Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 1, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	17%	109	104	97.2	107	103.5
	1	Celtics	83%	123	155	144.9	107	111.7

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+10

-9

108

BOS

+15

-11

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.96 48.1%

BOS

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	24.9	11	79%	2	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	21.7	8	33%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	20.9	3	21%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24	20.0	14	39%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	1-7	14%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 21	15.3	8	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-3	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	28.0	18	64%	7	5	1	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	23.7	7	44%	4	5	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	21.5	5	31%	1	3	0	0	3	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	18.8	7	58%	3	1	0	4	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	18.6	9	50%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-6	17%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	14.7	6	75%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	12.0	8	67%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Capsular Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	48%	31	26	6	2	9	20	8	23	7-12	58%	41-64	64%	5-37	14%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	24.9	11	79%	2	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	21.7	8	33%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	20.9	3	21%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24	20.0	14	39%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	1-7	14%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 21	15.3	8	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-3	0%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	28.0	18	64%	7	5	1	0	1	2	2	5	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	23.7	7	44%	4	5	1	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	21.5	5	31%	1	3	0	0	3	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	18.8	7	58%	3	1	0	4	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	18.6	9	50%	1	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-6	17%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	14.7	6	75%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	12.0	8	67%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Capsular Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	48%	31	26	6	2	9	20	8	23	7-12	58%	41-64	64%	5-37	14%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28	27.1	13	65%	6	2	0	0	2	3	1	5	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 29	26.8	18	90%	3	4	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	26.6	30	79%	12	4	0	0	2	1	2	10	9-10	90%	6-10	60%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	25.5	16	50%	7	1	0	0	2	3	1	6	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
Jrue Holiday #4 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	25.4	15	83%	7	4	0	1	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	26.3	15	75%	4	9	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	19.5	4	40%	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	19.5	17	106%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-6	83%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	11.1	5	63%	4	0	1	1	1	0	2	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	11.1	5	42%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	8.3	11	110%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	6.9	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	6.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	155	70%	57	27	5	6	11	19	11	46	27-28	96%	34-60	57%	20-35	57%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.96 48.1%

BOS

1.40 69.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

81%

BOS

64%

Midrange

IND

53%

BOS

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

7.5

14%

20%

BOS

30.0

57%

86%

Free Throws

IND

58%

BOS

96%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. McConnell	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Nembhard	14	39%	7.0 / 18
O. Toppin	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Nesmith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Turner	8	33%	4.0 / 12
B. Mathurin	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Walker	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Hield	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Jackson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Sheppard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Nwora	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Brown	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. White	18	90%	9.0 / 10
S. Hauser	17	106%	8.5 / 8
J. Brown	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Holiday	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Pritchard	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Porziņģis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Banton	11	110%	5.5 / 5
A. Horford	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Mykhailiuk	5	42%	2.5 / 6
O. Brissett	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Stevens	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Kornet	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 1 122.2	IND 97.2 BOS 144.9 +47.7
Pace	2 102.3 19 98.0	IND 103.5 BOS 111.7 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 5 15.0	IND 13.9 BOS 12.9 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 2 57.8%	IND 48.0% BOS 67.4% +19.4%
TO %	6 12.0% 1 11.4%	IND 7.8% −3.0% BOS 10.8%
ORB %	20 23.8% 12 24.9%	IND 14.8% BOS 32.4% +17.6%
FTrt	26 22.2 25 22.4	IND 11.9 BOS 29.5 +17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 21 61.3%	IND 56.5% +6.5% BOS 50.0%
STL %	15 7.5% 26 6.9%	IND 5.6% +0.9% BOS 4.7%
BLK %	14 9.5% 7 10.7%	IND 3.3% BOS 9.4% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 1 59.5%	IND 48.1% BOS 69.8% +21.7%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 2 68.1%	IND 80.8% +17.2% BOS 63.6%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 15 43.5%	IND 52.6% +4.5% BOS 48.1%
3P %	9 37.4% 2 38.8%	IND 13.5% BOS 57.1% +43.6%
FT %	13 78.2% 7 80.7%	IND 58.3% BOS 96.4% +38.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 26 30.1%	IND 25.7% BOS 34.7% +9.0%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 1 22.8%	IND 37.6% BOS 28.4% −9.2%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 1 47.1%	IND 36.6% BOS 36.8% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	IND	BOS
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.0
Points	104	155
Rebounds	31	57
Assists	26	27
Steals	6	5
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	46 (1)
Field Goals	46-101	54-95
At-the-Rim FG	21-26	21-33
Midrange FG	20-38	13-27
2-Point FG	41-64	34-60
3-Point FG	5-37	20-35
Free Throws	7-12	27-28
Fast Break Pts	14	19
2nd Chance Pts	8	15
Points in Paint	70	52
Pts off Turnovers	12	13
Bench Points	60	63
Biggest Lead	2	53

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg