Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 11, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Spurs	30%	107	82	80.4	102	105.5
	21	Rockets	70%	115	93	92.1	101	97.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+13

-17

HOU

+18

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.84 41.8%

HOU

0.90 45.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.6	12	35%	7	2	4	0	3	1	2	5	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-9	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	35.3	7	32%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	34.0	13	50%	6	7	1	0	3	0	0	6	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	33.0	15	50%	18	3	0	5	5	3	2	16	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	14	39%	6	2	0	0	0	1	3	3	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	1-9	11%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	16.5	3	50%	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	3-5	60%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.0	6	60%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	13.6	2	25%	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.7	10	63%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	42%	51	20	9	2	17	14	9	42	15-22	68%	26-46	57%	5-41	12%

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26 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.6	12	35%	7	2	4	0	3	1	2	5	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-9	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 21	35.3	7	32%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	34.0	13	50%	6	7	1	0	3	0	0	6	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	33.0	15	50%	18	3	0	5	5	3	2	16	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 23	31.3	14	39%	6	2	0	0	0	1	3	3	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	1-9	11%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	16.5	3	50%	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	3-5	60%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.0	6	60%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	13.6	2	25%	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	12.7	10	63%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	42%	51	20	9	2	17	14	9	42	15-22	68%	26-46	57%	5-41	12%

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21 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.3	16	47%	6	5	2	0	3	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-11	36%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.6	9	35%	12	5	1	1	1	3	3	9	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	30.4	15	54%	9	4	2	1	6	3	2	7	2-4	50%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.6	2	8%	5	2	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	24.4	7	32%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	26.6	18	56%	14	1	2	0	2	2	4	10	0-1	0%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	18.8	12	86%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	7-7	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	15.4	7	44%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	10.3	2	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.4	5	125%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	45%	60	20	7	5	16	18	15	45	17-20	85%	20-54	37%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.84 41.8%

HOU

0.90 45.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

68%

HOU

54%

Midrange

SAS

46%

HOU

19%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7.5

12%

18%

HOU

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

SAS

68%

HOU

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Vassell	14	39%	7.0 / 18
M. Branham	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Johnson	12	35%	6.0 / 17
C. Osman	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Sochan	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. McDermott	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3
Z. Collins	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Eason	18	56%	9.0 / 16
F. VanVleet	16	47%	8.0 / 17
A. Sengun	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Green	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Smith	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Green	7	32%	3.5 / 11
A. Holiday	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Tate	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Brooks	2	8%	1.0 / 12
A. Thompson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 20 113.8	SAS 80.4 HOU 92.1 +11.7
Pace	3 101.7 13 99.6	SAS 105.5 +7.7 HOU 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 22 14.2	SAS 13.7 −1.1 HOU 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 27 52.9%	SAS 38.5% HOU 40.9% +2.4%
TO %	26 14.3% 8 12.1%	SAS 15.0% HOU 13.6% −1.4%
ORB %	23 22.9% 10 25.1%	SAS 16.7% HOU 26.3% +9.6%
FTrt	28 22.0 9 25.7	SAS 25.3 +3.8 HOU 21.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 27 59.4%	SAS 64.5% +2.0% HOU 62.5%
STL %	23 6.9% 9 7.8%	SAS 8.8% +1.9% HOU 6.9%
BLK %	10 9.7% 11 9.7%	SAS 3.7% HOU 10.9% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 24 55.2%	SAS 41.8% HOU 45.1% +3.3%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 24 61.2%	SAS 68.2% +14.6% HOU 53.6%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 21 41.2%	SAS 45.8% +26.6% HOU 19.2%
3P %	28 34.7% 23 35.2%	SAS 12.2% HOU 30.8% +18.6%
FT %	14 78.2% 20 77.3%	SAS 68.2% HOU 85.0% +16.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 6 35.5%	SAS 25.3% HOU 30.1% +4.8%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 3 24.7%	SAS 27.6% −0.4% HOU 28.0%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 13 39.7%	SAS 47.1% +5.2% HOU 41.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	HOU
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	82	93
Rebounds	51	60
Assists	20	20
Steals	9	7
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	14	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (2)	45 (1)
Field Goals	31-87	32-93
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	15-28
Midrange FG	11-24	5-26
2-Point FG	26-46	20-54
3-Point FG	5-41	12-39
Free Throws	15-22	17-20
Fast Break Pts	11	10
2nd Chance Pts	8	11
Points in Paint	46	34
Pts off Turnovers	4	10
Bench Points	21	44
Biggest Lead	5	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg