Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 26, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Spurs	22%	108	120	114.3	105	104.8
	9	Nuggets	78%	119	132	125.7	105	105.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-15

104

DEN

+15

-19

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.15 57.7%

DEN

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.8	10	56%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	24.9	22	58%	11	2	6	4	3	4	4	7	6-7	86%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	24.8	15	68%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	20.6	9	50%	4	3	1	0	4	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	17.2	4	33%	2	3	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	26.2	19	73%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	22.3	10	56%	4	6	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	16.8	13	72%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.8	7	50%	3	3	0	0	3	2	1	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	15.3	9	75%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	12.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	6.5	2	50%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	6.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	35	34	10	6	15	22	10	25	22-26	85%	28-56	50%	14-37	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.8	10	56%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	24.9	22	58%	11	2	6	4	3	4	4	7	6-7	86%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	24.8	15	68%	2	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	20.6	9	50%	4	3	1	0	4	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	17.2	4	33%	2	3	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	26.2	19	73%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	22.3	10	56%	4	6	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	16.8	13	72%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.8	7	50%	3	3	0	0	3	2	1	2	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	15.3	9	75%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	12.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	6.5	2	50%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	6.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	35	34	10	6	15	22	10	25	22-26	85%	28-56	50%	14-37	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	34.2	39	65%	11	9	1	0	5	3	5	6	5-5	100%	17-29	59%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 25	32.9	25	78%	7	2	0	1	3	0	1	6	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	4-9	44%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.5	16	89%	1	6	1	0	3	3	0	1	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	28.3	20	91%	7	6	1	0	4	5	2	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	3-3	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 35	27.4	5	50%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	24.6	5	36%	4	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	21.6	4	33%	4	2	1	2	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	18.8	10	63%	1	4	3	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	12.3	6	75%	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	5	0-3	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	1.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	1.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	45	38	8	3	19	25	11	34	20-25	80%	38-61	62%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.15 57.7%

DEN

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

76%

DEN

71%

Midrange

SAS

22%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

21.0

38%

57%

DEN

18.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

SAS

85%

DEN

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. Vassell	19	73%	9.5 / 13
M. Branham	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Johnson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Jones	10	56%	5.0 / 9
Z. Collins	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Bassey	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Osman	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Sochan	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Graham	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	39	65%	19.5 / 30
M. Porter	25	78%	12.5 / 16
R. Jackson	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Strawther	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Jordan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Holiday	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Braun	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Watson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Huff	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Key	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 5 117.9	SAS 114.3 DEN 125.7 +11.4
Pace	3 101.7 26 97.4	SAS 104.8 DEN 105.2 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 4 15.0	SAS 13.7 DEN 13.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 8 56.2%	SAS 52.7% DEN 62.9% +10.2%
TO %	26 14.3% 7 12.1%	SAS 12.6% −4.1% DEN 16.7%
ORB %	23 22.9% 6 25.5%	SAS 22.7% DEN 30.6% +7.9%
FTrt	28 22.0 24 22.4	SAS 28.0 DEN 28.1 +0.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 5 66.9%	SAS 81.0% +5.0% DEN 76.0%
STL %	23 6.9% 20 7.3%	SAS 9.5% +1.9% DEN 7.6%
BLK %	10 9.7% 25 8.7%	SAS 9.8% +4.4% DEN 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 11 57.5%	SAS 57.7% DEN 65.3% +7.6%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 17 63.6%	SAS 75.9% +4.5% DEN 71.4%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 3 47.0%	SAS 22.2% DEN 50.0% +27.8%
3P %	28 34.7% 10 37.4%	SAS 37.8% DEN 42.9% +5.1%
FT %	14 78.2% 25 76.2%	SAS 84.6% +4.6% DEN 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 4 36.0%	SAS 31.2% DEN 39.3% +8.1%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 25 28.8%	SAS 29.0% −0.2% DEN 29.2%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 30 35.2%	SAS 39.8% +8.3% DEN 31.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	120	132
Rebounds	35	45
Assists	34	38
Steals	10	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	22	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	34 (4)
Field Goals	42-93	50-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	25-35
Midrange FG	6-27	13-26
2-Point FG	28-56	38-61
3-Point FG	14-37	12-28
Free Throws	22-26	20-25
Fast Break Pts	24	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	20
Points in Paint	48	66
Pts off Turnovers	28	18
Bench Points	60	27
Biggest Lead	2	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg