Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 12, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Blazers	38%	104	110	108.9	101	96.2
	25	Lakers	62%	109	116	114.9	101	105.9

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+10

-15

LAL

-9

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.3%

LAL

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	42.2	19	59%	3	4	0	0	7	4	0	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	40.8	23	61%	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	5	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	33.9	12	60%	7	0	0	2	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Skylar Mays #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 26	32.7	15	58%	4	12	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-4	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	19.9	14	78%	2	3	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%

Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.5	2	33%	6	2	0	1	2	5	4	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	17.6	8	57%	4	1	1	1	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	14.1	11	55%	3	3	0	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jamaree Bouyea #21 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	12.4	6	50%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	38	29	2	8	15	25	5	33	7-9	78%	32-53	60%	13-37	35%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	42.2	19	59%	3	4	0	0	7	4	0	3	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	40.8	23	61%	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	5	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	33.9	12	60%	7	0	0	2	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Skylar Mays #5 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 26	32.7	15	58%	4	12	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	0-4	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	19.9	14	78%	2	3	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%

Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.5	2	33%	6	2	0	1	2	5	4	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	17.6	8	57%	4	1	1	1	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	14.1	11	55%	3	3	0	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jamaree Bouyea #21 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24	12.4	6	50%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Wainright #23 · SF · 6'5" 250 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Ligament Tear
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	57%	38	29	2	8	15	25	5	33	7-9	78%	32-53	60%	13-37	35%

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25 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	41.0	30	63%	13	6	0	3	1	0	2	11	10-12	83%	10-19	53%	0-1	0%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	37.9	18	82%	7	2	3	1	1	1	1	6	3-3	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Taurean Prince #12 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 30	33.2	11	61%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	33.0	19	73%	5	2	2	0	1	1	1	4	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	31.9	11	37%	5	11	1	0	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%

Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	28.5	18	64%	4	4	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	15.0	7	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	5-7	71%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	12.6	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	7.0	2	20%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 23	INACTIVE
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Bursitis
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patella; Contusion
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	41	27	8	4	9	11	7	34	30-37	81%	37-65	57%	4-19	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.3%

LAL

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

71%

LAL

69%

Midrange

POR

52%

LAL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19.5

35%

53%

LAL

6.0

21%

32%

Free Throws

POR

78%

LAL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	23	61%	11.5 / 19
S. Sharpe	19	59%	9.5 / 16
S. Mays	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Thybulle	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Ayton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Reath	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Walker	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Bouyea	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Camara	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	30	63%	15.0 / 24
R. Hachimura	19	73%	9.5 / 13
C. Reddish	18	82%	9.0 / 11
A. Reaves	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Prince	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Russell	11	37%	5.5 / 15
C. Wood	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Hayes	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 15 115.4	POR 108.9 LAL 114.9 +5.9
Pace	21 97.9 4 101.4	POR 96.2 LAL 105.9 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 23 14.2	POR 15.0 LAL 13.6 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 5 56.6%	POR 57.2% +6.0% LAL 51.2%
TO %	29 14.6% 18 13.1%	POR 14.6% LAL 8.2% −6.4%
ORB %	3 27.5% 30 19.9%	POR 12.8% LAL 17.5% +4.7%
FTrt	23 22.8 2 27.6	POR 10.0 LAL 44.0 +34.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 8 65.4%	POR 64.4% LAL 65.9% +1.5%
STL %	12 7.7% 21 7.2%	POR 2.0% LAL 7.9% +5.9%
BLK %	20 9.0% 19 9.1%	POR 12.3% +4.8% LAL 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 5 58.8%	POR 57.3% LAL 57.4% +0.1%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 1 68.9%	POR 70.8% +1.4% LAL 69.4%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 25 40.4%	POR 51.7% +10.3% LAL 41.4%
3P %	30 34.5% 8 37.7%	POR 35.1% +14.0% LAL 21.1%
FT %	9 79.1% 15 78.2%	POR 77.8% LAL 81.1% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 2 36.6%	POR 26.7% LAL 42.9% +16.2%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 18 27.5%	POR 32.2% −2.3% LAL 34.5%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 28 35.8%	POR 41.1% +18.5% LAL 22.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.9
Points	110	116
Rebounds	38	41
Assists	29	27
Steals	2	8
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	25	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	34 (1)
Field Goals	45-90	41-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	25-36
Midrange FG	15-29	12-29
2-Point FG	32-53	37-65
3-Point FG	13-37	4-19
Free Throws	7-9	30-37
Fast Break Pts	24	15
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	48	68
Pts off Turnovers	16	10
Bench Points	27	27
Biggest Lead	8	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg