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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 11, 2023
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Cavaliers51%11094
22Magic49%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.9
39.4
31.3
36
64%
6
5
2
1
0
3
1
5
11-12
92%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
3-9
33%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
36.9
34.6
22
50%
3
3
3
1
1
2
1
2
8-9
89%
4-8
6-12
50%
54%
2-10
20%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 27.1
28.9
22.3
9
77%
6
0
3
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
59%
2-3
67%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
26.0
32.5
6
26%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
56%
0-5
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 25.6
15.2
25.4
4
67%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
5-7
67%
65%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.7
28.8
11.0
10
71%
13
2
0
0
2
1
4
9
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
54%
0-0
-
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
25.5
23.8
1
9%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-4
0%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 30.5
22.4
21.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-3
0%
53%
0-5
0%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
16.9
6.5
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
13.5
0
2-4
49%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
2.1
0
0-0
65%
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.2
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 19.9
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 29.3
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
35.9
32.1
20
45%
10
4
1
1
0
8
4
6
2-3
67%
9-18
6-12
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
33.1
32.9
19
45%
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
5-7
71%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-5
0%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.4
29.0
24.2
15
77%
7
2
0
1
4
0
3
4
3-4
75%
6-8
3-5
75%
60%
0-0
-
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
28.4
17.0
12
87%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Anthony Black
G · 6'7" 200 · 19.9
18.7
20.3
0
0%
1
0
3
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
26.2
23.9
3
50%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-3
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 36.2
19.9
16.5
12
79%
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
6-6
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
2-4
50%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.6
17.7
25.9
8
58%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
1-1
100%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 26.6
17.7
18.4
8
42%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
65%
0-2
0%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 26.2
13.4
6.1
7
58%
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.9
17.1
0
0-1
47%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
7.4
0
0-1
49%
Jett Howard
G · 6'8" 215 · 20.2
3.1
0
0-0
53%
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 26.7
2.8
0
0-0
57%
Trevelin Queen
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.8
Kevon Harris
G · 6'6" 216 · 26.5
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.