Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 11, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	17%	107	120	113.2	106	105.3
	5	Thunder	83%	122	134	127.6	105	106.9

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+13

-15

104

OKC

+11

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.14 57.1%

OKC

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	33.0	30	79%	3	7	1	0	3	0	0	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	5-9	56%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 28	23.3	19	79%	2	1	0	4	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	21.7	2	25%	1	2	3	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · PG · 6'5" 194 · 32	21.5	8	29%	4	5	1	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	20.7	2	20%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	26.5	20	67%	4	2	2	0	0	1	2	2	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	26.3	8	67%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.8	4	50%	6	7	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	17.3	14	70%	7	1	0	0	2	3	0	7	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	15.0	11	61%	1	2	0	1	2	5	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	9.9	2	50%	5	0	0	1	3	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; illness
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	41	32	9	7	15	21	9	32	20-21	95%	32-54	59%	12-38	32%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 20	33.0	30	79%	3	7	1	0	3	0	0	3	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	5-9	56%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 28	23.3	19	79%	2	1	0	4	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	21.7	2	25%	1	2	3	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · PG · 6'5" 194 · 32	21.5	8	29%	4	5	1	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	20.7	2	20%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	26.5	20	67%	4	2	2	0	0	1	2	2	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	26.3	8	67%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.8	4	50%	6	7	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	17.3	14	70%	7	1	0	0	2	3	0	7	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	15.0	11	61%	1	2	0	1	2	5	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 25	9.9	2	50%	5	0	0	1	3	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #13 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; illness
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	41	32	9	7	15	21	9	32	20-21	95%	32-54	59%	12-38	32%

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5 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25	27.9	30	79%	4	7	3	0	1	1	1	3	6-6	100%	12-16	75%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 20	25.3	10	63%	3	2	1	2	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	25.0	16	80%	8	2	1	2	3	2	2	6	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	23.8	12	55%	10	8	1	1	3	1	2	8	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	22.1	15	68%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	26.5	18	100%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Vasilije Micić #29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30	16.0	2	20%	1	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 24	14.5	9	56%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 23	13.4	4	33%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 21	9.8	7	117%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22	8.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Davis Bertans #9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31	8.6	3	75%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	8.3	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	6.6	2	100%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	3.5	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	64%	39	35	9	9	12	17	7	32	16-17	94%	32-58	55%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.14 57.1%

OKC

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

72%

OKC

59%

Midrange

UTA

41%

OKC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

32%

47%

OKC

27.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

UTA

95%

OKC

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	30	79%	15.0 / 19
C. Sexton	20	67%	10.0 / 15
S. Fontecchio	19	79%	9.5 / 12
L. Samanic	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Horton-Tucker	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Clarkson	8	29%	4.0 / 14
T. Hendricks	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Dunn	4	50%	2.0 / 4
O. Agbaji	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Olynyk	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Ö. Yurtseven	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	79%	15.0 / 19
O. Dieng	18	100%	9.0 / 9
C. Holmgren	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Williams	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Giddey	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Wallace	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Joe	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Williams	7	117%	3.5 / 3
T. Mann	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Bertans	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Waters	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Wiggins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
V. Micić	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Williams	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Pokusevski	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 114.6 3 118.3	UTA 113.2 OKC 127.6 +14.4
Pace	9 100.5 5 100.9	UTA 105.3 OKC 106.9 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.6 27 14.0	UTA 13.7 OKC 13.5 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 53.9% 3 57.3%	UTA 54.3% OKC 61.5% +7.2%
TO %	30 14.8% 3 11.7%	UTA 14.4% OKC 10.4% −4.0%
ORB %	2 28.1% 28 21.1%	UTA 22.0% +4.1% OKC 17.9%
FTrt	11 25.1 17 24.0	UTA 22.8 +5.1 OKC 17.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 64.8% 23 60.9%	UTA 72.7% +2.7% OKC 70.0%
STL %	29 6.5% 3 8.3%	UTA 8.5% OKC 8.6% +0.1%
BLK %	3 11.1% 2 11.3%	UTA 12.1% OKC 16.7% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.5% 3 59.2%	UTA 57.1% OKC 64.4% +7.3%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 10 65.4%	UTA 71.9% +13.2% OKC 58.7%
Mid FG%	20 41.3% 4 46.6%	UTA 40.9% OKC 41.7% +0.8%
3P %	22 35.4% 1 38.9%	UTA 31.6% OKC 47.4% +15.8%
FT %	1 83.0% 4 82.5%	UTA 95.2% +1.1% OKC 94.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 32.6% 16 33.2%	UTA 34.8% OKC 47.9% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	15 26.8% 24 28.5%	UTA 23.9% OKC 12.5% −11.4%
3P Att. %	10 40.6% 18 38.3%	UTA 41.3% +1.7% OKC 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	OKC
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.6
Points	120	134
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	32	35
Steals	9	9
Blocks	7	9
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	32 (3)
Field Goals	44-92	50-96
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	27-46
Midrange FG	9-22	5-12
2-Point FG	32-54	32-58
3-Point FG	12-38	18-38
Free Throws	20-21	16-17
Fast Break Pts	15	21
2nd Chance Pts	7	11
Points in Paint	62	58
Pts off Turnovers	15	28
Bench Points	59	51
Biggest Lead	0	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg