Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Kings	36%	113	99	97.1	102	119.9
	3	Clippers	64%	118	119	115.5	103	89.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+10

-14

LAC

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

LAC

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	31.3	17	50%	7	1	3	0	0	2	0	7	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	0-5	0%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	25.7	15	50%	10	3	2	0	2	3	5	5	5-8	63%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	25.0	14	44%	3	3	0	0	4	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	18.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	16.5	3	19%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	21.6	8	50%	0	5	0	0	4	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	20.3	3	30%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	20.0	9	64%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	14.6	1	13%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	12.0	6	60%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	11.6	3	150%	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	8.2	7	117%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	8.2	5	125%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	6.1	6	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	38	27	8	2	14	19	7	31	17-24	71%	26-49	53%	10-37	27%

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15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23	31.3	17	50%	7	1	3	0	0	2	0	7	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	0-5	0%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	25.7	15	50%	10	3	2	0	2	3	5	5	5-8	63%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	25.0	14	44%	3	3	0	0	4	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	18.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	16.5	3	19%	4	3	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	21.6	8	50%	0	5	0	0	4	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	20.3	3	30%	6	3	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	20.0	9	64%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	14.6	1	13%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	12.0	6	60%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	11.6	3	150%	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	8.2	7	117%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	8.2	5	125%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	6.1	6	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right High Ankle; Sprain
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	38	27	8	2	14	19	7	31	17-24	71%	26-49	53%	10-37	27%

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3 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32	31.3	31	91%	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	4	7-7	100%	9-11	82%	2-3	67%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	29.8	10	71%	5	2	1	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 34	28.3	15	63%	6	7	2	0	2	3	0	6	7-7	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	22.8	6	60%	9	0	0	0	1	4	0	9	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	15.8	9	64%	6	1	2	0	3	0	0	6	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	27.3	15	63%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	24.3	7	70%	6	0	0	1	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	20.0	8	50%	7	3	0	0	4	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	16.3	8	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	8.8	6	38%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	8.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	6.6	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	INACTIVE
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	49	21	7	2	15	17	6	43	20-21	95%	33-55	60%	11-29	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

LAC

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

62%

LAC

71%

Midrange

SAC

33%

LAC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

27%

41%

LAC

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

SAC

71%

LAC

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	17	50%	8.5 / 17
D. Sabonis	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Fox	14	44%	7.0 / 16
A. Vezenkov	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Monk	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Edwards	7	117%	3.5 / 3
C. Duarte	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. McGee	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Ford	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Huerter	3	19%	1.5 / 8
T. Lyles	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Ellis	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. Barnes	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Mitchell	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	31	91%	15.5 / 17
J. Harden	15	63%	7.5 / 12
N. Powell	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Mann	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. George	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Westbrook	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Theis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Brown	7	70%	3.5 / 5
I. Zubac	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Hyland	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Coffey	2	100%	1.0 / 1
X. Moon	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 4 118.0	SAC 97.1 LAC 115.5 +18.5
Pace	14 99.4 20 97.9	SAC 119.9 +30.3 LAC 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 7 14.9	SAC 12.0 −4.1 LAC 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 9 56.1%	SAC 47.7% LAC 58.9% +11.2%
TO %	12 12.5% 11 12.5%	SAC 12.7% −2.7% LAC 15.4%
ORB %	14 24.5% 16 24.4%	SAC 14.0% LAC 16.2% +2.2%
FTrt	22 22.9 10 25.6	SAC 27.9 +2.9 LAC 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 24 60.4%	SAC 75.0% +27.3% LAC 47.7%
STL %	14 7.6% 7 8.0%	SAC 7.8% +1.0% LAC 6.8%
BLK %	27 8.6% 24 8.8%	SAC 3.6% LAC 4.1% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 7 58.4%	SAC 50.5% LAC 61.3% +10.8%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 14 64.7%	SAC 61.8% LAC 71.4% +9.6%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 5 45.6%	SAC 33.3% LAC 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	16 36.6% 6 38.1%	SAC 27.0% LAC 37.9% +10.9%
FT %	30 74.5% 3 82.5%	SAC 70.8% LAC 95.2% +24.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 22 32.1%	SAC 39.5% LAC 41.7% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 27 29.6%	SAC 17.4% −6.4% LAC 23.8%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 19 38.3%	SAC 43.0% +8.5% LAC 34.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	LAC
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	20.4	27.6
Points	99	119
Rebounds	38	49
Assists	27	21
Steals	8	7
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	19	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	43 (0)
Field Goals	36-86	44-84
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	25-35
Midrange FG	5-15	8-20
2-Point FG	26-49	33-55
3-Point FG	10-37	11-29
Free Throws	17-24	20-21
Fast Break Pts	12	7
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	20	18
Bench Points	48	48
Biggest Lead	3	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg