Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, November 30, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Hawks	68%	124	137	124.5	110	114.7
	28	Spurs	32%	117	135	123.9	109	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

100

+12

-10

112

SAS

+11

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 61.2%

SAS

1.36 68.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	40.0	45	63%	4	14	2	0	2	1	0	4	13-16	81%	13-20	65%	2-9	22%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.8	24	55%	3	2	5	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	8-17	47%	2-4	50%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	34.0	13	81%	4	0	3	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	22.9	12	67%	9	1	0	1	2	4	4	5	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	21.7	12	60%	6	2	1	0	3	6	0	6	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.7	14	64%	2	3	2	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	28.1	11	69%	8	0	0	0	1	4	2	6	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	14.7	3	150%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	12.2	3	38%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	61%	37	24	14	2	10	25	8	29	25-29	86%	35-63	56%	14-33	42%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	40.0	45	63%	4	14	2	0	2	1	0	4	13-16	81%	13-20	65%	2-9	22%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	34.8	24	55%	3	2	5	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	8-17	47%	2-4	50%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	34.0	13	81%	4	0	3	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	22.9	12	67%	9	1	0	1	2	4	4	5	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	21.7	12	60%	6	2	1	0	3	6	0	6	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	31.7	14	64%	2	3	2	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	28.1	11	69%	8	0	0	0	1	4	2	6	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	14.7	3	150%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	12.2	3	38%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Norris #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Distal Radius; Fracture
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Fracture
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	61%	37	24	14	2	10	25	8	29	25-29	86%	35-63	56%	14-33	42%

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28 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	35.8	33	97%	8	6	1	0	5	5	3	5	6-6	100%	9-11	82%	3-3	100%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	33.7	11	79%	2	7	0	0	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.5	22	65%	11	3	1	0	2	2	4	7	4-5	80%	6-12	50%	2-3	67%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	29.3	21	66%	12	2	2	4	2	1	2	10	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	1-5	20%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	17.4	2	20%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	27.0	25	78%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	5-5	100%	4-4	100%	4-10	40%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	24.3	3	30%	2	7	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	20.1	15	94%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-8	63%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.4	3	21%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| “”; Illness
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	INACTIVE
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	68%	47	34	4	7	21	22	11	36	21-23	91%	30-48	63%	18-41	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.22 61.2%

SAS

1.36 68.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

59%

SAS

63%

Midrange

ATL

50%

SAS

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

21.0

42%

64%

SAS

27.0

44%

66%

Free Throws

ATL

86%

SAS

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	45	63%	22.5 / 36
D. Murray	24	55%	12.0 / 22
B. Bogdanović	14	64%	7.0 / 11
S. Bey	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. Capela	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Hunter	12	60%	6.0 / 10
O. Okongwu	11	69%	5.5 / 8
W. Matthews	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Mathews	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Sochan	33	97%	16.5 / 17
D. Vassell	25	78%	12.5 / 16
K. Johnson	22	65%	11.0 / 17
V. Wembanyama	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Champagnie	15	94%	7.5 / 8
Z. Collins	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Jones	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Osman	3	21%	1.5 / 7
M. Branham	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 26 109.4	ATL 124.5 +0.7 SAS 123.9
Pace	6 100.9 3 101.7	ATL 114.7 +10.0 SAS 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 25 14.1	ATL 12.6 −1.2 SAS 13.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 23 53.2%	ATL 58.3% SAS 64.0% +5.7%
TO %	13 12.5% 26 14.3%	ATL 8.4% −9.1% SAS 17.5%
ORB %	5 27.1% 23 22.9%	ATL 18.2% SAS 27.5% +9.3%
FTrt	12 25.1 28 22.0	ATL 30.2 +4.4 SAS 25.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 1 71.2%	ATL 49.0% SAS 70.8% +21.8%
STL %	18 7.4% 23 6.9%	ATL 12.7% +9.0% SAS 3.7%
BLK %	21 9.0% 10 9.7%	ATL 4.2% SAS 11.1% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 25 55.1%	ATL 61.2% SAS 68.2% +7.0%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 16 64.1%	ATL 59.5% SAS 62.9% +3.4%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 24 40.5%	ATL 50.0% SAS 61.5% +11.5%
3P %	17 36.4% 28 34.7%	ATL 42.4% SAS 43.9% +1.5%
FT %	8 79.7% 14 78.2%	ATL 86.2% SAS 91.3% +5.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 13 34.2%	ATL 38.5% SAS 39.3% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 9 25.7%	ATL 27.1% SAS 14.6% −12.5%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 12 40.1%	ATL 34.4% SAS 46.1% +11.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	SAS
Possessions	110	109
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	137	135
Rebounds	37	47
Assists	24	34
Steals	14	4
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	21 (0)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	36 (2)
Field Goals	49-96	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-37	22-35
Midrange FG	13-26	8-13
2-Point FG	35-63	30-48
3-Point FG	14-33	18-41
Free Throws	25-29	21-23
Fast Break Pts	13	20
2nd Chance Pts	9	11
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	10
Bench Points	31	46
Biggest Lead	6	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg