Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Pacers	39%	115	132	123.4	107	109.6
	13	Heat	61%	120	142	134.0	106	103.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	39.7	44	69%	2	10	3	1	2	0	0	2	8-12	67%	9-12	75%	6-16	38%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	33.3	25	74%	2	3	0	1	2	5	1	1	2-5	40%	7-8	88%	3-7	43%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	32.3	15	68%	6	3	0	0	0	1	1	5	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.9	12	38%	5	5	1	2	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-11	18%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	29.1	13	41%	9	2	0	1	0	3	4	5	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	0-5	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	12	75%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	22.6	9	90%	5	1	4	0	1	6	3	2	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	22.4	2	25%	1	5	2	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	5.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Knee Bone Bruise, Heel Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	58%	34	30	11	5	9	31	10	24	21-32	66%	39-55	71%	11-43	26%

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19 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	39.7	44	69%	2	10	3	1	2	0	0	2	8-12	67%	9-12	75%	6-16	38%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	33.3	25	74%	2	3	0	1	2	5	1	1	2-5	40%	7-8	88%	3-7	43%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	32.3	15	68%	6	3	0	0	0	1	1	5	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.9	12	38%	5	5	1	2	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-11	18%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	29.1	13	41%	9	2	0	1	0	3	4	5	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	0-5	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	23.7	12	75%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	22.6	9	90%	5	1	4	0	1	6	3	2	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	22.4	2	25%	1	5	2	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	5.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee, Heel; Knee Bone Bruise, Heel Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	58%	34	30	11	5	9	31	10	24	21-32	66%	39-55	71%	11-43	26%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34	38.0	36	64%	11	3	0	0	3	1	4	7	18-20	90%	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	29.3	16	80%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38	25.5	15	75%	3	3	0	1	0	5	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27	14.7	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 26	12.5	7	39%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	33.1	24	75%	5	1	1	0	3	3	0	5	7-7	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30	31.7	19	73%	4	3	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-2	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	25.1	14	58%	5	3	1	0	4	4	2	3	4-6	67%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35	17.4	5	83%	8	6	1	0	0	2	1	7	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	7.1	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	5.7	2	100%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	INACTIVE
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	INACTIVE
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL 3rd Degree Sprain
R.J. Hampton #4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	48	25	4	1	14	28	10	38	38-45	84%	40-65	62%	8-21	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.17 58.4%

MIA

1.33 66.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

22

25

88%

MIA

21

31

68%

Midrange

IND

17

30

57%

MIA

19

34

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

11

16.5

43

26%

38%

MIA

8

12.0

21

38%

57%

Free Throws

IND

21

32

66%

MIA

38

45

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	44	69%	22.0 / 32
O. Toppin	25	74%	12.5 / 17
B. Brown	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Turner	13	41%	6.5 / 16
B. Hield	12	38%	6.0 / 16
B. Mathurin	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Nesmith	9	90%	4.5 / 5
A. Nembhard	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	36	64%	18.0 / 28
J. Jaquez	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Richardson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Robinson	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Lowry	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Martin	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Adebayo	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Love	5	83%	2.5 / 3
H. Highsmith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
O. Robinson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Bryant	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 21 113.3	IND 123.4 MIA 134.0 +10.6
Pace	2 102.3 29 97.0	IND 109.6 +6.0 MIA 103.6
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 10 14.8	IND 13.1 −0.8 MIA 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 20 53.8%	IND 56.6% MIA 60.5% +3.9%
TO %	6 12.0% 9 12.2%	IND 8.2% −3.5% MIA 11.7%
ORB %	20 23.8% 26 21.8%	IND 20.8% MIA 29.4% +8.6%
FTrt	26 22.2 8 25.7	IND 32.7 MIA 52.3 +19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 11 64.8%	IND 60.0% +7.9% MIA 52.1%
STL %	15 7.5% 11 7.7%	IND 10.3% +6.5% MIA 3.8%
BLK %	14 9.5% 30 7.7%	IND 7.7% +5.9% MIA 1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 17 56.2%	IND 58.4% MIA 66.4% +8.0%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 23 61.6%	IND 88.0% +20.3% MIA 67.7%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 13 44.3%	IND 56.7% +0.8% MIA 55.9%
3P %	9 37.4% 12 37.0%	IND 25.6% MIA 38.1% +12.5%
FT %	13 78.2% 5 81.8%	IND 65.6% MIA 84.4% +18.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 29 29.5%	IND 25.5% MIA 36.0% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 28 31.1%	IND 30.6% −8.9% MIA 39.5%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 14 39.4%	IND 43.9% +19.5% MIA 24.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	132	142
Rebounds	34	48
Assists	30	25
Steals	11	4
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	31	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	38 (1)
Field Goals	50-98	48-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-25	21-31
Midrange FG	17-30	19-34
2-Point FG	39-55	40-65
3-Point FG	11-43	8-21
Free Throws	21-32	38-45
Fast Break Pts	22	15
2nd Chance Pts	21	22
Points in Paint	74	70
Pts off Turnovers	22	10
Bench Points	23	66
Biggest Lead	13	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg