Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 22, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Heat	46%	106	129	137.2	94	95.2
	11	Cavaliers	54%	108	96	101.1	95	93.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+16

-10

100

CLE

+10

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.29 64.5%

CLE

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	29.1	28	88%	1	3	0	0	0	3	0	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	7-10	70%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.8	10	36%	4	9	2	2	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.7	10	83%	6	5	1	2	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	24.3	7	50%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	23.7	10	56%	7	1	1	1	0	3	1	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	28.0	22	92%	8	1	1	0	6	1	2	6	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	4-4	100%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	27.5	14	70%	9	2	1	2	2	4	4	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-1	100%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	27.1	14	70%	1	5	2	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	26.4	14	54%	3	1	3	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	65%	41	30	11	7	10	19	10	31	17-21	81%	26-53	49%	20-35	57%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	29.1	28	88%	1	3	0	0	0	3	0	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	7-10	70%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	27.8	10	36%	4	9	2	2	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.7	10	83%	6	5	1	2	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	24.3	7	50%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	23.7	10	56%	7	1	1	1	0	3	1	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	28.0	22	92%	8	1	1	0	6	1	2	6	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	4-4	100%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	27.5	14	70%	9	2	1	2	2	4	4	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-1	100%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	27.1	14	70%	1	5	2	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	26.4	14	54%	3	1	3	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	65%	41	30	11	7	10	19	10	31	17-21	81%	26-53	49%	20-35	57%

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11 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	35.3	16	62%	2	5	1	2	4	1	0	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	27.1	14	58%	1	3	1	0	3	3	0	1	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 22	25.2	13	81%	10	2	0	0	2	0	2	8	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	24.9	6	50%	3	3	0	1	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	22.9	4	67%	4	2	0	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 30	19.6	11	61%	3	1	0	0	0	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	18.3	12	67%	2	3	0	1	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	16.9	9	75%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20	15.6	3	30%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Tristan Thompson #12 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	13.2	4	50%	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 28	12.0	2	20%	3	1	1	1	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24	9.2	2	33%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ricky Rubio #13 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 33	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	56%	34	25	5	6	19	17	7	27	10-14	71%	22-47	47%	14-30	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.29 64.5%

CLE

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

50%

CLE

48%

Midrange

MIA

48%

CLE

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

30.0

57%

86%

CLE

21.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

MIA

81%

CLE

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	28	88%	14.0 / 16
J. Jaquez	22	92%	11.0 / 12
O. Robinson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Richardson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Martin	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Butler	10	36%	5.0 / 14
H. Highsmith	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Bryant	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Robinson	7	50%	3.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Porter	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Garland	14	58%	7.0 / 12
E. Mobley	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. LeVert	12	67%	6.0 / 9
G. Niang	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Merrill	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Strus	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Allen	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Thompson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
E. Bates	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Jones	2	20%	1.0 / 5
I. Mobley	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 16 114.8	MIA 137.2 +36.2 CLE 101.1
Pace	29 97.0 24 97.6	MIA 95.2 +1.4 CLE 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 8 14.9	MIA 15.1 −0.2 CLE 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 13 55.7%	MIA 63.6% +7.8% CLE 55.8%
TO %	9 12.2% 17 13.0%	MIA 11.0% −7.6% CLE 18.6%
ORB %	26 21.8% 21 23.2%	MIA 27.0% +8.6% CLE 18.4%
FTrt	8 25.7 21 23.4	MIA 23.9 +5.7 CLE 18.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 3 67.1%	MIA 65.2% CLE 69.4% +4.2%
STL %	11 7.7% 16 7.5%	MIA 11.7% +6.4% CLE 5.3%
BLK %	30 7.7% 22 9.0%	MIA 14.9% +3.6% CLE 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 13 57.1%	MIA 64.5% +8.7% CLE 55.8%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 18 63.5%	MIA 50.0% +2.0% CLE 48.0%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 8 44.9%	MIA 48.4% +2.9% CLE 45.5%
3P %	12 37.0% 15 36.7%	MIA 57.1% +10.4% CLE 46.7%
FT %	5 81.8% 22 76.5%	MIA 81.0% +9.6% CLE 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 8 34.8%	MIA 25.0% CLE 32.5% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 2 23.0%	MIA 35.2% CLE 28.6% −6.7%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 7 42.2%	MIA 39.8% +0.8% CLE 39.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	CLE
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	129	96
Rebounds	41	34
Assists	30	25
Steals	11	5
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	19	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	27 (2)
Field Goals	46-88	36-77
At-the-Rim FG	11-22	12-25
Midrange FG	15-31	10-22
2-Point FG	26-53	22-47
3-Point FG	20-35	14-30
Free Throws	17-21	10-14
Fast Break Pts	12	9
2nd Chance Pts	19	5
Points in Paint	38	36
Pts off Turnovers	28	13
Bench Points	64	43
Biggest Lead	33	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg