Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, November 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	17%	103	90	92.8	97	92.9
	11	Timberwolves	83%	117	101	104.1	97	101.5

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+19

-19

MIN

+12

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.4%

MIN

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	36.2	13	65%	6	3	4	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	33.7	16	62%	5	5	1	0	2	3	3	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 20	32.8	12	30%	4	4	0	0	2	2	1	3	3-3	100%	3-13	23%	1-6	17%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	28.4	9	35%	12	0	0	0	4	4	3	9	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-4	25%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	14.5	2	25%	7	0	0	1	2	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	26.5	7	50%	5	2	1	3	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	23.3	14	70%	3	4	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	18.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	14.2	8	80%	4	3	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	11.7	2	25%	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	51	22	6	7	19	19	13	38	13-14	93%	22-53	42%	11-34	32%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	36.2	13	65%	6	3	4	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	33.7	16	62%	5	5	1	0	2	3	3	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 20	32.8	12	30%	4	4	0	0	2	2	1	3	3-3	100%	3-13	23%	1-6	17%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	28.4	9	35%	12	0	0	0	4	4	3	9	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-4	25%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	14.5	2	25%	7	0	0	1	2	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	26.5	7	50%	5	2	1	3	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	23.3	14	70%	3	4	0	0	3	1	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	18.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	14.2	8	80%	4	3	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	11.7	2	25%	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	51	22	6	7	19	19	13	38	13-14	93%	22-53	42%	11-34	32%

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11 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	37.5	15	58%	13	0	0	3	0	4	3	10	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	36.5	32	67%	11	4	2	1	4	3	4	7	4-5	80%	8-15	53%	4-7	57%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	36.4	20	63%	5	7	5	2	4	4	2	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.4	8	57%	3	7	2	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	29.0	8	67%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	22.0	6	33%	3	0	1	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	20.1	5	31%	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	19.0	4	29%	1	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	10.2	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee Mcl; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	42	29	13	4	11	16	10	32	10-13	77%	26-54	48%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.4%

MIN

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

69%

MIN

59%

Midrange

UTA

15%

MIN

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

16.5

32%

49%

MIN

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

UTA

93%

MIN

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Fontecchio	16	62%	8.0 / 13
C. Sexton	14	70%	7.0 / 10
O. Agbaji	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. George	12	30%	6.0 / 20
J. Collins	9	35%	4.5 / 13
K. Olynyk	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Kessler	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Ö. Yurtseven	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Samanic	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	32	67%	16.0 / 24
N. Alexander-Walker	20	63%	10.0 / 16
R. Gobert	15	58%	7.5 / 13
M. Conley	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Brown Jr.	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Reid	6	33%	3.0 / 9
S. Milton	5	31%	2.5 / 8
K. Anderson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Nix	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.6 17 114.7	UTA 92.8 MIN 104.1 +11.3
Pace	9 100.5 22 97.9	UTA 92.9 MIN 101.5 +8.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.6 3 15.0	UTA 15.5 MIN 14.2 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.9% 10 55.9%	UTA 44.3% MIN 51.1% +6.8%
TO %	30 14.8% 22 13.6%	UTA 18.4% MIN 11.2% −7.2%
ORB %	2 28.1% 22 23.1%	UTA 28.9% +8.1% MIN 20.8%
FTrt	11 25.1 5 27.0	UTA 16.1 +1.5 MIN 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 64.8% 12 64.6%	UTA 66.7% MIN 74.4% +7.7%
STL %	29 6.5% 6 8.0%	UTA 6.2% MIN 13.4% +7.2%
BLK %	3 11.1% 4 11.0%	UTA 13.0% +5.5% MIN 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.5% 10 57.7%	UTA 46.4% MIN 51.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 15 64.3%	UTA 69.2% +9.7% MIN 59.5%
Mid FG%	20 41.3% 16 42.6%	UTA 14.8% MIN 23.5% +8.7%
3P %	22 35.4% 3 38.7%	UTA 32.4% MIN 37.1% +4.7%
FT %	1 83.0% 18 77.7%	UTA 92.9% +16.0% MIN 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.6% 14 34.1%	UTA 29.9% MIN 41.6% +11.7%
Mid Att. %	15 26.8% 16 27.5%	UTA 31.0% MIN 19.1% −11.9%
3P Att. %	10 40.6% 17 38.4%	UTA 39.1% MIN 39.3% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIN
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	90	101
Rebounds	51	42
Assists	22	29
Steals	6	13
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	11 (1)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	32 (3)
Field Goals	33-87	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	22-37
Midrange FG	4-27	4-17
2-Point FG	22-53	26-54
3-Point FG	11-34	13-35
Free Throws	13-14	10-13
Fast Break Pts	8	25
2nd Chance Pts	15	8
Points in Paint	42	50
Pts off Turnovers	10	20
Bench Points	38	18
Biggest Lead	12	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg