Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, November 9, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Hawks	57%	116	120	115.4	104	106.1
	19	Magic	43%	114	119	114.4	104	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-17

101

ORL

+20

-19

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 58.8%

ORL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	34.3	41	62%	4	8	3	0	3	1	2	2	12-13	92%	7-12	58%	5-15	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.1	16	50%	3	2	2	0	4	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	30.8	19	95%	9	2	0	1	3	4	2	7	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	2-4	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	26.3	12	55%	0	1	1	1	2	4	0	0	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	26.1	6	50%	11	4	0	1	0	2	2	9	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	28.6	2	25%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	28.6	15	68%	4	3	3	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.6	7	70%	2	2	3	4	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	10.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Mild Strain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	36	22	13	7	17	25	8	28	23-30	77%	26-46	57%	15-39	38%

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9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	34.3	41	62%	4	8	3	0	3	1	2	2	12-13	92%	7-12	58%	5-15	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	33.1	16	50%	3	2	2	0	4	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	30.8	19	95%	9	2	0	1	3	4	2	7	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	2-4	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	26.3	12	55%	0	1	1	1	2	4	0	0	4-5	80%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	26.1	6	50%	11	4	0	1	0	2	2	9	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	28.6	2	25%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	28.6	15	68%	4	3	3	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.6	7	70%	2	2	3	4	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	10.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Mild Strain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	36	22	13	7	17	25	8	28	23-30	77%	26-46	57%	15-39	38%

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19 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	34.1	17	57%	8	4	1	0	5	4	4	4	2-4	50%	6-11	55%	1-3	33%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	30.7	21	81%	2	1	6	0	2	5	0	2	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	28.9	12	46%	7	3	0	0	4	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	28.6	13	50%	2	3	1	0	1	1	2	0	3-3	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	21.5	12	67%	5	0	0	2	1	2	2	3	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	23.2	7	35%	2	2	0	0	3	3	1	1	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	20.0	13	72%	7	0	0	0	2	2	1	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	17.9	3	25%	3	5	3	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	17.5	9	90%	3	1	1	1	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	15.8	12	60%	7	0	0	2	0	1	1	6	5-7	71%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fractured third metacarpal
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strained
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	47	19	12	6	19	24	18	29	25-35	71%	32-63	51%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 58.8%

ORL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

63%

ORL

58%

Midrange

ATL

43%

ORL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

22.5

38%

58%

ORL

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

ATL

77%

ORL

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	41	62%	20.5 / 33
J. Johnson	19	95%	9.5 / 10
D. Murray	16	50%	8.0 / 16
B. Bogdanović	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Hunter	12	55%	6.0 / 11
O. Okongwu	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Capela	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Bey	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Griffin	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Suggs	21	81%	10.5 / 13
P. Banchero	17	57%	8.5 / 15
M. Fultz	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Wagner	13	72%	6.5 / 9
F. Wagner	12	46%	6.0 / 13
G. Bitadze	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Isaac	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Black	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Anthony	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Ingles	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Okeke	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 22 113.0	ATL 115.4 +1.0 ORL 114.4
Pace	6 100.9 27 97.4	ATL 106.1 +4.3 ORL 101.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 2 15.2	ATL 13.6 −0.6 ORL 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 15 54.1%	ATL 57.1% +4.9% ORL 52.2%
TO %	13 12.5% 24 14.1%	ATL 15.5% ORL 15.3% −0.2%
ORB %	5 27.1% 7 25.3%	ATL 21.6% ORL 39.1% +17.5%
FTrt	12 25.1 1 28.7	ATL 35.3 ORL 38.9 +3.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 22 61.0%	ATL 53.7% +8.5% ORL 45.2%
STL %	18 7.4% 4 8.3%	ATL 12.5% +1.0% ORL 11.5%
BLK %	21 9.0% 13 9.5%	ATL 11.1% ORL 13.0% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 18 56.2%	ATL 58.8% +2.1% ORL 56.7%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 9 65.4%	ATL 62.5% +4.4% ORL 58.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 29 38.9%	ATL 42.9% +7.9% ORL 35.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 24 35.2%	ATL 38.5% +1.5% ORL 37.0%
FT %	8 79.7% 26 75.9%	ATL 76.7% +5.3% ORL 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 1 38.2%	ATL 37.6% ORL 47.8% +10.1%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 5 24.9%	ATL 16.5% −5.8% ORL 22.2%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 25 36.9%	ATL 45.9% +15.9% ORL 30.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	120	119
Rebounds	36	47
Assists	22	19
Steals	13	12
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	25	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	29 (4)
Field Goals	41-85	42-90
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	25-43
Midrange FG	6-14	7-20
2-Point FG	26-46	32-63
3-Point FG	15-39	10-27
Free Throws	23-30	25-35
Fast Break Pts	23	21
2nd Chance Pts	13	15
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	25	27
Bench Points	26	44
Biggest Lead	11	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg