Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 11, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Timberwolves	48%	110	107	104.9	102	95.8
	17	Pelicans	52%	111	121	119.8	101	108.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+13

-11

104

NOP

+12

-13

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.4%

NOP

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.6	17	61%	12	1	0	0	1	6	3	9	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	27.3	5	28%	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	27.3	17	77%	5	7	0	0	3	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	25.4	8	50%	8	0	0	2	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	24.4	7	44%	1	5	1	1	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	27.3	12	50%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	24.3	17	57%	6	2	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	19.6	12	50%	1	5	0	0	1	4	1	0	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	18.7	6	50%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	8.4	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	47	26	5	7	11	28	11	36	14-19	74%	27-55	49%	13-36	36%

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10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.6	17	61%	12	1	0	0	1	6	3	9	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	27.3	5	28%	6	2	0	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	27.3	17	77%	5	7	0	0	3	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	25.4	8	50%	8	0	0	2	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	24.4	7	44%	1	5	1	1	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	27.3	12	50%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	24.3	17	57%	6	2	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	19.6	12	50%	1	5	0	0	1	4	1	0	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	18.7	6	50%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	8.4	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.6	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment \| G League - On Assignment
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	47	26	5	7	11	28	11	36	14-19	74%	27-55	49%	13-36	36%

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17 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	35.2	14	58%	13	4	2	2	3	3	3	10	4-7	57%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	32.9	36	82%	5	2	1	1	1	1	2	3	10-12	83%	13-17	76%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	32.4	7	44%	10	5	0	0	0	4	3	7	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	29.2	20	59%	3	5	0	0	4	2	0	3	8-9	89%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	29.1	23	72%	4	4	1	1	1	2	0	4	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	4-7	57%

Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	27.6	6	60%	2	2	2	1	0	3	1	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	24.0	10	63%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26	14.9	0	0%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	13.8	5	63%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	47	27	7	3	13	20	10	37	31-40	78%	30-55	55%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.4%

NOP

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

58%

NOP

69%

Midrange

MIN

36%

NOP

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

19.5

36%

54%

NOP

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

MIN

74%

NOP

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Conley	17	77%	8.5 / 11
N. Reid	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	12	50%	6.0 / 12
S. Milton	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Gobert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Anderson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Brown Jr.	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. McLaughlin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Minott	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Nix	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	36	82%	18.0 / 22
C. McCollum	23	72%	11.5 / 16
B. Ingram	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Murphy	10	63%	5.0 / 8
H. Jones	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Daniels	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Marshall	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Alvarado	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 11 116.6	MIN 104.9 NOP 119.8 +14.9
Pace	22 97.9 16 98.6	MIN 95.8 NOP 108.0 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 18 14.4	MIN 15.0 NOP 13.3 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 11 55.8%	MIN 51.1% NOP 54.9% +3.8%
TO %	22 13.6% 15 12.6%	MIN 12.4% NOP 12.3% −0.1%
ORB %	22 23.1% 15 24.4%	MIN 22.9% +1.2% NOP 21.7%
FTrt	5 27.0 7 26.1	MIN 20.9 NOP 48.8 +27.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 15 63.4%	MIN 65.0% NOP 67.5% +2.5%
STL %	6 8.0% 2 8.4%	MIN 4.9% NOP 6.9% +2.0%
BLK %	4 11.0% 8 9.9%	MIN 12.7% +7.2% NOP 5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 9 57.7%	MIN 51.4% NOP 60.5% +9.1%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 19 63.2%	MIN 57.6% NOP 68.8% +11.2%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 12 44.3%	MIN 36.4% +1.6% NOP 34.8%
3P %	3 38.7% 4 38.3%	MIN 36.1% NOP 37.0% +0.9%
FT %	18 77.7% 21 77.1%	MIN 73.7% NOP 77.5% +3.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 10 34.7%	MIN 36.3% NOP 39.0% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 22 28.0%	MIN 24.2% −3.9% NOP 28.0%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 22 37.3%	MIN 39.6% +6.6% NOP 32.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	NOP
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	107	121
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	26	27
Steals	5	7
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (3)	13 (1)
Fouls	28	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	40-91	40-82
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	22-32
Midrange FG	8-22	8-23
2-Point FG	27-55	30-55
3-Point FG	13-36	10-27
Free Throws	14-19	31-40
Fast Break Pts	8	4
2nd Chance Pts	17	18
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	53	21
Biggest Lead	4	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg