Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 1, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nets	41%	111	109	104.8	104	110.7
	13	Heat	59%	115	105	102.9	102	96.2

Scoring Opportunities

BKN

+12

-18

MIA

+14

-16

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.11 55.6%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 30	38.6	6	50%	7	5	2	1	3	5	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 22	34.3	13	31%	2	1	3	1	4	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-12	17%	2-7	29%
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	33.8	4	33%	11	5	0	1	4	4	2	9	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Mikal Bridges #1 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	30.6	21	58%	7	5	1	0	2	1	2	5	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · C · 6'7" 220 · 30	29.8	15	75%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%

Lonnie Walker IV #8 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25	24.8	17	61%	3	4	3	0	3	1	1	2	8-11	73%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Armoni Brooks #13 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 25	15.9	17	121%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-6	83%
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 23	13.9	11	79%	4	4	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 22	12.7	5	63%	7	1	1	0	0	0	1	6	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #14 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Cameron Johnson #2 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	47	27	11	5	18	18	7	40	19-26	73%	21-46	46%	16-36	44%

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16 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 30	38.6	6	50%	7	5	2	1	3	5	0	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 22	34.3	13	31%	2	1	3	1	4	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-12	17%	2-7	29%
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 27	33.8	4	33%	11	5	0	1	4	4	2	9	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Mikal Bridges #1 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	30.6	21	58%	7	5	1	0	2	1	2	5	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Dorian Finney-Smith #28 · C · 6'7" 220 · 30	29.8	15	75%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%

Lonnie Walker IV #8 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25	24.8	17	61%	3	4	3	0	3	1	1	2	8-11	73%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Armoni Brooks #13 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 25	15.9	17	121%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-6	83%
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 23	13.9	11	79%	4	4	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 22	12.7	5	63%	7	1	1	0	0	0	1	6	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jalen Wilson #22 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #14 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Cameron Johnson #2 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	47	27	11	5	18	18	7	40	19-26	73%	21-46	46%	16-36	44%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	35.7	30	65%	3	5	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-1	0%	6-13	46%	6-10	60%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	34.1	20	53%	7	3	1	0	1	1	4	3	6-8	75%	7-14	50%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	33.1	21	75%	14	3	2	2	4	0	4	10	5-5	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	29.6	6	60%	3	3	2	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	19.1	2	11%	4	1	2	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-6	0%

Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	30.3	4	20%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	1-5	20%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	21.8	9	90%	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	21.3	5	31%	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	14.9	8	80%	5	0	1	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	INACTIVE
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	46	22	10	4	16	20	11	35	14-18	78%	26-53	49%	13-38	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.11 55.6%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BKN

59%

MIA

64%

Midrange

BKN

24%

MIA

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BKN

24.0

44%

67%

MIA

19.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

BKN

73%

MIA

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	21	58%	10.5 / 18
L. Walker IV	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Brooks	17	121%	8.5 / 7
D. Finney-Smith	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Thomas	13	31%	6.5 / 21
T. Watford	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. O'Neale	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Sharpe	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Simmons	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Wilson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	30	65%	15.0 / 23
B. Adebayo	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Butler	20	53%	10.0 / 19
H. Highsmith	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Bryant	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Lowry	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Robinson	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Richardson	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Jaquez	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.5 21 113.3	BKN 104.8 +1.9 MIA 102.9
Pace	25 97.6 29 97.0	BKN 110.7 +14.6 MIA 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.8 10 14.8	BKN 13.0 −2.0 MIA 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.1% 20 53.8%	BKN 54.9% +4.9% MIA 50.0%
TO %	14 12.6% 9 12.2%	BKN 16.2% MIA 15.4% −0.8%
ORB %	8 25.2% 26 21.8%	BKN 16.7% MIA 21.6% +4.9%
FTrt	20 23.4 8 25.7	BKN 31.7 +11.9 MIA 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.0% 11 64.8%	BKN 73.0% +16.6% MIA 56.4%
STL %	25 6.9% 11 7.7%	BKN 10.6% +0.8% MIA 9.8%
BLK %	12 9.5% 30 7.7%	BKN 9.4% +0.7% MIA 8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 54.8% 17 56.2%	BKN 55.6% +3.1% MIA 52.5%
Rim FG%	22 61.9% 23 61.6%	BKN 58.6% MIA 64.3% +5.7%
Mid FG%	27 40.1% 13 44.3%	BKN 23.5% MIA 32.0% +8.5%
3P %	19 36.2% 12 37.0%	BKN 44.4% +10.2% MIA 34.2%
FT %	28 75.6% 5 81.8%	BKN 73.1% MIA 77.8% +4.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 32.7% 29 29.5%	BKN 35.4% +4.6% MIA 30.8%
Mid Att. %	10 26.1% 28 31.1%	BKN 20.7% −6.7% MIA 27.5%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 14 39.4%	BKN 43.9% +2.1% MIA 41.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BKN	MIA
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	109	105
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	27	22
Steals	11	10
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (0)	35 (1)
Field Goals	37-82	39-91
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	18-28
Midrange FG	4-17	8-25
2-Point FG	21-46	26-53
3-Point FG	16-36	13-38
Free Throws	19-26	14-18
Fast Break Pts	24	13
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	40	44
Pts off Turnovers	25	20
Bench Points	50	26
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg