Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 19, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Pistons	29%	105	113	107.6	105	106.3
	21	Raptors	71%	113	142	134.0	106	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+11

-17

TOR

+18

-7

117

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.14 57.1%

TOR

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	30.3	9	64%	10	2	1	1	5	6	1	9	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	28.1	9	41%	3	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Cade Cunningham #2 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.8	18	50%	5	4	0	0	3	2	2	3	1-3	33%	4-12	33%	3-5	60%
Kevin Knox II #24 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	26.5	6	25%	4	0	1	0	2	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	20.8	8	57%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	25.4	19	106%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	24.1	15	75%	3	1	0	1	2	4	0	3	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	22.0	14	54%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.2	9	75%	1	6	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	14.9	6	75%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	41	25	3	3	17	23	7	34	26-35	74%	30-57	53%	9-26	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21	30.3	9	64%	10	2	1	1	5	6	1	9	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	28.1	9	41%	3	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Cade Cunningham #2 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.8	18	50%	5	4	0	0	3	2	2	3	1-3	33%	4-12	33%	3-5	60%
Kevin Knox II #24 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	26.5	6	25%	4	0	1	0	2	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 22	20.8	8	57%	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	25.4	19	106%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	24.1	15	75%	3	1	0	1	2	4	0	3	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	22.0	14	54%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.2	9	75%	1	6	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	14.9	6	75%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	41	25	3	3	17	23	7	34	26-35	74%	30-57	53%	9-26	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	28.7	23	61%	7	6	1	0	0	1	3	4	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	1-2	50%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	26.9	9	32%	5	3	2	0	1	3	1	4	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	26.4	17	53%	2	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	0-4	0%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	25.2	17	77%	7	9	0	0	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-4	75%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	24.7	16	100%	10	4	1	3	1	3	2	8	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	26.4	18	69%	1	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26	21.3	7	58%	2	4	2	0	1	4	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	18.6	12	55%	6	5	0	0	0	1	3	3	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	18.0	14	88%	6	1	1	1	0	4	1	5	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	12.1	5	63%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	8.1	4	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 24	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Respiratory issue
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	61%	47	44	10	5	7	23	12	35	18-29	62%	41-66	62%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.14 57.1%

TOR

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

69%

TOR

59%

Midrange

DET

36%

TOR

66%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

13.5

35%

52%

TOR

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

DET

74%

TOR

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Umude	19	106%	9.5 / 9
C. Cunningham	18	50%	9.0 / 18
J. Wiseman	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Burks	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Thompson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Ivey	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Sasser	9	75%	4.5 / 6
I. Stewart	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Knox	6	25%	3.0 / 12
M. Bagley	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	23	61%	11.5 / 19
G. Trent	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Schröder	17	53%	8.5 / 16
S. Barnes	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Poeltl	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. Boucher	14	88%	7.0 / 8
P. Achiuwa	12	55%	6.0 / 11
O. Anunoby	9	32%	4.5 / 14
M. Flynn	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Dick	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. McDaniels	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 24 111.9	DET 107.6 TOR 134.0 +26.3
Pace	10 100.4 12 99.9	DET 106.3 +1.5 TOR 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 28 13.9	DET 13.5 −0.2 TOR 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.6% 21 53.5%	DET 52.4% TOR 60.8% +8.4%
TO %	28 14.5% 21 13.4%	DET 14.7% TOR 6.5% −8.2%
ORB %	18 23.9% 17 24.2%	DET 16.7% TOR 26.1% +9.4%
FTrt	15 24.6 16 24.1	DET 42.2 +13.8 TOR 28.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 62.3% 2 67.4%	DET 64.1% TOR 80.0% +15.9%
STL %	30 6.4% 13 7.7%	DET 2.9% TOR 9.4% +6.5%
BLK %	17 9.3% 15 9.5%	DET 4.5% TOR 8.8% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.9% 22 55.5%	DET 57.1% TOR 60.7% +3.6%
Rim FG%	21 62.2% 13 64.8%	DET 69.0% +10.2% TOR 58.8%
Mid FG%	18 41.7% 22 40.8%	DET 35.7% TOR 65.6% +29.9%
3P %	26 34.8% 27 34.7%	DET 34.6% TOR 38.9% +4.3%
FT %	12 78.5% 29 75.6%	DET 74.3% +12.2% TOR 62.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 34.6% 5 35.6%	DET 34.9% +1.6% TOR 33.3%
Mid Att. %	26 29.5% 17 27.5%	DET 33.7% TOR 31.4% −2.4%
3P Att. %	27 36.0% 26 36.9%	DET 31.3% TOR 35.3% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	TOR
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	113	142
Rebounds	41	47
Assists	25	44
Steals	3	10
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	23	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	35 (3)
Field Goals	39-83	55-102
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	20-34
Midrange FG	10-28	21-32
2-Point FG	30-57	41-66
3-Point FG	9-26	14-36
Free Throws	26-35	18-29
Fast Break Pts	16	27
2nd Chance Pts	9	7
Points in Paint	52	70
Pts off Turnovers	7	24
Bench Points	63	60
Biggest Lead	0	40

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg