Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 6, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pelicans	28%	105	116	114.9	101	101.4
	2	Nuggets	72%	114	134	134.0	100	99.6

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+11

-13

DEN

+14

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.17 58.6%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 22	38.0	31	74%	7	3	1	0	1	2	1	6	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	7-14	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	36.8	20	45%	10	9	2	0	0	2	3	7	0-1	0%	10-22	45%	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	35.8	22	48%	2	5	0	0	5	1	1	1	2-2	100%	10-18	56%	0-4	0%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	31.1	4	50%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.9	6	43%	11	2	0	1	2	6	2	9	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	25.1	17	94%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	20.5	9	90%	2	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	15.1	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	9.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lung; Small Pneumothorax
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscectomy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	38	24	6	5	13	18	8	30	13-15	87%	32-60	53%	13-30	43%

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20 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 22	38.0	31	74%	7	3	1	0	1	2	1	6	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	7-14	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	36.8	20	45%	10	9	2	0	0	2	3	7	0-1	0%	10-22	45%	0-0	-
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	35.8	22	48%	2	5	0	0	5	1	1	1	2-2	100%	10-18	56%	0-4	0%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	31.1	4	50%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.9	6	43%	11	2	0	1	2	6	2	9	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	25.1	17	94%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	20.5	9	90%	2	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	15.1	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	9.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lung; Small Pneumothorax
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Partial Meniscectomy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	38	24	6	5	13	18	8	30	13-15	87%	32-60	53%	13-30	43%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.4	35	70%	14	12	1	1	2	1	3	11	3-5	60%	13-18	72%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	36.2	15	63%	12	6	0	1	2	1	5	7	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	33.0	15	75%	1	7	1	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	28.6	22	61%	9	3	0	0	1	2	2	7	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.3	7	39%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	19.1	21	81%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	5-9	56%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.7	4	67%	3	1	2	2	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.9	6	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	17.0	6	75%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	6.0	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	1.0	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	64%	45	37	6	2	9	16	11	34	17-23	74%	36-56	64%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.17 58.6%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

68%

DEN

71%

Midrange

NOP

41%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

43%

65%

DEN

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

NOP

87%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Hawkins	31	74%	15.5 / 21
B. Ingram	22	48%	11.0 / 23
Z. Williamson	20	45%	10.0 / 22
M. Ryan	17	94%	8.5 / 9
D. Daniels	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Nance	5	83%	2.5 / 3
H. Jones	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Lewis Jr.	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	70%	17.5 / 25
M. Porter	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Strawther	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Gordon	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Jackson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Braun	6	38%	3.0 / 8
C. Gillespie	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Watson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Pickett	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.6 5 117.9	NOP 114.9 DEN 134.0 +19.1
Pace	16 98.6 26 97.4	NOP 101.4 +1.8 DEN 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.4 4 15.0	NOP 14.2 −0.3 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.8% 8 56.2%	NOP 57.2% DEN 61.6% +4.4%
TO %	15 12.6% 7 12.1%	NOP 11.9% DEN 8.7% −3.2%
ORB %	15 24.4% 6 25.5%	NOP 19.0% DEN 26.8% +7.8%
FTrt	7 26.1 24 22.4	NOP 16.7 DEN 24.2 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.4% 5 66.9%	NOP 53.3% DEN 72.5% +19.2%
STL %	2 8.4% 20 7.3%	NOP 5.9% DEN 6.0% +0.1%
BLK %	8 9.9% 25 8.7%	NOP 8.9% +5.6% DEN 3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.7% 11 57.5%	NOP 58.6% DEN 63.8% +5.2%
Rim FG%	19 63.2% 17 63.6%	NOP 67.9% DEN 71.4% +3.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.3% 3 47.0%	NOP 40.6% DEN 52.4% +11.8%
3P %	4 38.3% 10 37.4%	NOP 43.3% +4.8% DEN 38.5%
FT %	21 77.1% 25 76.2%	NOP 86.7% +12.8% DEN 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.7% 4 36.0%	NOP 31.1% DEN 36.8% +5.7%
Mid Att. %	22 28.0% 25 28.8%	NOP 35.6% DEN 22.1% −13.5%
3P Att. %	22 37.3% 30 35.2%	NOP 33.3% DEN 41.1% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	116	134
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	24	37
Steals	6	6
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	45-90	51-95
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	25-35
Midrange FG	13-32	11-21
2-Point FG	32-60	36-56
3-Point FG	13-30	15-39
Free Throws	13-15	17-23
Fast Break Pts	13	16
2nd Chance Pts	10	18
Points in Paint	46	64
Pts off Turnovers	13	22
Bench Points	33	40
Biggest Lead	20	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg