Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	59%	115	117	125.8	93	90.5
	2	76ers	41%	112	107	115.1	93	95.6

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+15

-9

PHI

+13

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.18 59.1%

PHI

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.5	29	58%	8	6	2	0	3	1	2	6	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	4-10	40%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	36.0	27	79%	3	5	1	0	2	3	0	3	9-10	90%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	35.5	18	50%	10	3	1	2	1	0	2	8	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	2-9	22%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 26	35.2	8	44%	2	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	28.8	14	78%	8	3	0	5	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.3	5	50%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	19.1	9	90%	6	1	1	0	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	15.3	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	8.3	2	25%	5	0	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nathan Knight #1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Comtusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	45	23	7	8	9	15	12	33	15-19	79%	24-38	63%	18-50	36%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.5	29	58%	8	6	2	0	3	1	2	6	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	4-10	40%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29	36.0	27	79%	3	5	1	0	2	3	0	3	9-10	90%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	35.5	18	50%	10	3	1	2	1	0	2	8	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	2-9	22%
Sam Hauser #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 26	35.2	8	44%	2	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	28.8	14	78%	8	3	0	5	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.3	5	50%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	19.1	9	90%	6	1	1	0	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	15.3	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	8.3	2	25%	5	0	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Nathan Knight #1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Comtusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	45	23	7	8	9	15	12	33	15-19	79%	24-38	63%	18-50	36%

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2 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	39.1	20	59%	3	4	0	0	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 31	37.7	16	62%	7	3	0	0	1	0	0	7	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	37.2	16	53%	6	0	2	0	0	1	3	3	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	0-5	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	34.0	16	73%	7	1	0	0	0	3	1	6	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	5-6	83%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	33.9	20	56%	9	7	1	0	2	3	3	6	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%

Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	20.2	9	90%	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	14.1	10	83%	6	2	0	1	1	1	3	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Marcus Morris Sr. #5 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	8.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javonte Smart #39 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Fractured Rib
Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	41	18	5	1	9	14	10	31	18-22	82%	28-55	51%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.18 59.1%

PHI

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

68%

PHI

54%

Midrange

BOS

54%

PHI

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

27.0

36%

54%

PHI

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

BOS

79%

PHI

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	29	58%	14.5 / 25
D. White	27	79%	13.5 / 17
J. Holiday	18	50%	9.0 / 18
A. Horford	14	78%	7.0 / 9
L. Kornet	9	90%	4.5 / 5
S. Hauser	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Pritchard	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Mykhailiuk	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Banton	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Embiid	20	56%	10.0 / 18
T. Harris	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Covington	16	53%	8.0 / 15
D. Melton	16	73%	8.0 / 11
P. Reed	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Springer	9	90%	4.5 / 5
P. Beverley	0	-	0.0 / 5
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. House	0	-	0.0 / 1
F. Korkmaz	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 122.2 14 116.2	BOS 125.8 +10.8 PHI 115.1
Pace	19 98.0 18 98.2	BOS 90.5 PHI 95.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 12 14.8	BOS 15.9 PHI 15.1 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.8% 24 53.2%	BOS 58.0% +5.6% PHI 52.4%
TO %	1 11.4% 1 11.4%	BOS 9.4% PHI 8.7% −0.7%
ORB %	12 24.9% 13 24.8%	BOS 27.9% +4.6% PHI 23.3%
FTrt	25 22.4 6 26.4	BOS 21.6 PHI 25.9 +4.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.3% 25 60.0%	BOS 54.8% +8.6% PHI 46.2%
STL %	26 6.9% 1 8.6%	BOS 7.5% +2.1% PHI 5.4%
BLK %	7 10.7% 5 10.8%	BOS 14.5% +11.9% PHI 2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.5% 19 56.1%	BOS 59.1% +3.9% PHI 55.2%
Rim FG%	2 68.1% 27 60.9%	BOS 68.0% +13.7% PHI 54.3%
Mid FG%	15 43.5% 17 42.0%	BOS 53.8% +8.8% PHI 45.0%
3P %	2 38.8% 18 36.3%	BOS 36.0% PHI 36.7% +0.7%
FT %	7 80.7% 2 82.6%	BOS 78.9% PHI 81.8% +2.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.1% 9 34.8%	BOS 28.4% PHI 41.2% +12.8%
Mid Att. %	1 22.8% 21 28.0%	BOS 14.8% −8.8% PHI 23.5%
3P Att. %	1 47.1% 23 37.3%	BOS 56.8% +21.5% PHI 35.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	BOS	PHI
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	117	107
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	23	18
Steals	7	5
Blocks	8	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	15	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	31 (2)
Field Goals	42-88	39-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	19-35
Midrange FG	7-13	9-20
2-Point FG	24-38	28-55
3-Point FG	18-50	11-30
Free Throws	15-19	18-22
Fast Break Pts	17	10
2nd Chance Pts	18	16
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	10	13
Bench Points	21	19
Biggest Lead	17	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg