Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Jazz41%11291
23Grizzlies59%115105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
29.3
27.6
17
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
4-9
4-6
44%
59%
3-5
60%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 31.5
27.2
30.1
12
53%
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
5-9
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 28.0
25.5
23.7
12
46%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
50%
4-8
50%
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.1
23.7
28.3
8
58%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.4
15.4
19.1
4
40%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
57%
0-0
-
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.3
27.8
24.2
9
38%
8
2
1
0
6
1
3
5
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
67%
0-2
0%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 23.0
24.3
19.6
5
21%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-5
14%
50%
1-5
20%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.9
22.1
19.8
9
40%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
21.2
18.5
5
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
17.6
21.4
5
125%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
1-1
100%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 23.9
5.8
1.7
5
125%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
1-1
100%
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.6
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'6" 235 · 20.1
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.0
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.7
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.0
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 26.5
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
35.6
32.2
17
50%
7
9
3
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
5-9
67%
55%
3-11
27%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 24.2
34.7
32.8
20
48%
6
1
1
1
6
1
3
3
4-4
100%
8-16
6-11
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.3
30.3
27.7
6
100%
6
2
1
0
3
5
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
60%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.2
27.0
17.7
14
64%
4
9
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
7-8
3-5
88%
51%
0-3
0%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.7
25.0
25.4
19
86%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
5-9
56%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.9
24.9
28.6
11
51%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-4
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
59%
1-4
25%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 22.2
24.8
15.4
15
94%
8
0
2
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
57%
3-3
100%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
19.5
9.9
3
50%
8
2
1
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
18.3
8.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
0-3
0%
Jacob Gilyard
G · 5'9" 160 · 25.4
18.6
1
0-1
54%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
13.5
1
1-1
57%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 21.3
4.1
0
1-1
56%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 22.1
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.7
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.9
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.4
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 18.9
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.3
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.