FinalWin Prob.pScore
1546%111
107
1454%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
108.199100.3
MIA logo MIA
109.19997.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound107
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 0:04.1LakersCam Reddish misses two point jump shot107
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 0:08.9HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)107
38.5%
108
61.5%
Q4 - 0:28.4HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound107
20.1%
108
79.9%
Q4 - 0:30.9LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot107
25.6%
108
74.4%
Q4 - 0:48.5LakersTaurean Prince defensive rebound107
42.1%
108
57.9%
Q4 - 0:51.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot107
37.3%
108
62.7%
Q4 - 1:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound107
27.4%
108
72.6%
Q4 - 1:14LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot107
32.2%
108
67.8%
Q4 - 1:23LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound107
43.0%
108
57.0%
Q4 - 1:27HeatLeBron James blocks Kyle Lowry's three point jump shot107
38.4%
108
61.6%
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound107
29.7%
108
70.3%
Q4 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot107
38.6%
108
61.4%
Q4 - 1:57LakersLeBron James turnover (offensive foul)107
29.9%
108
70.1%
Q4 - 1:57LakersLeBron James offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)107
42.8%
108
57.2%
Q4 - 1:58LakersTaurean Prince defensive rebound107
42.8%
108
57.2%
Q4 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup107
39.4%
108
60.6%
Q4 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound107
28.8%
108
71.2%
Q4 - 2:14LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot107
33.2%
108
66.8%
Q4 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Austin Reaves steals)107
45.0%
108
55.0%
Q4 - 2:39LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 1107
28.4%
108
71.6%
Q4 - 2:39HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)106
26.3%
108
73.7%
Q4 - 2:49LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound104
15.9%
108
84.1%
Q4 - 2:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot104
15.6%
108
84.4%
Q4 - 3:10LakersChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)104
10.9%
108
89.1%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)101
5.5%
108
94.5%
Q4 - 3:37LakersLeBron James makes two point hook shot (Austin Reaves assists)101
5.9%
108
94.1%
Q4 - 3:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Christian Wood steals)99
4.3%
108
95.7%
Q4 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 199
2.9%
108
97.1%
Q4 - 3:50Lakers technical foul (Delay of game)99
3.2%
107
96.8%
Q4 - 3:50LakersLeBron James personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
4.1%
107
95.9%
Q4 - 3:58LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot99
4.0%
107
96.0%
Q4 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)97
2.9%
107
97.1%
Q4 - 4:26LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)97
3.9%
105
96.1%
Q4 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
5.6%
105
94.4%
Q4 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 297
5.9%
104
94.1%
Q4 - 4:39LakersChristian Wood shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)97
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 5:02LakersChristian Wood makes two point layup97
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 5:25HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)95
7.7%
103
92.3%
Q4 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
13.1%
100
86.9%
Q4 - 5:35LakersLeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
14.4%
100
85.6%
Q4 - 5:51LakersAustin Reaves makes technical free throw 1 of 195
17.6%
100
82.4%
Q4 - 5:51HeatTyler Herro technical foul94
16.5%
100
83.5%
Q4 - 5:57HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)94
13.4%
100
86.6%
Q4 - 5:57HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (Cam Reddish draws the foul)94
9.8%
100
90.2%
Q4 - 6:24LakersChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)94
11.8%
100
88.2%
Q4 - 6:30LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound91
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 6:37HeatHeat offensive rebound91
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 6:38HeatLeBron James blocks Tyler Herro's two point running dunk91
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 6:40LakersAustin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)91
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 6:50LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound91
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 6:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot91
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 7:09HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound91
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 7:12LakersCam Reddish misses regular free throw 2 of 291
6.9%
100
93.1%
Q4 - 7:12LakersCam Reddish makes regular free throw 1 of 291
8.2%
100
91.8%
Q4 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Cam Reddish draws the foul)90
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)90
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Cam Reddish draws the foul)90
5.2%
100
94.8%
Q4 - 7:39LakersLeBron James makes two point layup (Austin Reaves assists)90
5.2%
100
94.8%
Q4 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 188
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 188
5.4%
99
94.6%
Q4 - 7:52LakersD'Angelo Russell technical foul88
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 7:52LakersD'Angelo Russell technical foul88
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 7:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)88
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 7:57LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)88
8.4%
96
91.6%
Q4 - 8:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)88
12.1%
96
87.9%
Q4 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
14.8%
94
85.2%
Q4 - 8:24LakersTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot88
15.8%
94
84.2%
Q4 - 8:32LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound88
18.4%
94
81.6%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot88
17.2%
94
82.8%
Q4 - 8:51LakersAustin Reaves makes two point driving layup88
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 9:08Jump ball. Taurean Prince vs. Bam Adebayo (LeBron James gains possession)86
13.3%
94
86.7%
Q4 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound86
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 9:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot86
12.4%
94
87.6%
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound86
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 9:33LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot86
11.2%
94
88.8%
Q4 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)86
13.2%
94
86.8%
Q4 - 10:11LakersAustin Reaves makes three point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)86
17.0%
92
83.0%
Q4 - 10:19HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
12.0%
92
88.0%
Q4 - 10:25LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk (Austin Reaves assists)83
9.6%
92
90.4%
Q4 - 10:27LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound81
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 10:33HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot81
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 10:40LakersTaurean Prince personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)81
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 10:41HeatHeat offensive rebound81
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot81
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 10:52LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)81
6.4%
92
93.6%
Q4 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)81
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot81
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 11:18LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup81
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 11:38HeatThomas Bryant turnover (3-second violation)79
8.8%
90
91.2%
Q4 - 11:49LakersTaurean Prince personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)79
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q3 - 0:02.8LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound79
9.9%
90
90.1%
Q3 - 0:05.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot79
9.4%
90
90.6%
Q3 - 0:25.2LakersCam Reddish makes two point cutting dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)79
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q3 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 277
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q3 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 277
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q3 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 177
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q3 - 0:39.4LakersDarvin Ham technical foul77
8.6%
87
91.4%
Q3 - 0:39.4LakersChristian Wood shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
8.6%
87
91.4%
Q3 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound77
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q3 - 0:41.8HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot77
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q3 - 0:56.2LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point driving layup77
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q3 - 0:58.3LakersCam Reddish offensive rebound75
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q3 - 1:01LakersLeBron James misses two point driving dunk75
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q3 - 1:11LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound75
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q3 - 1:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot75
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q3 - 1:27LakersMax Christie turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)75
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q3 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q3 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q3 - 1:45LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot75
8.1%
87
91.9%
Q3 - 1:58LakersCam Reddish defensive rebound75
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot75
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q3 - 2:27LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot75
9.1%
87
90.9%
Q3 - 2:35LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound75
10.2%
87
89.8%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot75
9.7%
87
90.3%
Q3 - 2:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
8.6%
87
91.4%
Q3 - 2:49LakersCam Reddish misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
9.1%
87
90.9%
Q3 - 3:11HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)75
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q3 - 3:12HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound75
12.5%
85
87.5%
Q3 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk75
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q3 - 3:24LakersAustin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)75
12.5%
85
87.5%
Q3 - 3:33LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound75
14.8%
85
85.2%
Q3 - 3:38HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot75
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q3 - 3:49LakersChristian Wood makes regular free throw 2 of 275
12.5%
85
87.5%
Q3 - 3:49LakersChristian Wood misses regular free throw 1 of 274
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q3 - 3:49HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Christian Wood draws the foul)74
13.4%
85
86.6%
Q3 - 4:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point hook shot74
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q3 - 4:17LakersChristian Wood turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)74
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q3 - 4:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)74
17.9%
83
82.1%
Q3 - 4:42LakersAnthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)74
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q3 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)74
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
26.5%
79
73.5%
Q3 - 5:21LakersChristian Wood misses two point jump shot74
27.5%
79
72.5%
Q3 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)74
29.8%
79
70.2%
Q3 - 5:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 5:37LakersAnthony Davis misses two point layup74
34.0%
77
66.0%
Q3 - 5:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point putback layup74
36.7%
77
63.3%
Q3 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound74
40.0%
75
60.0%
Q3 - 5:51HeatLeBron James blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup74
42.8%
75
57.2%
Q3 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
40.0%
75
60.0%
Q3 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot74
43.0%
75
57.0%
Q3 - 6:24LakersAustin Reaves makes three point pullup jump shot74
40.1%
75
59.9%
Q3 - 6:30LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound71
33.6%
75
66.4%
Q3 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q3 - 6:52HeatHeat defensive rebound71
30.0%
75
70.0%
Q3 - 6:52LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot71
31.0%
75
69.0%
Q3 - 7:08HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)71
34.1%
75
65.9%
Q3 - 7:14LakersLeBron James personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 7:23LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot71
41.4%
72
58.6%
Q3 - 7:25LakersAustin Reaves offensive rebound71
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 7:29LakersChristian Wood misses two point jump shot71
41.4%
72
58.6%
Q3 - 7:32HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)71
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 7:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)71
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 7:54LakersTaurean Prince personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)71
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 8:11LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk (Taurean Prince assists)71
40.1%
72
59.9%
Q3 - 8:17HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Taurean Prince steals)69
37.5%
72
62.5%
Q3 - 8:26LakersAustin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)69
33.6%
72
66.4%
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 169
37.5%
72
62.5%
Q3 - 8:42LakersAustin Reaves shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
38.1%
71
61.9%
Q3 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound69
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 8:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot69
46.4%
69
53.6%
Q3 - 9:03LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)69
43.6%
69
56.4%
Q3 - 9:07HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)67
40.8%
69
59.2%
Q3 - 9:26LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point pullup jump shot67
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot65
34.5%
69
65.5%
Q3 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 9:52LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot65
38.2%
67
61.8%
Q3 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
40.9%
67
59.1%
Q3 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
43.4%
65
56.6%
Q3 - 10:21LakersTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot65
44.6%
65
55.4%
Q3 - 10:25LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound65
47.3%
65
52.7%
Q3 - 10:28HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot65
46.1%
65
53.9%
Q3 - 10:37LakersTaurean Prince makes two point driving layup (Austin Reaves assists)65
43.4%
65
56.6%
Q3 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot63
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 11:05LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point driving layup63
46.7%
62
53.3%
Q3 - 11:15LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound61
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot61
42.7%
62
57.3%
Q3 - 11:35LakersTaurean Prince makes two point driving floating jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)61
40.4%
62
59.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound59
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot59
36.9%
62
63.1%
Q2 - 0:03.3LakersAustin Reaves makes two point putback dunk59
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q2 - 0:03.5LakersAustin Reaves offensive rebound57
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q2 - 0:03.5LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot57
30.4%
62
69.6%
Q2 - 0:27.9HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q2 - 0:46.4LakersCam Reddish turnover (out of bounds step)57
38.0%
59
62.0%
Q2 - 0:46.4LakersCam Reddish offensive rebound57
40.6%
59
59.4%
Q2 - 0:48.4LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot57
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q2 - 1:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q2 - 1:22LakersAustin Reaves makes two point cutting finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)57
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q2 - 1:41HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q2 - 2:08LakersChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)55
46.7%
54
53.3%
Q2 - 2:18LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound52
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q2 - 2:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot52
40.3%
54
59.7%
Q2 - 2:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q2 - 2:29LakersBam Adebayo blocks Cam Reddish's two point driving layup52
39.1%
54
60.9%
Q2 - 2:38HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving reverse layup52
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q2 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
43.8%
52
56.2%
Q2 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
46.0%
52
54.0%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 152
43.9%
52
56.1%
Q2 - 3:00Anthony Davis technical foul (Defensive three second)52
44.6%
51
55.4%
Q2 - 3:18LakersTaurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)52
46.5%
51
53.5%
Q2 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)49
41.4%
51
58.6%
Q2 - 3:46LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
43.6%
49
56.4%
Q2 - 3:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound49
43.6%
49
56.4%
Q2 - 4:03LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving hook shot49
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)49
46.9%
49
53.1%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)49
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 4:36LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point fadeaway jump shot49
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)47
41.5%
49
58.5%
Q2 - 5:06LakersCam Reddish turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)47
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 5:07LakersCam Reddish defensive rebound47
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q2 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound47
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 5:18LakersTaurean Prince misses two point fadeaway jump shot47
44.6%
47
55.4%
Q2 - 5:35LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound47
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q2 - 5:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot47
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound47
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot47
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q2 - 5:55LakersMax Christie makes two point driving layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)47
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 6:08HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)45
41.7%
47
58.3%
Q2 - 6:22LakersLeBron James personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound45
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 6:22HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot45
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 6:40LakersLeBron James makes two point running finger roll layup (Austin Reaves assists)45
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 6:43LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound43
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q2 - 6:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot43
35.8%
47
64.2%
Q2 - 7:01LakersAustin Reaves turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
34.1%
47
65.9%
Q2 - 7:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)43
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q2 - 7:32LakersAnthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Taurean Prince assists)43
41.4%
44
58.6%
Q2 - 7:37LakersMax Christie defensive rebound41
39.1%
44
60.9%
Q2 - 7:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot41
38.3%
44
61.7%
Q2 - 7:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 7:49LakersAustin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 141
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 7:49HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)41
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q2 - 7:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Cam Reddish steals)39
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 7:57HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound39
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 8:00LakersThomas Bryant blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup39
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot39
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 8:18LakersCam Reddish makes two point cutting layup (Christian Wood assists)39
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 8:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)37
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 8:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 8:42LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot37
37.3%
40
62.7%
Q2 - 8:58HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)37
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 9:12LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound37
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot37
38.1%
40
61.9%
Q2 - 9:21HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound37
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 9:24LakersChristian Wood misses two point layup37
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 9:30LakersLakers defensive rebound37
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 9:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot37
38.1%
40
61.9%
Q2 - 9:49LakersCam Reddish makes regular free throw 2 of 237
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 9:49LakersCam Reddish makes regular free throw 1 of 236
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 9:49HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Cam Reddish draws the foul)35
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 10:02HeatThomas Bryant makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)35
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 10:11LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)35
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 10:18LakersLeBron James defensive rebound35
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 10:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot35
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 10:27HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 10:29LakersLeBron James misses two point driving finger roll layup35
37.4%
38
62.6%
Q2 - 10:38LakersLeBron James defensive rebound35
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 10:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot35
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 10:49HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 10:52LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot35
37.4%
38
62.6%
Q2 - 11:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup35
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 11:22LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting layup (Austin Reaves assists)35
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 11:37HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)33
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 11:44LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)33
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 233
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 233
46.0%
32
54.0%
Q1 - 0:00.6LakersMax Christie personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)33
46.2%
31
53.8%
Q1 - 0:13.2LakersMax Christie makes two point cutting dunk (Anthony Davis assists)33
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q1 - 0:22.2HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)31
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q1 - 0:33.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)31
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q1 - 0:50.3LakersMax Christie personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)31
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q1 - 0:59.3LakersAnthony Davis makes two point dunk (Cam Reddish assists)31
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q1 - 1:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)29
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q1 - 1:24LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving layup (Cam Reddish assists)29
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q1 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q1 - 1:59LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)27
41.4%
28
58.6%
Q1 - 2:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)27
43.8%
28
56.2%
Q1 - 2:42LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)27
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q1 - 2:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)25
43.8%
26
56.2%
Q1 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 3:07LakersMax Christie misses three point jump shot25
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q1 - 3:22LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound25
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 3:24HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 225
50.1%
23
49.9%
Q1 - 3:24HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 225
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 3:24LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 3:31HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound25
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q1 - 3:34LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point pullup jump shot25
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q1 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)25
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 3:55LakersBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Davis's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 4:05LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound25
54.2%
21
45.8%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot25
53.5%
21
46.5%
Q1 - 4:22LakersLeBron James makes two point fadeaway jump shot25
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q1 - 4:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)23
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 5:01LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (offensive foul)23
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q1 - 5:01LakersD'Angelo Russell offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)23
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 5:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 5:29LakersAustin Reaves makes two point tip layup23
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 5:35LakersAustin Reaves offensive rebound21
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 5:35LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point pullup jump shot21
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 5:39LakersLeBron James defensive rebound21
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 5:41HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot21
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 5:57LakersLeBron James makes two point layup21
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot19
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q1 - 6:27LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 119
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 6:27HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)18
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 6:31LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound16
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 6:34HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot16
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:39HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound16
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 6:42LakersHaywood Highsmith blocks Taurean Prince's two point running layup16
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 6:44LakersLeBron James defensive rebound16
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 6:48HeatD'Angelo Russell blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot16
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 7:06LakersAustin Reaves makes two point running layup (Anthony Davis assists)16
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 7:09LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound14
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 7:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot14
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 7:20LakersTaurean Prince makes two point cutting dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)14
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 212
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 7:32LakersAnthony Davis makes technical free throw 1 of 112
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 7:32HeatKyle Lowry technical foul11
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 211
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 7:32LakersD'Angelo Russell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 7:33HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound11
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot11
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 7:46LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 211
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 7:46LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 210
41.0%
12
59.0%
Q1 - 7:46HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)9
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 7:47LakersTaurean Prince defensive rebound9
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 7:50HeatAnthony Davis blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup9
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 7:59LakersTaurean Prince personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)9
37.7%
12
62.3%
Q1 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 8:17LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot9
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 8:28LakersAustin Reaves makes technical free throw 1 of 19
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 8:28Bam Adebayo technical foul (Rim hanging)8
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk8
38.3%
12
61.7%
Q1 - 8:43LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point pullup jump shot8
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 8:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)6
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 9:13LakersTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot6
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 9:31LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound6
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot6
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 9:42HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound6
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 9:44LakersLeBron James misses two point driving bank jump shot6
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)6
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 10:12LakersD'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)6
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 10:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)3
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 10:41LakersAustin Reaves makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)3
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 10:57HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:18LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:33LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 12:00Anthony Davis vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
43.3%
0
56.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
28
36
78%
MIA
15
21
71%
Midrange
LAL
8
19
42%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
MIA
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
Free Throws
LAL
11
14
79%
MIA
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3063%15.0 / 24
A. Reaves2382%11.5 / 14
D. Russell1365%6.5 / 10
C. Wood1255%6.0 / 11
T. Prince950%4.5 / 9
A. Davis964%4.5 / 7
C. Reddish750%3.5 / 7
M. Christie467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2882%14.0 / 17
B. Adebayo2250%11.0 / 22
T. Herro2252%11.0 / 21
D. Robinson1255%6.0 / 11
J. Jaquez964%4.5 / 7
K. Lowry542%2.5 / 6
H. Highsmith542%2.5 / 6
J. Richardson375%1.5 / 2
T. Bryant2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
82
+5
-17
87
MIA
82
+14
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.6
113.5
LAL 108.1
MIA 109.1 +1.0
Pace
101.2
96.7
LAL 100.3 +2.5
MIA 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.8
LAL 14.4 +0.4
MIA 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.6%
53.8%
LAL 59.3% +5.9%
MIA 53.4%
TO %
13.1%
12.2%
LAL 16.3%
MIA 15.9% +0.4%
ORB %
20.0%
21.8%
LAL 13.2%
MIA 25.0% +11.8%
FTrt
27.6
25.7
LAL 17.3
MIA 18.2 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
64.8%
LAL 63.6%
MIA 73.2% +9.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
LAL 6.1%
MIA 11.1% +5.0%
BLK %
9.9%
6.9%
LAL 9.8% +2.5%
MIA 7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.8%
56.2%
LAL 61.5% +5.2%
MIA 56.3%
Rim FG%
68.2%
61.2%
LAL 77.8% +6.4%
MIA 71.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
44.2%
LAL 42.1%
MIA 46.7% +4.6%
3P %
37.7%
37.0%
LAL 30.8%
MIA 32.4% +1.6%
FT %
78.2%
81.8%
LAL 78.6%
MIA 87.5% +8.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
30.4%
LAL 44.4% +20.6%
MIA 23.9%
Mid Att. %
26.6%
30.2%
LAL 23.5% +10.6%
MIA 34.1%
3P Att. %
35.8%
39.4%
LAL 32.1%
MIA 42.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points107108
Rebounds3844
Assists2830
Steals611
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1714
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals44-8141-88
At-the-Rim FG28-3615-21
Midrange FG8-1914-30
2-Point FG36-5529-51
3-Point FG8-2612-37
Free Throws11-1414-16
Fast Break Pts199
2nd Chance Pts613
Points in Paint6448
Pts off Turnovers2523
Bench Points2326
Biggest Lead713

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25
40.1
23
82%
10
9
1
0
4
1
3
7
2-3
67%
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
#23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39
37.4
30
63%
4
3
1
3
5
4
0
4
4-4
100%
13-19
68%
0-4
0%
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30
34.5
9
50%
3
2
2
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28
28.7
13
65%
4
6
0
1
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
#3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31
24.8
9
64%
6
4
0
1
1
2
0
6
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28
30.4
12
55%
6
1
1
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
#5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24
28.7
7
50%
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21
15.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Patella; Contusion
#17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Effusion
#28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Concussion; Protocol
#2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Heel; Bursitis
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
62%
38
28
6
5
17
17
5
33
11-14
79%
36-55
65%
8-26
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.