Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 11, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Pacers	73%	127	131	123.6	106	102.5
	30	Pistons	27%	118	123	118.3	104	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+16

-18

104

DET

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.26 63.0%

DET

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	37.3	11	42%	9	0	2	0	1	3	3	6	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	32.8	14	58%	5	16	1	2	7	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.7	23	68%	8	1	1	3	2	2	3	5	3-6	50%	10-13	77%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.7	16	89%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	12.2	6	60%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	37.3	30	71%	7	8	2	0	2	3	3	4	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.6	13	93%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	17.3	10	83%	5	0	0	0	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	15.2	8	40%	2	5	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone bruise, Left heel contusion
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	63%	43	33	8	5	18	20	11	32	14-19	74%	39-61	64%	13-31	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27	37.3	11	42%	9	0	2	0	1	3	3	6	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	32.8	14	58%	5	16	1	2	7	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.7	23	68%	8	1	1	3	2	2	3	5	3-6	50%	10-13	77%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 31	30.7	16	89%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	12.2	6	60%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	37.3	30	71%	7	8	2	0	2	3	3	4	7-8	88%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	26.6	13	93%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	17.3	10	83%	5	0	0	0	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	15.2	8	40%	2	5	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone bruise, Left heel contusion
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	63%	43	33	8	5	18	20	11	32	14-19	74%	39-61	64%	13-31	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	37.6	23	55%	6	7	1	0	3	3	0	6	0-0	-	10-15	67%	1-6	17%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	34.1	17	50%	1	2	3	0	2	2	0	1	4-7	57%	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 23	33.5	13	93%	7	2	0	0	2	3	1	6	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Ausar Thompson #9 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 21	33.4	20	83%	6	2	1	1	1	4	2	4	3-5	60%	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Killian Hayes #7 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	23.4	6	60%	1	7	1	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	33.6	18	53%	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 25	17.4	8	67%	2	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Alec Burks #14 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 32	13.0	14	88%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23	12.9	4	100%	4	1	1	3	1	3	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Spasms
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Harris #31 · SG · 6'6" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Cazalon #20 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Monté Morris #5 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	64%	30	26	11	4	14	18	6	24	23-30	77%	35-52	67%	10-29	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DET

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.26 63.0%

DET

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

74%

DET

75%

Midrange

IND

52%

DET

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

42%

63%

DET

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

IND

74%

DET

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	30	71%	15.0 / 21
M. Turner	23	68%	11.5 / 17
B. Hield	16	89%	8.0 / 9
T. Haliburton	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Nesmith	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. Brown	11	42%	5.5 / 13
I. Jackson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. McConnell	8	40%	4.0 / 10
O. Toppin	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	23	55%	11.5 / 21
A. Thompson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
J. Ivey	18	53%	9.0 / 17
B. Bogdanovic	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Burks	14	88%	7.0 / 8
I. Stewart	13	93%	6.5 / 7
I. Livers	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Hayes	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Wiseman	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 27 109.1	IND 123.6 +5.3 DET 118.3
Pace	2 102.3 10 100.4	IND 102.5 DET 108.6 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 24 14.1	IND 14.1 DET 13.3 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 28 52.6%	IND 63.6% +1.9% DET 61.7%
TO %	6 12.0% 28 14.5%	IND 15.2% DET 13.7% −1.5%
ORB %	20 23.8% 18 23.9%	IND 31.4% +15.6% DET 15.8%
FTrt	26 22.2 15 24.6	IND 20.7 DET 37.0 +16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 17 62.3%	IND 63.5% +5.7% DET 57.8%
STL %	15 7.5% 30 6.4%	IND 7.5% DET 10.6% +3.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 17 9.3%	IND 9.6% +3.0% DET 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 26 54.9%	IND 63.0% DET 64.1% +1.1%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 21 62.2%	IND 73.5% DET 75.0% +1.5%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 18 41.7%	IND 51.9% +1.9% DET 50.0%
3P %	9 37.4% 26 34.8%	IND 41.9% +7.4% DET 34.5%
FT %	13 78.2% 12 78.5%	IND 73.7% DET 76.7% +3.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 12 34.6%	IND 37.0% DET 44.4% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 26 29.5%	IND 29.3% DET 19.8% −9.6%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 27 36.0%	IND 33.7% DET 35.8% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	DET
Possessions	106	104
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.0
Points	131	123
Rebounds	43	30
Assists	33	26
Steals	8	11
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	24 (3)
Field Goals	52-92	45-81
At-the-Rim FG	25-34	27-36
Midrange FG	14-27	8-16
2-Point FG	39-61	35-52
3-Point FG	13-31	10-29
Free Throws	14-19	23-30
Fast Break Pts	23	18
2nd Chance Pts	21	10
Points in Paint	62	60
Pts off Turnovers	19	21
Bench Points	61	44
Biggest Lead	15	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg