Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 6, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Kings	51%	114	97	104.3	93	93.1
	25	Rockets	49%	113	122	131.2	93	92.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+14

-13

HOU

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.03 51.6%

HOU

1.36 67.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	30.3	8	80%	8	5	0	0	4	4	3	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	27.9	12	55%	5	1	1	0	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	27.4	5	23%	1	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.2	13	65%	3	2	1	0	3	0	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	21.9	3	21%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	15.1	5	50%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.7	5	42%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	14.4	15	83%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	12.9	10	71%	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	12.4	4	40%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	11.6	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	10.1	10	83%	3	0	0	0	2	4	3	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	8.5	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	7.6	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	52%	34	22	5	2	13	22	12	22	11-20	55%	22-41	54%	14-40	35%

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24 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	30.3	8	80%	8	5	0	0	4	4	3	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	27.9	12	55%	5	1	1	0	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	27.4	5	23%	1	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.2	13	65%	3	2	1	0	3	0	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	21.9	3	21%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%

Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	15.1	5	50%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.7	5	42%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	14.4	15	83%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-4	25%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 21	12.9	10	71%	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	12.4	4	40%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	11.6	2	25%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	10.1	10	83%	3	0	0	0	2	4	3	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	8.5	5	83%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	7.6	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	52%	34	22	5	2	13	22	12	22	11-20	55%	22-41	54%	14-40	35%

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25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	27.6	9	64%	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	27.4	11	61%	4	5	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	25.6	17	57%	8	12	1	0	1	3	2	6	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	0-2	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	25.6	23	82%	2	2	1	1	3	0	0	2	10-12	83%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	21.8	13	81%	4	0	0	1	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%

Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	21.1	13	108%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	20.6	8	80%	4	1	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	15.9	5	83%	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	12.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	12.0	7	58%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	12.0	4	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	6.5	0	0%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	6.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	5.4	6	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	68%	39	28	8	4	10	19	5	34	21-27	78%	28-44	64%	15-31	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.03 51.6%

HOU

1.36 67.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

62%

HOU

79%

Midrange

SAC

40%

HOU

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

21.0

35%

53%

HOU

22.5

48%

73%

Free Throws

SAC

55%

HOU

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Ellis	15	83%	7.5 / 9
K. Huerter	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Murray	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Jones	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. McGee	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Sabonis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Mitchell	5	23%	2.5 / 11
C. Duarte	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Monk	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Ford	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Edwards	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Barnes	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Vezenkov	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Len	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	23	82%	11.5 / 14
A. Sengun	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Smith	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Holiday	13	108%	6.5 / 6
F. VanVleet	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Brooks	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Tate	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Whitmore	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Hinton	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Landale	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Samuels Jr.	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Bullock	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Marjanovic	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 20 113.8	SAC 104.3 HOU 131.2 +26.9
Pace	14 99.4 13 99.6	SAC 93.1 +0.2 HOU 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 22 14.2	SAC 15.5 −0.0 HOU 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 27 52.9%	SAC 53.1% HOU 67.3% +14.2%
TO %	12 12.5% 8 12.1%	SAC 14.3% HOU 11.2% −3.1%
ORB %	14 24.5% 10 25.1%	SAC 26.1% +7.6% HOU 18.5%
FTrt	22 22.9 9 25.7	SAC 24.7 HOU 36.0 +11.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 27 59.4%	SAC 61.1% HOU 65.1% +4.0%
STL %	14 7.6% 9 7.8%	SAC 5.4% HOU 8.6% +3.2%
BLK %	27 8.6% 11 9.7%	SAC 4.5% HOU 9.8% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 24 55.2%	SAC 51.6% HOU 67.8% +16.2%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 24 61.2%	SAC 61.5% HOU 79.2% +17.7%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 21 41.2%	SAC 40.0% HOU 45.0% +5.0%
3P %	16 36.6% 23 35.2%	SAC 35.0% HOU 48.4% +13.4%
FT %	30 74.5% 20 77.3%	SAC 55.0% HOU 77.8% +22.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 6 35.5%	SAC 32.1% +0.1% HOU 32.0%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 3 24.7%	SAC 18.5% −8.1% HOU 26.7%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 13 39.7%	SAC 49.4% +8.0% HOU 41.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	HOU
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	97	122
Rebounds	34	39
Assists	22	28
Steals	5	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (4)	34 (1)
Field Goals	36-81	43-75
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	19-24
Midrange FG	6-15	9-20
2-Point FG	22-41	28-44
3-Point FG	14-40	15-31
Free Throws	11-20	21-27
Fast Break Pts	11	14
2nd Chance Pts	19	8
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	9	19
Bench Points	56	49
Biggest Lead	2	40

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg