Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	65%	112	104	110.6	94	92.3
	21	Rockets	35%	107	107	113.8	94	97.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	38.5	16	62%	8	5	0	2	2	2	1	7	3-6	50%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.2	36	62%	21	11	0	1	3	3	6	15	8-8	100%	11-20	55%	2-6	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	37.7	25	66%	10	0	0	1	2	3	2	8	0-0	-	8-9	89%	3-10	30%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.5	5	50%	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	27.9	14	58%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%

Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	20.1	6	43%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	13.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.3	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	7.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	7.2	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	49	24	3	4	11	20	12	37	11-14	79%	33-59	56%	9-32	28%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	38.5	16	62%	8	5	0	2	2	2	1	7	3-6	50%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.2	36	62%	21	11	0	1	3	3	6	15	8-8	100%	11-20	55%	2-6	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	37.7	25	66%	10	0	0	1	2	3	2	8	0-0	-	8-9	89%	3-10	30%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.5	5	50%	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	27.9	14	58%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%

Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	20.1	6	43%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	13.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.3	2	25%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	7.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	7.2	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	49	24	3	4	11	20	12	37	11-14	79%	33-59	56%	9-32	28%

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21 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	40.6	26	54%	2	4	0	0	2	2	0	2	5-7	71%	6-12	50%	3-9	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	34.7	9	28%	8	5	1	0	0	1	0	8	6-6	100%	0-9	0%	1-4	25%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	34.7	23	57%	8	5	1	2	3	2	4	4	5-6	83%	9-16	56%	0-2	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.1	10	71%	4	2	0	0	3	4	0	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	20.1	8	57%	7	0	0	1	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	25.5	15	83%	4	0	1	1	0	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	20.4	3	38%	6	0	3	0	0	2	3	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	16.6	5	31%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	15.9	8	100%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	45	20	7	5	9	16	12	33	23-29	79%	27-55	49%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.5%

HOU

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

24

32

75%

HOU

13

24

54%

Midrange

DEN

9

27

33%

HOU

14

31

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

32

28%

42%

HOU

10

15.0

32

31%

47%

Free Throws

DEN

11

14

79%

HOU

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	36	62%	18.0 / 29
M. Porter	25	66%	12.5 / 19
A. Gordon	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Jackson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
C. Gillespie	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	26	54%	13.0 / 24
A. Sengun	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Green	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Brooks	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Green	9	28%	4.5 / 16
J. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Eason	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Holiday	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Tate	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 20 113.8	DEN 110.6 HOU 113.8 +3.2
Pace	26 97.4 13 99.6	DEN 92.3 HOU 97.5 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 22 14.2	DEN 15.6 HOU 14.8 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 27 52.9%	DEN 51.1% +2.8% HOU 48.3%
TO %	7 12.1% 8 12.1%	DEN 10.2% HOU 8.3% −1.9%
ORB %	6 25.5% 10 25.1%	DEN 26.7% +2.2% HOU 24.5%
FTrt	24 22.4 9 25.7	DEN 15.4 HOU 33.3 +17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 27 59.4%	DEN 57.1% +3.0% HOU 54.1%
STL %	20 7.3% 9 7.8%	DEN 3.2% HOU 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %	25 8.7% 11 9.7%	DEN 7.3% HOU 8.5% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 24 55.2%	DEN 52.5% HOU 53.0% +0.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 24 61.2%	DEN 75.0% +20.8% HOU 54.2%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 21 41.2%	DEN 33.3% HOU 45.2% +11.9%
3P %	10 37.4% 23 35.2%	DEN 28.1% HOU 31.3% +3.2%
FT %	25 76.2% 20 77.3%	DEN 78.6% HOU 79.3% +0.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 6 35.5%	DEN 35.2% +7.6% HOU 27.6%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 3 24.7%	DEN 29.7% −6.0% HOU 35.6%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 13 39.7%	DEN 35.2% HOU 36.8% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	HOU
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.1
Points	104	107
Rebounds	49	45
Assists	24	20
Steals	3	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	20	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	33 (1)
Field Goals	42-91	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	24-32	13-24
Midrange FG	9-27	14-31
2-Point FG	33-59	27-55
3-Point FG	9-32	10-32
Free Throws	11-14	23-29
Fast Break Pts	3	3
2nd Chance Pts	17	17
Points in Paint	58	42
Pts off Turnovers	11	7
Bench Points	8	31
Biggest Lead	9	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg