Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Nuggets	56%	109	119	124.0	96	94.7
	17	Magic	44%	107	124	131.9	94	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+22

-10

108

ORL

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.1%

ORL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	36.7	15	44%	10	1	2	0	2	3	7	3	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.3	30	75%	13	12	3	2	1	4	5	8	5-5	100%	11-16	69%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.3	10	56%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.8	14	47%	4	9	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.7	25	74%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	21.2	13	72%	7	1	0	0	3	4	1	6	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	17.0	7	50%	2	2	0	0	0	5	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.7	3	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	10.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	55%	42	29	6	7	10	25	17	25	16-21	76%	29-58	50%	15-35	43%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	36.7	15	44%	10	1	2	0	2	3	7	3	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	36.3	30	75%	13	12	3	2	1	4	5	8	5-5	100%	11-16	69%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	34.3	10	56%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	33.8	14	47%	4	9	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	30.7	25	74%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	21.2	13	72%	7	1	0	0	3	4	1	6	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	17.0	7	50%	2	2	0	0	0	5	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	11.7	3	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	10.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	55%	42	29	6	7	10	25	17	25	16-21	76%	29-58	50%	15-35	43%

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17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	34.7	23	72%	3	4	1	3	3	1	1	2	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	4-5	80%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	31.6	6	50%	12	2	0	1	1	2	3	9	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	31.2	27	71%	3	4	1	2	1	1	1	2	4-4	100%	10-14	71%	1-4	25%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	28.5	10	56%	4	4	1	0	2	5	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	15.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	28.8	20	67%	5	0	0	0	0	3	3	2	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	23.2	5	31%	3	3	3	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	16.8	12	120%	1	7	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.3	12	67%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	14.4	9	75%	6	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fractured third metacarpal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	65%	41	27	9	2	12	21	11	30	26-30	87%	34-52	65%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.1%

ORL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

53%

ORL

71%

Midrange

DEN

46%

ORL

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

22.5

43%

64%

ORL

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

DEN

76%

ORL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	75%	15.0 / 20
M. Porter	25	74%	12.5 / 17
A. Gordon	15	44%	7.5 / 17
R. Jackson	14	47%	7.0 / 15
C. Braun	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Strawther	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Z. Nnaji	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Watson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	27	71%	13.5 / 19
P. Banchero	23	72%	11.5 / 16
C. Anthony	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Ingles	12	120%	6.0 / 5
M. Wagner	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Suggs	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Isaac	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Bitadze	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Harris	5	31%	2.5 / 8
A. Black	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 22 113.0	DEN 124.0 ORL 131.9 +8.0
Pace	26 97.4 27 97.4	DEN 94.7 ORL 96.0 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 2 15.2	DEN 15.2 ORL 15.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 15 54.1%	DEN 55.4% ORL 60.5% +5.1%
TO %	7 12.1% 24 14.1%	DEN 10.5% −0.8% ORL 11.3%
ORB %	6 25.5% 7 25.3%	DEN 36.2% +5.6% ORL 30.6%
FTrt	24 22.4 1 28.7	DEN 22.6 ORL 37.0 +14.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 22 61.0%	DEN 65.9% +4.5% ORL 61.4%
STL %	20 7.3% 4 8.3%	DEN 6.3% ORL 9.6% +3.3%
BLK %	25 8.7% 13 9.5%	DEN 13.5% +10.1% ORL 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 18 56.2%	DEN 55.1% ORL 65.3% +10.2%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 9 65.4%	DEN 53.3% ORL 71.0% +17.7%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 29 38.9%	DEN 46.4% ORL 57.1% +10.7%
3P %	10 37.4% 24 35.2%	DEN 42.9% +8.4% ORL 34.5%
FT %	25 76.2% 26 75.9%	DEN 76.2% ORL 86.7% +10.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 1 38.2%	DEN 32.3% ORL 38.3% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 5 24.9%	DEN 30.1% ORL 25.9% −4.2%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 25 36.9%	DEN 37.6% +1.8% ORL 35.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	DEN	ORL
Possessions	96	94
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.5
Points	119	124
Rebounds	42	41
Assists	29	27
Steals	6	9
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls	25	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (5)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (0)	30 (0)
Field Goals	44-93	44-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	22-31
Midrange FG	13-28	12-21
2-Point FG	29-58	34-52
3-Point FG	15-35	10-29
Free Throws	16-21	26-30
Fast Break Pts	4	12
2nd Chance Pts	20	22
Points in Paint	44	60
Pts off Turnovers	12	17
Bench Points	25	58
Biggest Lead	9	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg