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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 11, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets
129
16Hawks
122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.8
36
35
25
8
9
3
1
2
1
2
6
6-7
86%
8-12
11-18
67%
62%
1-1
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.8
30
29
8
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-8
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.8
29
29
29
9
4
1
1
2
6
1
8
1-1
100%
8-10
5-9
80%
51%
4-5
80%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
29
28
18
12
1
0
1
0
2
7
5
4-5
80%
7-10
4-7
70%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.5
26
36
3
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-7
4-7
14%
59%
0-4
0%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.6
28
9
22
1
2
5
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
53%
6-11
55%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.2
20
20
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.7
19
24
12
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
1-5
20%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.9
12
4
3
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
61%
0-1
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
11
16
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
12
0
2-3
68%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.7
9
0
0-1
51%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.1
3
0
0-0
53%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
1
0
0-0
58%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.5
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
40
35
16
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
1-4
25%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 27.2
38
33
21
6
3
1
1
0
2
4
2
2-2
100%
5-15
5-10
33%
52%
3-8
38%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
28
28
14
8
2
1
1
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
62%
0-0
-
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 25.2
26
36
19
1
9
1
1
0
5
0
1
7-7
100%
3-6
6-11
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 27.1
17
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-5
20%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
36
32
40
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
10-17
59%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
28
22
7
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-4
60%
64%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 37.2
18
10
2
5
1
2
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-4
0%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
9
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Seth Lundy
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
11
0
1-2
52%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.3
9
0
0-1
46%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
7
0
1-1
52%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 25.3
2
0
0-0
57%
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.2
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'11" 210 · 21.1
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 22.0
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.0
Miles Norris
· 6'10" 210 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.