Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Wizards	26%	108	107	105.9	101	98.5
	18	Raptors	74%	117	111	107.8	103	105.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	38.0	34	65%	3	3	0	0	6	5	1	2	2-3	67%	10-18	56%	4-7	57%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	35.2	14	44%	4	6	3	1	4	5	2	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	31.0	10	45%	3	8	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	29.8	9	64%	8	6	0	0	4	2	1	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	25.9	14	100%	9	3	1	3	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	33.3	10	63%	7	3	3	1	0	4	1	6	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	24.4	10	63%	2	3	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	15.4	2	50%	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	7.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	61%	38	32	11	5	22	22	8	30	9-12	75%	31-58	53%	12-26	46%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	38.0	34	65%	3	3	0	0	6	5	1	2	2-3	67%	10-18	56%	4-7	57%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	35.2	14	44%	4	6	3	1	4	5	2	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	31.0	10	45%	3	8	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	29.8	9	64%	8	6	0	0	4	2	1	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	25.9	14	100%	9	3	1	3	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	33.3	10	63%	7	3	3	1	0	4	1	6	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	24.4	10	63%	2	3	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	15.4	2	50%	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	7.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	61%	38	32	11	5	22	22	8	30	9-12	75%	31-58	53%	12-26	46%

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18 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	38.1	19	50%	9	4	5	0	1	3	3	6	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	0-2	0%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	37.5	39	70%	11	7	3	0	6	1	2	9	9-14	64%	15-20	75%	0-3	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	34.9	4	15%	4	6	0	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-4	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	24.2	13	72%	6	5	0	0	1	1	3	3	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	14.3	5	42%	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	24.0	8	100%	4	2	0	0	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	22.8	6	60%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	20.5	7	58%	7	2	0	3	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	19.3	10	63%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Laceration
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Respiratory issue
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	48	28	11	4	16	13	16	32	17-25	68%	41-70	59%	4-20	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 60.8%

TOR

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

18

30

60%

TOR

30

42

71%

Midrange

WAS

13

28

46%

TOR

11

28

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

12

18.0

26

46%

69%

TOR

4

6.0

20

20%

30%

Free Throws

WAS

9

12

75%

TOR

17

25

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	34	65%	17.0 / 26
J. Poole	14	44%	7.0 / 16
D. Gafford	14	100%	7.0 / 7
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Coulibaly	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Kispert	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Avdija	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Muscala	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Shamet	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	39	70%	19.5 / 28
S. Barnes	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Poeltl	13	72%	6.5 / 9
P. Achiuwa	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Dick	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Boucher	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Flynn	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Porter Jr.	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Schröder	4	15%	2.0 / 13
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 24 111.9	WAS 105.9 TOR 107.8 +1.8
Pace	1 103.0 12 99.9	WAS 98.5 TOR 105.5 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 28 13.9	WAS 14.6 TOR 13.6 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 21 53.5%	WAS 58.3% +6.1% TOR 52.2%
TO %	19 13.1% 21 13.4%	WAS 19.8% TOR 15.8% −4.0%
ORB %	29 20.0% 17 24.2%	WAS 20.0% TOR 34.8% +14.8%
FTrt	27 22.1 16 24.1	WAS 14.3 TOR 27.8 +13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 2 67.4%	WAS 74.4% +12.2% TOR 62.2%
STL %	19 7.3% 13 7.7%	WAS 10.9% +0.2% TOR 10.7%
BLK %	16 9.4% 15 9.5%	WAS 7.1% +0.2% TOR 6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 22 55.5%	WAS 60.8% +8.4% TOR 52.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 13 64.8%	WAS 60.0% TOR 71.4% +11.4%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 22 40.8%	WAS 46.4% +7.1% TOR 39.3%
3P %	25 34.8% 27 34.7%	WAS 46.2% +26.2% TOR 20.0%
FT %	24 76.4% 29 75.6%	WAS 75.0% +7.0% TOR 68.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 5 35.6%	WAS 35.7% TOR 46.7% +11.0%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 17 27.5%	WAS 33.3% TOR 31.1% −2.2%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 26 36.9%	WAS 31.0% +8.7% TOR 22.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	107	111
Rebounds	38	48
Assists	32	28
Steals	11	11
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	16 (3)
Fouls	22	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	32 (2)
Field Goals	43-84	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	30-42
Midrange FG	13-28	11-28
2-Point FG	31-58	41-70
3-Point FG	12-26	4-20
Free Throws	9-12	17-25
Fast Break Pts	18	22
2nd Chance Pts	9	18
Points in Paint	48	76
Pts off Turnovers	26	23
Bench Points	26	31
Biggest Lead	23	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg