Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 1, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Wizards	31%	111	125	119.0	105	111.4
	16	Magic	69%	118	130	122.6	106	100.2

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-14

103

ORL

+14

-14

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.21 60.7%

ORL

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	37.4	27	64%	6	1	1	2	6	6	1	5	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	30.3	14	44%	4	4	1	0	2	5	0	4	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	27.3	18	69%	11	3	0	3	1	5	4	7	4-7	57%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	25.9	13	65%	3	6	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	20.4	6	38%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	31.6	12	86%	5	0	3	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	22.6	15	58%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	4-6	67%
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	20.7	7	88%	6	1	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	17.6	13	81%	0	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-3	0%	2-5	40%	3-3	100%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	6.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Right knee strain
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	40	25	8	5	14	29	8	32	22-31	71%	32-61	52%	13-28	46%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 28	37.4	27	64%	6	1	1	2	6	6	1	5	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 24	30.3	14	44%	4	4	1	0	2	5	0	4	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	27.3	18	69%	11	3	0	3	1	5	4	7	4-7	57%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	25.9	13	65%	3	6	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	20.4	6	38%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 19	31.6	12	86%	5	0	3	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 25	22.6	15	58%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	4-6	67%
Danilo Gallinari #88 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35	20.7	7	88%	6	1	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	17.6	13	81%	0	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-3	0%	2-5	40%	3-3	100%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	6.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala #35 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #19 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
Ryan Rollins #9 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Right knee strain
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	40	25	8	5	14	29	8	32	22-31	71%	32-61	52%	13-28	46%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	38.0	28	67%	13	7	0	0	2	2	3	10	3-3	100%	8-16	50%	3-4	75%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	34.5	31	65%	7	8	0	0	0	0	1	6	12-14	86%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	26.6	15	68%	2	4	3	2	3	4	0	2	3-5	60%	3-3	100%	2-6	33%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	24.2	3	150%	5	4	0	2	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	23.1	6	60%	2	3	0	1	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	24.6	14	64%	3	7	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	22.9	18	64%	6	0	1	1	3	1	4	2	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-2	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	22.3	8	40%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	17.0	4	50%	1	2	2	1	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	6.8	3	75%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26	INACTIVE
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fractured third metacarpal
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	61%	44	35	6	8	14	23	10	34	26-33	79%	34-58	59%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.21 60.7%

ORL

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

63%

ORL

73%

Midrange

WAS

44%

ORL

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

46%

70%

ORL

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

WAS

71%

ORL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	27	64%	13.5 / 21
D. Gafford	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Kispert	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Poole	14	44%	7.0 / 16
T. Jones	13	65%	6.5 / 10
L. Shamet	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Coulibaly	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Gallinari	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Avdija	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	31	65%	15.5 / 24
P. Banchero	28	67%	14.0 / 21
M. Wagner	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Suggs	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Ingles	14	64%	7.0 / 11
G. Harris	8	40%	4.0 / 10
A. Black	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Anthony	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Bitadze	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Isaac	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 110.3 22 113.0	WAS 119.0 ORL 122.6 +3.6
Pace	1 103.0 27 97.4	WAS 111.4 +11.2 ORL 100.2
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.6 2 15.2	WAS 12.9 −1.4 ORL 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 53.8% 15 54.1%	WAS 57.9% ORL 58.4% +0.5%
TO %	19 13.1% 24 14.1%	WAS 12.0% −0.7% ORL 12.7%
ORB %	29 20.0% 7 25.3%	WAS 19.0% ORL 23.8% +4.8%
FTrt	27 22.1 1 28.7	WAS 34.8 ORL 37.1 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 64.9% 22 61.0%	WAS 55.6% ORL 76.1% +20.5%
STL %	19 7.3% 4 8.3%	WAS 7.6% +1.9% ORL 5.7%
BLK %	16 9.4% 13 9.5%	WAS 8.6% ORL 13.1% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.8% 18 56.2%	WAS 60.7% ORL 60.7%
Rim FG%	8 65.7% 9 65.4%	WAS 63.0% ORL 73.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%	28 39.8% 29 38.9%	WAS 44.1% +10.8% ORL 33.3%
3P %	25 34.8% 24 35.2%	WAS 46.4% +7.7% ORL 38.7%
FT %	24 76.4% 26 75.9%	WAS 71.0% ORL 78.8% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 35.4% 1 38.2%	WAS 30.3% ORL 41.6% +11.2%
Mid Att. %	8 25.7% 5 24.9%	WAS 38.2% ORL 23.6% −14.6%
3P Att. %	16 38.9% 25 36.9%	WAS 31.5% ORL 34.8% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	WAS	ORL
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	125	130
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	25	35
Steals	8	6
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	29	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	34 (5)
Field Goals	45-89	46-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	27-37
Midrange FG	15-34	7-21
2-Point FG	32-61	34-58
3-Point FG	13-28	12-31
Free Throws	22-31	26-33
Fast Break Pts	14	7
2nd Chance Pts	16	16
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	16	16
Bench Points	47	47
Biggest Lead	9	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg