Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 4, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Kings	53%	115	89	94.7	94	93.5
	25	Rockets	47%	114	107	111.5	96	96.5

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-11

HOU

+15

-11

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.4%

HOU

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	33.1	7	29%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-8	13%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	31.9	13	72%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4-5	80%	0-3	0%	3-4	75%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	30.7	11	46%	15	4	1	2	5	2	3	12	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	26.4	7	50%	3	5	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	15.8	4	25%	4	2	1	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	26.0	10	56%	2	1	1	1	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.7	18	60%	3	7	0	1	1	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	18.1	5	36%	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	14.7	12	67%	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	10.8	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	1.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	43	20	5	3	11	19	8	35	14-19	74%	21-43	49%	11-41	27%

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20 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	33.1	7	29%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-8	13%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	31.9	13	72%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4-5	80%	0-3	0%	3-4	75%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	30.7	11	46%	15	4	1	2	5	2	3	12	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	26.4	7	50%	3	5	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	15.8	4	25%	4	2	1	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	26.0	10	56%	2	1	1	1	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	25.7	18	60%	3	7	0	1	1	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	18.1	5	36%	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	14.7	12	67%	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	10.8	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	1.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	43	20	5	3	11	19	8	35	14-19	74%	21-43	49%	11-41	27%

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25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	38.4	26	76%	9	1	1	0	1	0	3	6	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	2-4	50%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	36.1	21	46%	6	12	0	2	2	4	0	6	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	4-14	29%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	35.5	10	38%	2	5	0	0	3	1	0	2	2-7	29%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	34.5	21	70%	11	0	0	1	0	4	3	8	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	34.3	15	58%	9	6	2	0	2	2	0	9	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-3	33%

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	20.7	11	92%	4	1	0	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	19.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	12.0	0	0%	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	5.4	1	25%	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	1.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Stress Reaction
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	53	28	4	6	11	18	10	43	14-20	70%	27-51	53%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.4%

HOU

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

HOU

54%

Midrange

SAC

28%

HOU

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

27%

40%

HOU

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

SAC

74%

HOU

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	18	60%	9.0 / 15
H. Barnes	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. McGee	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Sabonis	11	46%	5.5 / 12
C. Duarte	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Murray	7	29%	3.5 / 12
D. Mitchell	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Jones	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Huerter	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Ford	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Vezenkov	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	26	76%	13.0 / 17
F. VanVleet	21	46%	10.5 / 23
J. Smith	21	70%	10.5 / 15
A. Sengun	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Tate	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Green	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Samuels Jr.	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Green	1	25%	0.5 / 2
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Landale	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 20 113.8	SAC 94.7 HOU 111.5 +16.8
Pace	14 99.4 13 99.6	SAC 93.5 HOU 96.5 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 22 14.2	SAC 15.4 HOU 14.9 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 27 52.9%	SAC 44.6% HOU 53.4% +8.8%
TO %	12 12.5% 8 12.1%	SAC 10.6% HOU 10.3% −0.3%
ORB %	14 24.5% 10 25.1%	SAC 15.7% HOU 22.2% +6.5%
FTrt	22 22.9 9 25.7	SAC 22.6 HOU 23.0 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 27 59.4%	SAC 62.5% HOU 70.0% +7.5%
STL %	14 7.6% 9 7.8%	SAC 5.3% +1.1% HOU 4.2%
BLK %	27 8.6% 11 9.7%	SAC 5.9% HOU 14.0% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 24 55.2%	SAC 48.4% HOU 53.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 24 61.2%	SAC 64.0% +9.7% HOU 54.3%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 21 41.2%	SAC 27.8% HOU 50.0% +22.2%
3P %	16 36.6% 23 35.2%	SAC 26.8% HOU 36.1% +9.3%
FT %	30 74.5% 20 77.3%	SAC 73.7% +3.7% HOU 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 6 35.5%	SAC 29.8% HOU 40.2% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 3 24.7%	SAC 21.4% HOU 18.4% −3.0%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 13 39.7%	SAC 48.8% +7.4% HOU 41.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	HOU
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	89	107
Rebounds	43	53
Assists	20	28
Steals	5	4
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	43 (3)
Field Goals	32-84	40-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	19-35
Midrange FG	5-18	8-16
2-Point FG	21-43	27-51
3-Point FG	11-41	13-36
Free Throws	14-19	14-20
Fast Break Pts	2	6
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	42	54
Pts off Turnovers	10	13
Bench Points	47	14
Biggest Lead	1	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg