Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Hawks	26%	112	103	105.1	98	106.9
	1	Celtics	74%	121	113	114.1	99	91.4

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-15

BOS

+20

-12

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.6%

BOS

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	39.7	24	80%	4	2	1	1	2	4	0	4	5-5	100%	2-3	67%	5-11	45%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	37.3	33	55%	5	7	0	0	5	3	1	4	3-6	50%	6-11	55%	6-16	38%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.2	6	21%	4	3	0	0	3	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-6	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	28.9	7	50%	8	1	0	0	0	3	3	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	21.0	4	25%	8	1	1	2	1	0	4	4	2-6	33%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.8	23	96%	7	0	1	0	4	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	7-10	70%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.0	4	100%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	12.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	7.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	43	15	5	3	15	17	11	32	12-19	63%	17-35	49%	19-53	36%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	39.7	24	80%	4	2	1	1	2	4	0	4	5-5	100%	2-3	67%	5-11	45%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	37.3	33	55%	5	7	0	0	5	3	1	4	3-6	50%	6-11	55%	6-16	38%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.2	6	21%	4	3	0	0	3	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-6	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	28.9	7	50%	8	1	0	0	0	3	3	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	21.0	4	25%	8	1	1	2	1	0	4	4	2-6	33%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.8	23	96%	7	0	1	0	4	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	7-10	70%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	27.0	4	100%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	12.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	7.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	43	15	5	3	15	17	11	32	12-19	63%	17-35	49%	19-53	36%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.8	34	59%	9	4	2	0	6	2	1	8	7-10	70%	6-12	50%	5-13	38%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 29	37.5	15	50%	4	11	3	0	3	5	2	2	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	0-6	0%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	36.5	21	53%	7	3	1	0	2	4	1	6	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	2-7	29%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	32.4	6	38%	15	3	1	2	0	1	3	12	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-5	0%
Dalano Banton #45 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 24	18.7	8	67%	5	1	0	0	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	31.7	12	67%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-9	44%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	19.9	6	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	15.2	7	44%	10	0	1	0	0	0	6	4	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	9.3	4	100%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	58	24	9	4	12	19	18	40	16-20	80%	29-48	60%	13-47	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.6%

BOS

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

77%

BOS

62%

Midrange

ATL

32%

BOS

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

28.5

36%

54%

BOS

19.5

28%

41%

Free Throws

ATL

63%

BOS

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	33	55%	16.5 / 30
D. Hunter	24	80%	12.0 / 15
B. Bogdanović	23	96%	11.5 / 12
S. Bey	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Murray	6	21%	3.0 / 14
C. Capela	4	25%	2.0 / 8
O. Okongwu	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Griffin	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	34	59%	17.0 / 29
J. Brown	21	53%	10.5 / 20
D. White	15	50%	7.5 / 15
S. Hauser	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Banton	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Queta	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Horford	6	38%	3.0 / 8
P. Pritchard	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Kornet	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 1 122.2	ATL 105.1 BOS 114.1 +9.0
Pace	6 100.9 19 98.0	ATL 106.9 +15.5 BOS 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 5 15.0	ATL 13.5 −2.3 BOS 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 2 57.8%	ATL 51.7% +0.6% BOS 51.1%
TO %	13 12.5% 1 11.4%	ATL 14.2% BOS 11.1% −3.1%
ORB %	5 27.1% 12 24.9%	ATL 21.6% BOS 36.0% +14.4%
FTrt	12 25.1 25 22.4	ATL 21.6 +0.5 BOS 21.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 21 61.3%	ATL 41.7% BOS 57.1% +15.4%
STL %	18 7.4% 26 6.9%	ATL 5.1% BOS 9.1% +4.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 7 10.7%	ATL 6.3% BOS 11.4% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 1 59.5%	ATL 52.6% BOS 52.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 2 68.1%	ATL 76.9% +14.8% BOS 62.1%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 15 43.5%	ATL 31.8% BOS 57.9% +26.1%
3P %	17 36.4% 2 38.8%	ATL 35.8% +8.1% BOS 27.7%
FT %	8 79.7% 7 80.7%	ATL 63.2% BOS 80.0% +16.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 26 30.1%	ATL 14.8% BOS 30.5% +15.8%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 1 22.8%	ATL 25.0% BOS 20.0% −5.0%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 1 47.1%	ATL 60.2% +10.8% BOS 49.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	ATL	BOS
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	103	113
Rebounds	43	58
Assists	15	24
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	40 (2)
Field Goals	36-88	42-95
At-the-Rim FG	10-13	18-29
Midrange FG	7-22	11-19
2-Point FG	17-35	29-48
3-Point FG	19-53	13-47
Free Throws	12-19	16-20
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	8	17
Points in Paint	34	46
Pts off Turnovers	14	26
Bench Points	29	29
Biggest Lead	0	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg