Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 4, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Bulls	24%	104	101	103.1	98	96.3
	2	Nuggets	76%	114	123	125.5	98	99.7

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+10

-11

DEN

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.04 52.1%

DEN

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	33.8	17	47%	3	6	0	0	0	4	0	3	3-4	75%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	30.6	12	46%	4	4	1	0	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	30.6	11	50%	2	5	2	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	29.7	19	53%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	1-2	50%
Torrey Craig #13 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 33	27.4	7	58%	6	3	1	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	28.0	7	39%	3	3	1	2	1	0	1	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-5	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	17.7	16	89%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	4-5	80%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	15.1	5	63%	11	0	1	0	0	1	4	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	14.3	3	50%	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	3.2	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Upper Respiratory; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	37	28	7	3	11	19	9	28	16-23	70%	32-60	53%	7-26	27%

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19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	33.8	17	47%	3	6	0	0	0	4	0	3	3-4	75%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	30.6	12	46%	4	4	1	0	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	30.6	11	50%	2	5	2	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	29.7	19	53%	7	3	0	0	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	1-2	50%
Torrey Craig #13 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 33	27.4	7	58%	6	3	1	0	0	1	2	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	28.0	7	39%	3	3	1	2	1	0	1	2	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-5	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	17.7	16	89%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	4-5	80%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	15.1	5	63%	11	0	1	0	0	1	4	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	14.3	3	50%	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	3.2	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Upper Respiratory; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	37	28	7	3	11	19	9	28	16-23	70%	32-60	53%	7-26	27%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	34.7	15	58%	12	5	2	1	3	2	3	9	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	33.4	28	70%	16	9	3	0	1	3	4	12	9-9	100%	8-13	62%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.8	27	75%	6	2	1	2	2	4	1	5	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	29.8	10	63%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	9.5	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	25.3	16	73%	1	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.4	2	33%	2	2	2	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.0	10	56%	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	12.3	1	50%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	11.7	5	63%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	9.1	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	2.4	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	2.4	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	63%	49	31	10	4	11	18	10	39	23-30	77%	26-45	58%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.04 52.1%

DEN

1.26 62.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

65%

DEN

68%

Midrange

CHI

41%

DEN

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

10.5

27%

40%

DEN

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

CHI

70%

DEN

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Vučević	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. DeRozan	17	47%	8.5 / 18
J. Carter	16	89%	8.0 / 9
Z. LaVine	12	46%	6.0 / 13
C. White	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Craig	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Williams	7	39%	3.5 / 9
A. Drummond	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Caruso	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Taylor	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Terry	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	28	70%	14.0 / 20
M. Porter	27	75%	13.5 / 18
R. Jackson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
A. Gordon	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Braun	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Gillespie	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Strawther	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Pickett	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Murray	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Watson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	1	50%	0.5 / 1
Z. Nnaji	1	50%	0.5 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.1 5 117.9	CHI 103.1 DEN 125.5 +22.4
Pace	28 97.1 26 97.4	CHI 96.3 DEN 99.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 4 15.0	CHI 14.9 DEN 14.4 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.4% 8 56.2%	CHI 49.4% DEN 61.7% +12.3%
TO %	4 11.9% 7 12.1%	CHI 10.3% −1.0% DEN 11.3%
ORB %	9 25.1% 6 25.5%	CHI 18.8% DEN 26.3% +7.5%
FTrt	19 23.6 24 22.4	CHI 26.7 DEN 37.0 +10.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 59.4% 5 66.9%	CHI 71.8% DEN 73.8% +2.0%
STL %	8 7.9% 20 7.3%	CHI 7.1% DEN 10.2% +3.1%
BLK %	9 9.9% 25 8.7%	CHI 6.7% DEN 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.4% 11 57.5%	CHI 52.1% DEN 62.8% +10.7%
Rim FG%	26 60.9% 17 63.6%	CHI 64.5% DEN 68.0% +3.5%
Mid FG%	7 45.2% 3 47.0%	CHI 41.4% DEN 45.0% +3.6%
3P %	20 35.8% 10 37.4%	CHI 26.9% DEN 44.4% +17.5%
FT %	10 79.1% 25 76.2%	CHI 69.6% DEN 76.7% +7.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.0% 4 36.0%	CHI 36.0% +5.2% DEN 30.9%
Mid Att. %	29 31.2% 25 28.8%	CHI 33.7% DEN 24.7% −9.0%
3P Att. %	29 35.8% 30 35.2%	CHI 30.2% DEN 44.4% +14.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	DEN
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	101	123
Rebounds	37	49
Assists	28	31
Steals	7	10
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	39 (0)
Field Goals	39-86	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-31	17-25
Midrange FG	12-29	9-20
2-Point FG	32-60	26-45
3-Point FG	7-26	16-36
Free Throws	16-23	23-30
Fast Break Pts	16	15
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	22	18
Bench Points	35	41
Biggest Lead	6	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg