Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 18, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Grizzlies	63%	117	120	122.4	98	102.0
	30	Spurs	37%	112	108	111.3	97	93.3

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+20

-12

106

SAS

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.6%

SAS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	34.1	26	72%	5	4	1	0	2	5	3	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	31.3	14	78%	9	4	0	0	1	4	1	8	0-1	0%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	26.8	27	52%	5	0	1	1	2	3	3	2	11-12	92%	5-12	42%	2-8	25%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	23.1	5	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	12.5	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	35.7	17	53%	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	8	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	25.7	0	0%	4	1	2	0	1	1	2	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	24.9	17	77%	7	5	1	0	1	1	1	6	7-8	88%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	14.3	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	11.7	2	33%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Abrasion
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	INACTIVE
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	45	23	7	3	12	25	12	33	29-36	81%	29-53	55%	11-33	33%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	34.1	26	72%	5	4	1	0	2	5	3	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 31	31.3	14	78%	9	4	0	0	1	4	1	8	0-1	0%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 24	26.8	27	52%	5	0	1	1	2	3	3	2	11-12	92%	5-12	42%	2-8	25%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	23.1	5	50%	3	2	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Jacob Gilyard #0 · PG · 5'9" 160 · 25	12.5	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	35.7	17	53%	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	8	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	25.7	0	0%	4	1	2	0	1	1	2	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	24.9	17	77%	7	5	1	0	1	1	1	6	7-8	88%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	14.3	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #6 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 21	11.7	2	33%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Abrasion
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 19	INACTIVE
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Steven Adams #4 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 24	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	45	23	7	3	12	25	12	33	29-36	81%	29-53	55%	11-33	33%

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30 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	33.4	22	73%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	4-7	57%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 20	32.1	16	73%	5	3	2	0	3	3	2	3	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.1	19	50%	13	4	1	8	2	5	4	9	5-6	83%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	26.2	16	67%	7	6	0	0	3	6	4	3	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 22	20.0	6	50%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	23.6	13	59%	5	1	1	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	21.4	2	25%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	18.4	4	33%	1	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.1	5	50%	0	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	11.3	5	50%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Abductor Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	40	26	5	9	15	28	12	28	21-26	81%	21-43	49%	15-40	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.13 56.6%

SAS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

54%

SAS

57%

Midrange

MEM

57%

SAS

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

33%

50%

SAS

22.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

MEM

81%

SAS

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	27	52%	13.5 / 26
D. Bane	26	72%	13.0 / 18
S. Aldama	17	53%	8.5 / 16
Z. Williams	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Biyombo	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Rose	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Konchar	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Gilyard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Lofton Jr.	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	22	73%	11.0 / 15
V. Wembanyama	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Sochan	16	73%	8.0 / 11
Z. Collins	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Osman	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. McDermott	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Branham	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 26 109.4	MEM 122.4 +11.1 SAS 111.3
Pace	17 98.6 3 101.7	MEM 102.0 +8.7 SAS 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 25 14.1	MEM 14.1 −1.3 SAS 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 23 53.2%	MEM 52.9% +0.5% SAS 52.4%
TO %	27 14.3% 26 14.3%	MEM 12.1% −1.6% SAS 13.7%
ORB %	19 23.8% 23 22.9%	MEM 30.0% +3.3% SAS 26.7%
FTrt	18 23.8 28 22.0	MEM 41.9 +10.6 SAS 31.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 1 71.2%	MEM 57.5% SAS 72.2% +14.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 23 6.9%	MEM 7.1% +1.9% SAS 5.2%
BLK %	1 11.9% 10 9.7%	MEM 7.0% SAS 17.0% +10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 25 55.1%	MEM 56.6% SAS 56.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 16 64.1%	MEM 53.8% SAS 57.1% +3.3%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 24 40.5%	MEM 57.1% +16.2% SAS 40.9%
3P %	29 34.6% 28 34.7%	MEM 33.3% SAS 37.5% +4.2%
FT %	23 76.4% 14 78.2%	MEM 80.6% SAS 80.8% +0.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 13 34.2%	MEM 45.3% +20.0% SAS 25.3%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 9 25.7%	MEM 16.3% −10.2% SAS 26.5%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 12 40.1%	MEM 38.4% SAS 48.2% +9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	SAS
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	120	108
Rebounds	45	40
Assists	23	26
Steals	7	5
Blocks	3	9
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	25	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (8)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	28 (1)
Field Goals	40-86	36-83
At-the-Rim FG	21-39	12-21
Midrange FG	8-14	9-22
2-Point FG	29-53	21-43
3-Point FG	11-33	15-40
Free Throws	29-36	21-26
Fast Break Pts	9	7
2nd Chance Pts	18	21
Points in Paint	56	38
Pts off Turnovers	18	11
Bench Points	45	29
Biggest Lead	12	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg