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	22.1	7	70%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	14.7	3	30%	2	2	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	12.2	0	0%	5	0	0	4	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	9.7	6	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	6.3	2	33%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dexter Dennis #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	65%	48	24	4	7	15	17	6	42	18-24	75%	19-37	51%	23-47	49%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	40.0	35	65%	12	12	1	1	6	4	0	12	7-10	70%	5-10	50%	6-12	50%
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	34.3	12	60%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	31.2	15	83%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	26.7	22	92%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	4-6	67%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	13.6	2	50%	6	0	0	1	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	29.2	21	70%	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	22.1	7	70%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	14.7	3	30%	2	2	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	12.2	0	0%	5	0	0	4	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	9.7	6	50%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	6.3	2	33%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dexter Dennis #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	65%	48	24	4	7	15	17	6	42	18-24	75%	19-37	51%	23-47	49%

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15 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	37.5	30	83%	6	3	3	0	2	3	2	4	3-4	75%	9-10	90%	3-7	43%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	35.4	23	68%	5	9	3	0	6	6	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	5-10	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	33.9	30	63%	9	4	0	2	1	3	2	7	7-9	78%	7-14	50%	3-6	50%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	33.1	8	50%	7	2	1	0	3	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 25	28.9	6	20%	7	1	2	1	0	0	2	5	0-3	0%	3-9	33%	0-5	0%

David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	29.0	9	50%	5	2	0	1	0	2	1	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	19.2	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	14.3	1	10%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	NWT - League Suspension
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Concussion Protocol
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	44	22	9	4	12	22	10	34	12-20	60%	28-55	51%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.30 65.1%

MEM

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

60%

MEM

60%

Midrange

DAL

41%

MEM

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

34.5

49%

73%

MEM

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

DAL

75%

MEM

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	35	65%	17.5 / 27
D. Jones	22	92%	11.0 / 12
T. Hardaway	21	70%	10.5 / 15
G. Williams	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Green	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Kleber	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hardy	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Curry	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Lively	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Exum	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	30	83%	15.0 / 18
J. Jackson	30	63%	15.0 / 24
M. Smart	23	68%	11.5 / 17
D. Roddy	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Z. Williams	8	50%	4.0 / 8
X. Tillman	6	20%	3.0 / 15
J. Konchar	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Rose	1	10%	0.5 / 5
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Gilyard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 30 106.8	DAL 123.8 +15.9 MEM 107.8
Pace	7 100.6 17 98.6	DAL 97.5 MEM 105.8 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 11 14.8	DAL 14.8 MEM 13.6 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 29 50.9%	DAL 63.7% +10.4% MEM 53.3%
TO %	5 12.0% 27 14.3%	DAL 13.7% MEM 10.6% −3.1%
ORB %	24 22.2% 19 23.8%	DAL 15.0% MEM 19.2% +4.2%
FTrt	13 25.1 18 23.8	DAL 28.6 +6.9 MEM 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 13 64.4%	DAL 57.1% +4.7% MEM 52.4%
STL %	27 6.8% 5 8.3%	DAL 4.0% MEM 8.8% +4.8%
BLK %	26 8.7% 1 11.9%	DAL 12.7% +1.9% MEM 10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 29 52.9%	DAL 65.1% +11.2% MEM 53.9%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 30 57.8%	DAL 60.0% MEM 60.0%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 26 40.3%	DAL 41.2% +6.2% MEM 35.0%
3P %	13 36.9% 29 34.6%	DAL 48.9% +11.1% MEM 37.8%
FT %	27 75.8% 23 76.4%	DAL 75.0% +15.0% MEM 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 21 32.3%	DAL 23.8% MEM 38.0% +14.2%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 4 24.9%	DAL 20.2% −1.5% MEM 21.7%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 5 42.8%	DAL 56.0% +15.7% MEM 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	DAL	MEM
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	125	110
Rebounds	48	44
Assists	24	22
Steals	4	9
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (2)	34 (3)
Field Goals	42-84	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	21-35
Midrange FG	7-17	7-20
2-Point FG	19-37	28-55
3-Point FG	23-47	14-37
Free Throws	18-24	12-20
Fast Break Pts	13	14
2nd Chance Pts	12	14
Points in Paint	34	52
Pts off Turnovers	11	16
Bench Points	39	13
Biggest Lead	17	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg